TWG CXI C9++: A Youtube Comments Page

[HansSky]

Re: TWG CXI C9++: A Youtube Comments Page

guest mellon is a girl btw

[FoJaR]

Re: TWG CXI C9++: A Youtube Comments Page

hey V can you update the OP please.

[DarkManticoreX2]

Re: TWG CXI C9++: A Youtube Comments Page

1. iPatch
2. thesunfan
3. HansSky
4. CrazyJayde
5. Bynary Fission
6. cedolad
7. drg
8. mellon (raeko)
9. manti
10. funnygurl
11. guest
12. xiz/Tokzic
13. t-force


This leaves:

IPatch
Hans
Cedolad
Raeko
Manti
Guest

Proof I'm incorporating into my work: I am a vanilla townie. If anyone reading this is also a vanilla townie, you can use the same logic to come to the same result.

I'm not going to show my work here, but our Most Likely setup is this:
TTTTT = Goon + Godfather, Serial Killer (Investigation Immune OR 1-Shot Bulletproof)

It's impossible for us to have
TTTTTTT = Goon + Godfather, Serial Killer (Investigation Immune OR 1-Shot Bulletproof)
Due to the vigi kill N1. Having one blue eliminates this scenario.

It's really unlikely for us to have:
TTT = 2 Goons + Roleblocker, Serial Killer (Investigation Immune OR 1-Shot Bulletproof)
This would require us to have either 2 full power Vigis or a Vigi and a Full time cop.

It would mean I'm the last townie and we have 2 blue roles, a SK, a RB wolf and one more Goon. It is a really unlikely scenario.

[DarkManticoreX2]

Re: TWG CXI C9++: A Youtube Comments Page

That being said, Vigi, if you're a one shot vigi, We've got another blue still out there, and It's time we create an alliance.

If you're a full time vigi, you're either the only blue left, or there's a really minor possibility of another full time blue role out there.

That being said, I'm pretty suspicious of Raeko. I've never played a game where she's agreed with the things I've been saying.

[mellonxcollie]

Re: TWG CXI C9++: A Youtube Comments Page

Mellon seems to be attacking for being UTR (note his three suspects are the three remaining people that posted the least D2)

Err, what are you even talking about? I have Cedo as green and he made literally zero posts day 2. Your logic is faulty.

That being said, I'm pretty suspicious of Raeko. I've never played a game where she's agreed with the things I've been saying.

I don't really see the logic here either...

[Guest15937]

Re: TWG CXI C9++: A Youtube Comments Page

Yeah, meant to throw "other than cedo" in there.

Still a bit weird though, what made you think Cedo's green when you had literally nothing from him except D1 posts?

[HansSky]

Re: TWG CXI C9++: A Youtube Comments Page

Manti what you say about Raeko makes no sense because you really haven't said anything all game. Also, you're right that we're most likely playing a TTTTT game, but it doesn't mean much other than potentially having 2 blues(we could also just have the 1 vig). You're really just providing a lot more sideways analysis and you're not making me feel any better about you.

Vigi still needs to come out. Hopefully ipatch shows up soon.

[mellonxcollie]

Re: TWG CXI C9++: A Youtube Comments Page

I've reminded Ipatch to check the thread but he is visiting his parents in Kansas for the first time in almost a year, and this trip was SUPER last minute so he's put TWG on the back burner. I hope he checks in soon and I will bug him again to check the thread (whatever no OOT)

[DarkManticoreX2]

Re: TWG CXI C9++: A Youtube Comments Page

I'm worried about a lot of things at the moment, but I'm not completely ready to go analysis wise.

Hans
I don't like how hans says nothing until last minute, but non-wolf points for going for T-force. Could still be SK, doubtful wolf

Raeko
Has been pretty non combative from everything I recall this game, Could be either

Guest
Doesn't post much as per normal, but the strong human read on me despite the little I've said feels weird to me

Cedo
Coinflip for less active then me.

Ipatch
Hasn't really made a big push for anything either, other then trying to kill the SK with crazyjayde. Could see paranoid wolf here?

[mellonxcollie]

Re: TWG CXI C9++: A Youtube Comments Page

So uhh we need to decide on something guys. I'm working tonight until 7:30 and might not have time to do anything later... I wish Ipatch would talk but I am still OK with lynching Manti, Guest or Ipatch.

[mellonxcollie]

Re: TWG CXI C9++: A Youtube Comments Page

I would prefer Manti or Guest. Ipatch has been a green read of mine and he hasn't checked into the thread yet... with no other claim of vigi, it seems most likely that it is Ipatch.

[DarkManticoreX2]

Re: TWG CXI C9++: A Youtube Comments Page

Agreement 1.

If for some reason Crazy ISN'T the SK, I could really see DRG being the serial killer.

This is a very interesting post. It would fit in with her drastic play style change and wild posting behaviour. I was operating under the assumption that Jayde actually is the SK, but I guess it is always possible that he isn't...

Agreement 2, and quick opportunistic stance change:
This strikes me as odd considering her mind is solidly made up D2, but her stance changes in 5 minutes.

Honestly is there a point in dragging this phase out? Jayde has got to go either way IMO

Followed by this 5 minutes later

I agree with this (Refrencing not pushing the day to fast insta), we should also be dissicting the data we gathered from lynching t-force

Good point, so let's focus on that and then kill Jayde near the end of the day phase? I don't really want to lynch anyone else

Like I'm of a similar mindset to Guest actually.
I think Melon/Cedo

Melon as SK
Cedo as Wolf.

[DarkManticoreX2]

Re: TWG CXI C9++: A Youtube Comments Page

I know I need to show proof, but trying to compose a really good post while flipping between work screens everytime someone comes over is driving me nuts and completely destroying any solid/continuous thought process.

[mellonxcollie]

Re: TWG CXI C9++: A Youtube Comments Page

Um, wanna tell me where in those posts I agreed with you? That first post was just acknowledging the possibility of someone other than Jayde (possibly DRG) being SK, I didn't agree with you at all

You're really stretching and my mind is clear

Manti

[mellonxcollie]

Re: TWG CXI C9++: A Youtube Comments Page

Still willing to change my vote to Guest but I need to leave in 30 minutes so that is likely where my vote will stay unless I can miraculously get off from work early, which does happen sometimes