TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

[soramimi]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

Jayde, so basically we follow through with Silvuh's claim and if jrodd doesn't come back red, cedo vigis Silvuh? Is that what you're saying?

[Crazyjayde]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

Yes, basically. 100% chance to get a red.
Now I think we should Guess-Who the identity of the other wolf buddy, even if you don't trust Silv's claim. Last call for a vigi kill.

I'm fumbling again between Mea and Sunfan. Looking back, I think Mea.

[soramimi]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

(Reading that again, it sounds rude. Was just wanting to make sure I understood what you were saying.)

[Crazyjayde]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

(Even if you would have tried to make it sound rude, I don't think I would decipher it. See your avatar)

[cedolad]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

Here was my seer target thought process:

Day One, emerald's posts felt so empty to me that I thought he'd be the hardest to read. During Day Two, I was planning to seer one of the other two most-UTR players, Velo or Mea. Velo had been posting less, so I figured I'd seer him. And then the lynch happend, and I got really upset, because that was exactly what I was hoping to be able to prevent.

So during the night, I was thinking the wolves would attack someone who wasn't on the wagon (me, cedo, soramimi, emerald), and the the vigi would get one of the day's other targets (thesunfan, dAnceguy, soramimi, emerald). Wouldn't want to waste a seer on someone who might die that night. YoshL and Jayde I was the most positive of being human (also making them targets), which left j-rodd and Mea. I decided to seer j-rodd, because I thought the town might turn on him for spearheading two (well, he suggested the second one and tried to seem noncommittal about it) wrong lynches, and I wanted to know if he should be defended for it.

Oh, and also, there's a Godfather in here somewhere if we assume there are three Vs. The scenarios with Ts are gone if we assume there's no SK.

BBCCVVV, BCCCVVV, BCCDVVV, BCCTVVV, CCCDVVV, CCDDVVV, CCDTVVV

This is very well played seer role Silvuh, major kudos. I had this really weird hunch about you. You had a very neutral, conservative play style and it rang bells in me ears.

[soramimi]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

Sounds like a good plan to me. Also, if Silvuh is the seer, should we give a name for seering also?

I'm really not sure at this point. My gut is leaning towards sunfan. At very least, I'd want him seered. I'm going to go through the thread a bit more.

[Crazyjayde]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

Doing a quick rundown of Mea's and thesunfan's post history and collecting data.

[Crazyjayde]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

@sora, seering is superficial at this point imo. We can't be assured Silv's gonna make it past this night anyway. With his golden play this game I'm pretty sure he'll know what he has to do.

[cedolad]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

Well even if Silvuh seers, chances are we won't get to hear them.

[Crazyjayde]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

We can't be assured Silv's gonna make it past this night anyway
Well even if Silvuh seers, chances are we won't get to hear them.

Same word count.
Same number of letters. (exactly 50 each)

The ultimate mindmelt.

[cedolad]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

But also I would like to know why Mea is trying to go invisible?

[soramimi]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

I realize that might be the case, but hey, we never know.

[soramimi]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

But true, we can't count on it. Either way, no harm in having a seering done regardless.

[cedolad]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

Same word count.
Same number of letters. (exactly 50 each)

The ultimate mindmelt.

how the fuck

[Crazyjayde]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

A list of isolated data taken day per day:

MeaCulpa

D1
Slight acknowledgment of Jrodd and a prod at James, quickly taken down. [130, 139, 318]
Human lead on Jrodd, Yoshl, Cedolad and neutral read on James. [494]
Cross-vote with James May on Bynary in eod. Jrodd being the author of the wagon. [512]

...
emerald000 -> dAnceguy117
Bynary Fission -> soramimi
thesunfan -> dAnceguy117
Pyschoangel691 -> cedolad
cedolad -> dAnceguy117
thesunfan -> Silvuh
soramimi -> UNVOTE
j-rodd123 -> Bynary Fission
James May -> Bynary Fission
emerald000 -> j-rodd123
thesunfan -> Bynary Fission
YoshL -> Bynary Fission
Silvuh -> emerald000
soramimi -> emerald000
Bynary Fission -> UNVOTE
YoshL -> James May
YoshL -> emerald000
soramimi -> UNVOTE
dAnceguy117 -> Bynary Fission
YoshL -> Bynary Fission
emerald000 -> dAnceguy117
thesunfan -> MeaCulpa
cedolad -> dAnceguy117
thesunfan -> emerald000
thesunfan -> Silvuh
Pyschoangel691 -> thesunfan
Velocity -> James May
dAnceguy117 -> Silvuh
James May -> Silvuh
Psychoangel691 -> James May
cedolad -> Bynary Fission
Bynary Fission -> j-rodd123
Pyschoangel691 -> Silvuh
soramimi -> Silvuh
thesunfan -> cedolad
Pyschoangel691 -> James May
Silvuh -> Bynary Fission
thesunfan -> Silvuh
James May -> Bynary Fission
MeaCulpa -> Bynary Fission
Pyschoangel691 -> Bynary Fission
emerald000 -> Bynary Fission

D2
Flip reaction. [543]
Vote justification, and reaching out for Jrodd's opinion. [583]
Mid-phase reads, Jrodd on a safe neutral and some small suspicions on thesunfan. There's also the "I can see how my gameplay so far looks suspicious" remark. [611, 635]
Leading to a second gentle unvote (first one in D1 after prodding James May). [774]
Focuses on the main wagons then the D2 shenanigans happens (null read). [803]

D3
Obligatory reaction post. Wolves just feel the need to~ [903]
Adding a third vote on cedolad in what was basically a pressure tally. Manifesting suspicions on Jrodd after the lynch, but not giving it momentum. Affirms the flip didn't sway his reads, a weird thing to say considering the sudden change of heart concerning emerald. [960]
Reworked early reads, including the aforementioned emerald read. Coming in a strange timing but I don't have any real beef with it apart from: "just realized there are only 8 of us left with 2 wolves + possible SK". Exact number + seems anxious. [964]
I read it with a motherly tone. Rude. [971] (I'm kidding)
Third unvote after stating he wanted to lynch Silvuh for his claim. He first went for Cedo immediately when heat appeared and now expressed it for Silv. Difference between "will" and "need". [1082]
The fourth unvote, my favorite. Does the only thing he can do, backs up, then disappears behind a curtain of mystery. I'm thinking demoralized attempt. Quickly realizes and justifies. [1085, 1088, 1089]

-

Listed here are 17/48 pertinent posts, with a count of 16 by the start of D3. A lot of D1/D2 is justification, surfacing and appearing helpful. Most of the information seem to rely on the others, apart from maybe giving momentum to the emerald D2 push. Entering D3, he seems to a exhibit a different state of mind, and express the desire to push a lynch. A definite flag.

Those suspicions were fostered upon entering the game. I don't think I even need to do the same for thesunfan.

Lynch Jrodd
Vigi MeaCulpa
Checkmate