TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

[emerald000]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

And if we lynch an innocent person over a vague hunch? While we aren't at the later phases of the game yet I have witnessed whole games lost because a human got lynched for no justifiable reason, and given the distribution of roles the odds of us lynching a human are much greater than the odds of lynching a wolf at this point in the game.

Yes, but we have 0% to kill a wolf if we don't do kill anybody. ~20% is better than 0%.

[cedolad]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

And if we lynch an innocent person over a vague hunch? While we aren't at the later phases of the game yet I have witnessed whole games lost because a human got lynched for no justifiable reason, and given the distribution of roles the odds of us lynching a human are much greater than the odds of lynching a wolf at this point in the game.

Honestly with the day start it is hard to say that we can lynch a wolf right now. The objective behind the unjustifiable lynch is to:

A) lessen the player pool so that the odds of finding a wolf next day is more manageable.

B) find the reactions from certain players on how we came about the lynch, or the no lynch depending on how the rest of the night goes
&
C) build a big enough voting pool that more comprehensible voting patterns are established.

I understand your caution, but it's too early in the game to not have someone dead right now. Think of it if it were a night start, someone would be dead right now. Traditionally speaking we would already be at a 12p pool. Given a day start, we humans get a chance to choose who would die and the data gathered from the lynch is more impressionable than of a wolf kill.

[Bynary Fission]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

Yes, but we have 0% to kill a wolf if we don't do kill anybody. ~20% is better than 0%.

I can't say I disagree with you - but at the moment the logical deduction here stems from statements like "this guy feels wrong" - at the very least if we lynch somebody I'd prefer it be done with a bit more of a concrete set of statements. But since you lean towards a lynch, who do you think stands out the most as a possible wolf?

[thesunfan]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

See, this is why votes this early, even with little reason or practically none at all can be GOOD. Look at the discussion that has generated from me just throwing a vote at Mea, which I wasn't even really remotely sure of. Biggest surprise from this was dAnce's reaction, he almost never wants to push a lynch through this early, and never on this little evidence. As for me not backing up my reasoning with too much insight (I forget who pointed that out, exactly, I think it was Yoshl?) you're tough out of luck. I don't share anything more than the bare minimum until Day Two.

[cedolad]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

how the rest of the day goes

oops fixed

[thesunfan]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

oh yeah, dAnce cuz I suck at remembering to bold

[Bynary Fission]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

Honestly with the day start it is hard to say that we can lynch a wolf right now. The objective behind the unjustifiable lynch is to:

A) lessen the player pool so that the odds of finding a wolf next day is more manageable.

B) find the reactions from certain players on how we came about the lynch, or the no lynch depending on how the rest of the night goes
&
C) build a big enough voting pool that more comprehensible voting patterns are established.

I understand your caution, but it's too early in the game to not have someone dead right now. Think of it if it were a night start, someone would be dead right now. Traditionally speaking we would already be at a 12p pool. Given a day start, we humans get a chance to choose who would die and the data gathered from the lynch is more impressionable than of a wolf kill.

Hmm - I definitely agree with your second and third statements (though I understand the logic behind the first - it's a lot different than how I would approach it, but that doesn't mean I disagree). To repeat what I said to Emerald, who would you be leaning on right now for a lynch? I'm interested to hear what you have deduced so far.

[emerald000]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

I'd really like to come out and say I deduced everything. Really. But I really don't have anything. There's this dAnce thing I pointed earlier. There's also thesunfan I find weird, but that's a gut feeling more than anything. Honestly, at this point, I'd be ready to vote for pretty much anybody, even though I'd rather not have to.

[cedolad]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

Hmm - I definitely agree with your second and third statements (though I understand the logic behind the first - it's a lot different than how I would approach it, but that doesn't mean I disagree). To repeat what I said to Emerald, who would you be leaning on right now for a lynch? I'm interested to hear what you have deduced so far.

Honestly I have to yet to come to a solid conclusion of who I want to lynch, but I suppose my lynch pool is something like:

danceguy (he seems odd and fishy, this isn't normally how he would play Day 1 as far as I can remember)

soramimi (random newb lynch, sorry if it happens)

Velocity (hasn't really given much input since the surge of activity)

Again these aren't concrete, but I'm okay with these three for the time being.

[cedolad]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

Mr Charu if you're here can we get a vote count please?

[Charu]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

7 VOTES FOR LYNCH

dAnceguy117 - XXX

MeaCulpa - X

soramimi - X

Silvuh - X

cedolad - X

thesunfan - X

j-rodd123 -> soramimi
YoshL -> Psychoangel691
YoshL -> James May
Bynary Fission -> MeaCupla
cedolad -> YoshL
cedolad -> Velocity
thesunfan -> cedolad
YoshL -> thesunfan
thesunfan -> YoshL
cedolad -> j-rodd123
thesunfan -> cedolad
YoshL -> thesunfan
j-rodd123 -> cedolad
cedolad -> soramimi
MeaCulpa -> soramimi
cedolad -> YoshL
soramimi -> Silvuh
dAnceguy117 -> MeaCulpa
YoshL -> cedolad
YoshL -> thesunfan
cedolad -> Velocity
thesunfan -> Pyschoangel691
cedolad -> Silvuh
cedolad -> Velocity
emerald000 -> Silvuh
YoshL -> soramimi
Velocity -> cedolad
cedolad -> UNVOTE
MeaCulpa -> James May
James May -> cedolad
Velocity -> UNVOTE
MeaCupla -> UNVOTE
YoshL -> James May
cedolad -> MeaCulpa
thesunfan -> MeaCulpa
cedolad -> thesunfan
cedolad -> MeaCulpa
James May -> UNVOTE
cedolad -> dAnceguy117
YoshL -> thesunfan
emerald000 -> dAnceguy117
Bynary Fission -> soramimi
thesunfan -> dAnceguy117

[cedolad]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

Thank you sir.

Bynary, same question. Whom would you prefer to lynch and reasons as to why if you could.

Also how do you feel about my lynch pool, and Emeralds for that matter?

[cedolad]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

Also if I counted correctly, we only have 8 votes. That means 5 people have yet to define a vote, 2 of which haven't even voted at all.

[cedolad]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

Also if I counted correctly, we only have 8 votes. That means 5 people have yet to define a vote, 2 of which haven't even voted at all.

Those two are psychoangel and Silvuh.

Someone prod them into voting, it's weird they're not voting as the general consensus of the player pool is leaning towards a lynch.

[psychoangel691]

Re: TWG CVII: Where da Wolves at? (C9++ setup)

It's odd that I don't want to put in an empty vote with nothing behind it when we still have a full day left?