TWG Turbo 41: Trust Fall! [GAME THREAD]

[roundbox]

wow he really slow rolled us

[roundbox]

this was VERY foreseeable idk what you're "what"ing about

I hated freezinice, so I thought this was a bad decision
turns out it was freezin who made the bad decision

[roundbox]

now I have to ISO lewdy

[the sun fan]

that is very disappointing, and proves that my initial read was right, at least

[the sun fan]

I guess we hit critical mass a long time ago

[the sun fan]

now I'm just really annoyed

[the sun fan]

btw I'm confirmed town
if I was a wolf, I'd accept either trust offer and the game would be over

[mellon_collie]

btw I'm confirmed town
if I was a wolf, I'd accept either trust offer and the game would be over

now I agree that we have actual information lol

[the sun fan]

wolves certainly misplayed not accepting freezin's offer right away, since if they did that, town wouldn't know that I am confirmed
whatever I'm just gonna go watch anime or something

really annoyed at both freezin and lewdy

[the sun fan]

strongly debating doing something insane and trusting someone I am not strongly townreading (but still townreading) because I think town is so far behind as a result of that break
idk man I think our win % is much, much lower now

if someone randomly trusts someone else and we just lose from that, I will be quite annoyed, nothing else to really say

[the sun fan]

haku is always town in my opinion, just from mechanics
tokomi is always town in my opinion, I reread his post about why he trusted haku in response to freezin proposing to shadow_god, and that's just never from a wolf, I don't think. I really have been trying not to underestimate him, and I even hate that word, I just simply feel forced into using it for lack of a better alternative.
lar is close to always town in my opinion and I think we probably just lose if he is a wolf. His reasoning and proposal to me makes me feel very good about him, I CERTAINLY don't want to underestimate him here, but his progression for proposing to me makes sense, and I kinda think it is a really tough line to find as a wolf to talk about how even a red flip of me looks really bad for the wolves. I think I miss it myself if I am a wolf in his shoes.

there comes a distance here, but roundbox has felt good, it might be him artificially just vibing with me, but his takes in his catchup posts made me feel somewhat good about him

I know that with raeko, ducduc and Galax (and possibly roundbox), there lies the last wolf.

I kinda want to yolo within this group and if we lose, we lose. If I am right on haku, toko, lar, then, with myself, that would get us to final 4 with raeko, ducduc, galax and roundbox if we just immediately left and didn't lose. Eliminating one name from that group, and putting someone within haku/toko/lar in that final 4 sounds pretty great to me, I kinda think that's the only good chance we have of winning this game.

I have faith in raeko and roundbox to potentially find one another there, but it gets otherwise quite dicey from there if that's not how that shakes down.

[the sun fan]

I'm gonna iso for a bit, see if I get anything from shadow_god's iso. In particular I want to see his reaction to galax trusting me.

I am thinking of trusting galax back and seeing what may come of this.

[the sun fan]

Also deadass, I would 100% pair up with a furry!

Furries are some of the most kindhearted, loving, and amazing people that I've had the pleasure of knowing even if I know a small handful

freezinice fursona where

[the sun fan]

hakulyte and shadow_god had overlapping trust fall offers, time-wise
assuming wolves didn't miss a win, which would REALLY piss me off
Haku is confirmed town as well

[the sun fan]

I am about to post my conclusion on lewdy's interactions from an ISO
I had stuff formatted like # and then the post number, but that sometimes does some... very strange stuff in formatting
god I really do not enjoy the new forum very much right now
anyways here are my conclusion

Lewdy interactions

haku:
66, really feels like he isn't talking to a teammate.
283, he isn't speaking to a teammate there. I'm going to stop keeping track of haku/lewdy interactions.
Imo, haku is cleared.
(a little bit after this I realized Hakulyte is essentially confirmed town)

tokomi:
83, same as other entrances.
93 means that, imo, lewdy can't ever be with toko. 92 helps this as well, just not a way he was ever talking to a partner there.
162, he just isn't talking to a teammate. I'm going to stop keeping track of toko/lewdy interactions.
Imo, toko is cleared.

ducduc:
147 he mistakes galax for Shado's wife, when that is Ducduc. Dunno what to do with this, but it is relevant.
178 his reaction to ducduc's entrance is sooooooooooooooooo, so very different to everyone else's intro to the thread. feels w/w.
711 feels kinda not w/w fwiw. He is kind of measured here, idk. I will debate this one a little more.

raeko:
71, same thing as first interaction with lar. Kinda feels like he isn't talking to a teammate.
164/165 feels... kinda like not a w/w exchange? not 100% on this.
183/185 he forgets raeko in his "vibes list" feels kinda less likely to be w/w but I need more.
432 kinda reads like he is trying to throw shade on raeko?? I don't know if he does this with a partner, but maybe? It is awkward for sure.
734 genuninely wonder if he is fishing for whether or not I am scumreading his partner.
765 claimed to ISO raeko in 13 minutes. I will check the veracity of this. He offers no real conclusions other than "Idk I guess I can try trusting her" but genuinely seems at a loss as to how to expand on this point. I think wolves are less likely to ISO their partners in this kind of scenario fwiw, idk whether or not he actually did ISO her, I'll check if 13 minutes lines up now. It seems very easy to have read her ISO in 13 minutes, she had a lot less content at this point of the game than I thought. I don't really know what Lewdy was doing here. I *think* this thing is kind of so awkward that it makes it harder for him to be with raeko??? I don't really know man, this one is super strange.
raeko's post of 808 (when I was ISOing her) makes me think that she is less likely to be with lewdy.
771 kinda feels like when he was townreading me for stuff that I thought was NAI. Him townreading her for her sarcasm him really strikes me as quite different to when duc duc got "a single town point." I think raeko is beginning to look fairly good from lewdy's ISO.
828 the stuff around here looks GREAT for raeko. Genuinely don't know if Lewdy even knows what antispew is, because that's what he needs to be doing here, and it just feels like he isn't doing that.

roundbox:
183 the scumread on roundbox for "lack of activity" does feel like something he might do to an inactive partner when he feels extra lost.
289... the way that lewdy is talking about roundbox is quite strange to me... idk why he feels inclined to comment on someone who had either 0 or 1 posts at this point in time, but it is quite strange to me.
381 is... awkward. He also does this later to galax when she enters, so whatever. Without that, I might think that this is more w/w.
734 genuninely wonder if he is fishing for whether or not I am scumreading his partner.

galax:
147 he mistakes galax for Shado's wife, when that is Ducduc. Dunno what to do with this, but it is relevant.
775 is... important. He is a little awkward here, but I don't get a ton. HOWEVER
779, I kinda don't think he can be with Galax for how he felt sorry for his wording in 775. I don't think he really had anything to worry about with that, but he felt it important enough to apologize, and I think that this looks GREAT for Galax stocks rn.

lar:
39, quite friendly. Will gauge with later interactions.
336 I *think* think this isn't w/w.
497... firstly Lewdy's tone here is actually good for the first time. Try to post like this normally when you're a wolf, Lewdy, it'll help a lot. The fact that his tone is so natural makes me think it is less likely w/w with Lar.
887 is... maybe a little bit bad for lar? idk, it is minor, lewdy is probably just trying to be consistent for some fucking reason.

497 is very important; of the people I have the scummiest, he shades all four of them in this post.
It... might not be that important that Lewdy missed Freezin's trust fall offer before he went to bed. As far as I can tell, only Haku and I were around in that time. I wish there was more here, but I think there just isn't.

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conclusions
toko looks basically cleared
raeko looks surprisingly good
galax has one really good moment and then a bunch of nothing, but I think it overall looks quite good just from two very important moments
lar could look better (but I think lar is town for other reasons)

roundbox looks genuinely quite bad from this
duc duc looks pretty bad as well

I think I am townreading raeko a good bit more than I was a moment before

I'm going to check one or two more things, give some general ideas, and then I might just accept galax's offer to swing kinda big