TWG CXXI Mis-speling BOM
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Originally posted by Moogyno one caresOriginally posted by TWG Dan Hedgehogthere are 743 matches for hedgehog suicide on deviantart
that's kind of a sad statistic -
Re: TWG CXXI Mis-speling BOM
In that scenario, Natural Action Resolution or w/e it's called occurs
stuff that doesn't interfere with other things happen first
therefore, in your example, sunfan's kill goes through, then sk kill goes throughComment
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Re: TWG CXXI Mis-speling BOM
oh ok
So I guess a roleblock technically is possible
Originally posted by Moogyno one caresOriginally posted by TWG Dan Hedgehogthere are 743 matches for hedgehog suicide on deviantart
that's kind of a sad statisticComment
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Originally posted by Moogyno one caresOriginally posted by TWG Dan Hedgehogthere are 743 matches for hedgehog suicide on deviantart
that's kind of a sad statisticComment
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Re: TWG CXXI Mis-speling BOM
You suggest a Town Roleblocker may have blocked Psychoangel (and get defensive about it?) and then bet that the D or B must have stopped the wolf kill instead. I guess I can forgive the contradiction because you seem to be doing some pretty stream-of-consciousness posting, but, yeah, watch out for that.It's also possible that a human roleblocker saw the V flip and since psycho hadn't claimed yet decided to block her. Regardless, suspecting midi and I for the roleblocking because we're the only ones still alive that pushed/were pushed against by psycho day1 would be shortsighted.Comment
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Re: TWG CXXI Mis-speling BOM
So uh, it was interesting that, D1, two of the wolves had votes on each other rather than on V. Not counting V's vote, V had five people on him (blind, cedo, psycho, Dab, Charu) and seven off (Xiz, Gradiant Plop, Xel, sunfan, swirl, Silvuh). In D2, I was thinking the wolves would want to kill from the group with the fewest wolves in it, so they would maximize their buffer if we tore into one group. However, a majority of the wolves were in the larger group that didn't vote for V, and Gradiant and Walking Target iluswirl were both in that group. Soo uh, that was totally wrong.
It does make sense now if the wolves hit Gradiant because they took the "blue looks good on me" post seriously. If that's the case, it's likely the SK targeted a protected iluswirl. And if Gradiant was hit by a wolf, and we actually have a blocker, then that person would be able to come out with the identity of the SK. But again, because they didn't block the SK again N2, we more likely have a doctor if we assume Gradiant was hit by the wolves.
... And if we assume the wolves and SK didn't hit the same target, which I keep forgetting is a thing that can happen. If the wolves were blue-hunting and the SK was wolf-hunting (as seen in the N2 kill), neither of them would have targeted iluswirl N1, so ... I feel like I'm back at square one. I would have put money (not literally) on CCMDTTT, but now I'm not so sure.
Anyway. Four of the people who ended with votes on V are still alive (blind, cedo, dab, Charu), and four who didn't are (Plop, Xel, swirl, Silvuh), and swirl's confirmed green, so ... Hm. How often does it happen that a lynch occurs without a single wolf on the person?
TWG CXVIII
D1: two wolves on lynch, one off (13 players, 7 to insta)
D2: two wolevs on lynch, one off (11 players, 6 to insta)
D3: two wolves on lynch, one off (9 players, 5 to insta)
D4: two wolves on lynch, one abstain (7 players, 4 to insta)
TWG CXVII
D0: two wolves on lynch, one off (13 players, 6 votes)
D1: one wolf on lynch, two abstain (11 players, 6 to insta)
D2: two wolves on lynch, one abstain (9 players, 5 to insta, wolf lynched)
D3: one wolf off lynch, one abstain (7 players, 3 votes, wolf lynched)
D4: lone wolf on lynch (5 players, 3 to insta)
TWG CXVI
D1: all three wolves on lynch (10 players, 6 to insta)
D2: one wolf on lynch, one wolf off (7 players, 4 to isnta)
D3: two wolves on lynch for the win (5 players, 3 to insta)
And a C9++ to compare to:
TWG CXI
D1: all three wolves off lynch (13 players, 6 votes, wolf lynched)
D2: one wolf on lynch, one off (9 players, 5 to insta)
D3: one wolf off lynch, one abstain (6 players, 2 votes, wolf lynched)
... Not very often, especially not when it's a green/blue who's lynched. Small sample size and a convenient sample, so I fail as a statistician, but yeah.
So uh. Likely wolf in blind, cedo, Dab, Charu. If cedo's town and just managed to convince enough townies to lynch another town, welp. But Dab's vote was so fishy it hurts. A VT wouldn't benefit from acting so obviously suspicious. No idea where the SK is because I'm dumb and spent all that time looking through old logs rather than through the interactions in this thread.
So we have two non-aligned scum left out of eight, insta at 5, so I'm not in danger of screwing this up if I leave a vote on DaBackPack, which is where I want it to be for now.
This phase ends at 3 CST, so I need to get out of bed at least like two hours earlier. Setting an alarm. If for some reason I'm unable to get out of bed, you'll need five out of seven players present for an insta, so uh, the rest of the town would have to agree or one scum will have to vote another with four of the town so we can get a good lynch. This being if my vote's not on scum right now. Anyway. Sleep time. Sorry I'll be back so late.Comment
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Re: TWG CXXI Mis-speling BOM
I am not a role. I am a VT who tried to soft claim doc in an attempt to save psycho so we could have some sort of leverage D3. My planned failed.
As for everything else, I like this increase in activity from Silvuh so far, XelNya's singular "Zzzz" post was rather shitty. And the fact he's been sitting in thread all the time worries me.
I really have nothing much else to add, I'm really tired, I just got off work, and I get to do this all again.
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Re: TWG CXXI Mis-speling BOM
Posting from my phone now in bed because I lied there for like one moment and realized I should probably be replaced. We need everyone present when it really matters. If YoshL knows someone who's been keeping up with the thread but doesn't know the roles, that would be wonderful. If not, I wouldn't want to throw someone into the fray who would need most of the time to catch up and possibly miss important information. But maybe even that would be better than me showing up so late and blah.Comment
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Re: TWG CXXI Mis-speling BOM
Oh you think I was being shitty eh? Ironic. I was taking a shit when I posted it. Try to get that out of your head now. Hahahahahahahaha.I am not a role. I am a VT who tried to soft claim doc in an attempt to save psycho so we could have some sort of leverage D3. My planned failed.
As for everything else, I like this increase in activity from Silvuh so far, XelNya's singular "Zzzz" post was rather shitty. And the fact he's been sitting in thread all the time worries me.
Time to toss my top hat into the ring again:
Blind or Charu is the last wolf.
- Let's note a post from our wolf friend's interaction with him:
Post: 145
A bit of speculation (nothing supports this directly but): It's weird of Xiz to do this. We have V who was lynched night one. We have Charu who hasn't died yet, but you could speculate it's a public target fishing between wolves. Could he be fishing with blind maybe? Charu maybe? I only say this because:Blindreaper is literally the easiest and safest person to vote for so far this game.
My early read is telling me your just a wrong town but, I'm toying with you being mafia.
Way more mafia then charu or v that is.
If it was between you three? You would probably be first to go.
Could be a speculated response from soonfan to ziX. This feels strong, even if it's a tad far-fetched considering a lack of evidence in later phases.
But I feel it's possibly more blind because of the "toying with you being mafia" comment. But the same can be argued in inverse for charu with "Way more mafia than charu or V" (though V's dead.) Admittedly I am a bit biased to vote blind because I feel any game he plays intentionally like shit he tends to be wolfy. This vote is a mix of gut feeling + theory/referenced past games logic. Which admittedly, is not the best source.
I like what Silvuh's thinking with DBP, but I don't feel it's a good vote at the moment. The SK is too hidden and I feel the best course is to attempt to kill the final wolf first. I feel that is the safest move.Comment
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Re: TWG CXXI Mis-speling BOM
Why did you lie about getting roleblocked. Today.I am not a role. I am a VT who tried to soft claim doc in an attempt to save psycho so we could have some sort of leverage D3. My planned failed.
As for everything else, I like this increase in activity from Silvuh so far, XelNya's singular "Zzzz" post was rather shitty. And the fact he's been sitting in thread all the time worries me.
I really have nothing much else to add, I'm really tired, I just got off work, and I get to do this all again.
Originally posted by Moogyno one caresOriginally posted by TWG Dan Hedgehogthere are 743 matches for hedgehog suicide on deviantart
that's kind of a sad statisticComment
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Re: TWG CXXI Mis-speling BOM
You admitted it was a plan. And then that you got roleblocked.
Originally posted by Moogyno one caresOriginally posted by TWG Dan Hedgehogthere are 743 matches for hedgehog suicide on deviantart
that's kind of a sad statisticComment
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Re: TWG CXXI Mis-speling BOM
Wait... I just realized unvote god I'm retarded
Originally posted by Moogyno one caresOriginally posted by TWG Dan Hedgehogthere are 743 matches for hedgehog suicide on deviantart
that's kind of a sad statisticComment




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