TWG 210: Vanilla Ice Cream in Sprite [GAME THREAD]

[the sun fan]

Re: TWG 210: Vanilla Ice Cream in Sprite [GAME THREAD]

that terrible nightmare i had),

I was TEMPTED to change my avatar to Twisted Fate but multiple avatar changes in one game give me a bad feeling

[FreezinIce]

Re: TWG 210: Vanilla Ice Cream in Sprite [GAME THREAD]

i think if you are town (which im becoming more convinced is likely as time goes on and i forget that terrible nightmare i had), the wolves probably just random.org'd the kill.

either that or a wolf REALLY didnt like something about shado

[FreezinIce]

Re: TWG 210: Vanilla Ice Cream in Sprite [GAME THREAD]

your entire post reads like "i think you're a wolf because who else would leave me alive"

first of all, ill mail you a safety pin so you can deflate your ego a bit.

second of all, you dont seem to notice that ive been trying probably more this phase than any other one. Theres only so much you can do with no flip info and ive laid my cards on the table and tried to be as transparent as possible.

There was a world where i voted you due to paranoia and we possibly autolose, so i want you to reciprocate and throw me a bone here!

[FreezinIce]

Re: TWG 210: Vanilla Ice Cream in Sprite [GAME THREAD]

I think your stocks rose into wolfdom a whole lot after zenith flipped green for reasons I outlined last phase when shado pressed me on it

I am not convinced that you (or anyone) is a wolf at present, but yes, it does *feel* like I have been losing to you

and I don't really think there are many (maybe not any? I will probably never be quite that sure) wolf teams that don't include you that leave me alive

maybe xel and two more without you can do that but like
xel/botchi/dbp is the only thing I feel like makes a ton of sense there (maybe haku is there somehow but that's kind of out of my hands right now)

I expected more fire from you as well today, as I commented earlier. I *think* but am not really confident that you were a lot more passive in lylo in that game where you yoshl and I rolled wolves and we basically won the game from the roll itself.

the tl;dr is "yes;" it really FEELS like you are a wolf based on game state, but there's never been a moment where I'm like "aha! got his ass!"
I am struggling to build a team that leaves me alive that doesn't have you on it

i think if you are town (which im becoming more convinced is likely as time goes on and i forget that terrible nightmare i had), the wolves probably just random.org'd the kill.

You are right that this is something i would definitely try if i was a wolf because i despise fear killing unless its almost a certainty it will lead to my death, but you probably need to get over the fact that you are somehow alive.

[the sun fan]

Re: TWG 210: Vanilla Ice Cream in Sprite [GAME THREAD]

"a ton of sense" is not appropriately worded in my above post
it should say something like "any plausible sense at all"

[FreezinIce]

Re: TWG 210: Vanilla Ice Cream in Sprite [GAME THREAD]

yeah i dunno, only thing i can see is maybe the length of the spoiler tag was too long

[the sun fan]

Re: TWG 210: Vanilla Ice Cream in Sprite [GAME THREAD]

I'm gonna ask you something that sounds kind of presumptuous. Do you really think I'm a wolf here?

I think your stocks rose into wolfdom a whole lot after zenith flipped green for reasons I outlined last phase when shado pressed me on it

I am not convinced that you (or anyone) is a wolf at present, but yes, it does *feel* like I have been losing to you

and I don't really think there are many (maybe not any? I will probably never be quite that sure) wolf teams that don't include you that leave me alive

maybe xel and two more without you can do that but like
xel/botchi/dbp is the only thing I feel like makes a ton of sense there (maybe haku is there somehow but that's kind of out of my hands right now)

I expected more fire from you as well today, as I commented earlier. I *think* but am not really confident that you were a lot more passive in lylo in that game where you yoshl and I rolled wolves and we basically won the game from the roll itself.

the tl;dr is "yes;" it really FEELS like you are a wolf based on game state, but there's never been a moment where I'm like "aha! got his ass!"
I am struggling to build a team that leaves me alive that doesn't have you on it

[FreezinIce]

Re: TWG 210: Vanilla Ice Cream in Sprite [GAME THREAD]

got em. now for some filler text to make it roughly the same length.

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[FreezinIce]

Re: TWG 210: Vanilla Ice Cream in Sprite [GAME THREAD]

genuinely I don't know why this happened
if you know how I formatted it wrong, please do let me know

I checked it when you originally posted it and couldn't find anything wrong. I'll check it again in a bit

[the sun fan]

Re: TWG 210: Vanilla Ice Cream in Sprite [GAME THREAD]

Also I hope you realize that spoiler is broken and to read it I had to quote the original post. Thats a bad job by you

genuinely I don't know why this happened
if you know how I formatted it wrong, please do let me know

[the sun fan]

Re: TWG 210: Vanilla Ice Cream in Sprite [GAME THREAD]

Is this what got shado killed?

if so, he can be right on only 2 of the 3 wolves, and is wrong in botchi/sunfan/haku/bugkid (from your perspective of course)

but maybe it was the DBP scumread that got him killed, yeah
that's maybe the simplest conclusion that can be drawn here

[FreezinIce]

Re: TWG 210: Vanilla Ice Cream in Sprite [GAME THREAD]

I'm gonna ask you something that sounds kind of presumptuous. Do you really think I'm a wolf here?

[FreezinIce]

Re: TWG 210: Vanilla Ice Cream in Sprite [GAME THREAD]

Also I hope you realize that spoiler is broken and to read it I had to quote the original post. Thats a bad job by you

[FreezinIce]

Re: TWG 210: Vanilla Ice Cream in Sprite [GAME THREAD]

@freezin I did comment on ur sudden ben turnaround
you even commented on it later saying you felt bad that I read through ben's posts looking for what I thought was missing from your progression

oh right. My memory of early game is not the greatest it seems

[FreezinIce]

Re: TWG 210: Vanilla Ice Cream in Sprite [GAME THREAD]

the sun fan - I've had my moments of paranoia and hesitation but he's lock town. his read progressions actually make sense when you trace them, and he hasn't had a single structural push that ties him to anyone. his votes and pushes and even switches have been pro-town. the way he got to ben at D0 EOD was genuinely painful to watch and felt real. his read on DBP has been independent and persistent across both phases. EVERYONE WHO IS LIKE ME AND GETS PARANOID, DO NOT TINFOIL THIS READ. Town.

Hakulyte - town. voted DBP at D0 when nobody else did. I can see he's evolved as a player since we used to play together, but there's a certain kind of tinfoil I relied on to be able to read when he was town and I haven't gotten it wrong yet and he's been showing it this game. his reads have been better than ever and show the evolution I'm talking about. he's also been updating on new information rather than entrenching or echoing endlessly. I don't have a single flag on him. town.


bugkid666 - their low D0 presence was explained upfront and the posts they did make were honest. their vibe has been genuine all game and their D2 (and earlier) read on DBP has personal weight that I think is real. they knows what wolf DBP looks like, or at least what town DBP doesn't look like, and they're calling it out. their observation in #1130 about whether two wolves would pile onto a wolf zenith and asking if that's why DBP switched was sharp and independent. solid town as well.


botchi246 - the D0 NV was bad and the D1 vote on me was thin. but D2 has been more engaged than I expected. his "I really don't see a wolf just voting by themselves" reasoning is at least a real principle and he's been honest about his own confusion throughout. the sunfan vote looks OMGUS to me and I think he'll admit that. slight town lean but I haven't done enough work to clear him properly.


FreezinIce - two bad EOD calls is a problem. he was on HnH with DBP at D1 EOD and they were the two most vocal drivers of that wagon. his D2 self-disclosure about playing on surface reads and tone rather than analysis was either genuine transparency or a wolf getting ahead of a read, and I can't tell which. his read shifts have tracked with whoever was most recently talking to him rather than developing independently. his mic drop of xel/botchi/zenith conspicuously excludes DBP. null, can't clear yet, and if zenith flips red his stocks go up.


XelNya - was early on the ben wagon alongside DBP in D0 without much stated reasoning, and ended on the zenith wagon at D1 EOD also without reasoning. Xel could easily bus, so not giving much points for that. low engagement across both phases. his D2 post was the most substantive thing he's produced all game but it arrived very late and some of his reasoning was hard to follow. slight wolf lean, lowest priority.


Zenith - today's vote. the D0 contradiction between threatening sunfan and later claiming he was "just building a town circle" has never been resolved. the PR comment in a vanilla setup generated four different explanations when pressed. he and DBP validated each other's case against ben in D0 and ben was town. he survived D1 only because DBP moved off him at the last second to create the coinflip. wolf read.


DaBackpack - covered in the post above. wolf.

Is this what got shado killed?