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Old 02-22-2025, 01:32 AM   #11
leetic
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Join Date: Apr 2020
Posts: 5
Default Re: TWG Turbo 37: Der Freischütz [GAME THREAD]

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hakulyte View Post
Hello y'all,

I'm having a debate with myself right now about if you guys are my best allies or just rolled wolf to stir conversation about blue roles. (I'm talking about either leetic or arapocalypse, but it's never too late to be more sus.)

I can see the enthusiast about looking into how much the game can brute force itself, but it's also one of the easier things to say.

2 wagons is probably the ideal world for whoever has to revisit posts during the night and take decisions.
I surprisingly don't like everyone self-voting here even with the role because wolves don't have to take risks with the votes and it's a lot more difficult to read into.
Not to mention, you have like 66,66% chance to vote someone town (not counting yourself) on the first day.

I usually vote based on behavior or if you're too difficult to read.
So yeah, if you guys can be as transparent as possible with intentions behind plays that'd be great.
That's more important to me than the math being done right.

This phase, I'd be looking at like-minded thoughts and try to vote into a pool that is making the least sense to me.
The good news is that we're the weekend and I should be around a lot. I'm sure I will run into misunderstandings soon enough because I don't have the best reading comprehension. \o

That being said, I understand that it's difficult to talk about behavior when almost no one else posted so, yeah.
I disagree that you can't read people based on mechanical talk. You can learn a lot about the mindset of how someone is approaching the game based on their suggestions. It's basically a skill you have to learn in NSM.

May I ask where you're getting the 66% from? Assuming someone is town, from their perspective a random vote on someone other than themselves would have a 75% chance of hitting town, though that changes depending on whether PRs claim. We should probably assume that a PR should claim if they're in danger of going down at EoD, though it gets more complicated for the non-Freikugel PRs as realistically the counterwagons have a high chance of getting shot by the Freikugel. That's another thing we should probably pin down, coming to a consensus on not only who gets lynched but who the Freikugel should shoot.
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