14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

**WirryWoo** · 07-6-2021, 05:34 PM

Hey all, thought it's tradition to at least have one of these bad boys going for this OT

For those who aren't aware, I wrote a quick Python script to predict the winners for this OT (why not lmfao). Here are the results under three assumptions:

Assumptions:
• Current OT division placements are finalized (I'm aware that there may be minimal changes)
• Each user is currently at the skill rating level of what their Top 100 scores suggests
• Each user's Top 15 (which defines a player's overall rank) is representative of their current skill rating.

Predictions:

Additional thoughts:

Feel free to share your thoughts and opinions about your own predictions for this OT or comment on how accurate you think the results above are.

**FlynnMac** · 07-6-2021, 05:40 PM

I'm going for at least top 16, and want to see if I can hit top 8 as a stretch goal perhaps

**SubaruPoptart** · 07-6-2021, 05:46 PM

I predict everyone who participates in this tournament will get a profile badge

**Zlyice** · 07-6-2021, 05:48 PM

I predict this thread will contain predictions.

**Eryyy** · 07-6-2021, 05:48 PM

Time to show technology who's boss :')

Also Nakadashi is gonna roll the dice for sure, he's easily D8 for his physicality (33MSD without much farm LOL) and acc is nuts, I could see him winning if he adapts more and plays his cards right lol. The fact he's in D7 chills me.

**Kawaii025** · 07-6-2021, 05:50 PM

I predict that I'll be out 2nd round again.

**SubaruPoptart** · 07-6-2021, 06:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kawaii025

I predict that I'll be out 2nd round again.

I predict your prediction will not be accurate i always give myself 3rd round at best and you should too

**Pizza69** · 07-6-2021, 06:06 PM

- defluxit wins d5
- jh05013 gets top 5 d6
- i get eliminated from d7 in either round 2 or round 4, but not 3
- cup gets top 8 d7
- lawn wake 69

sff_writer_dan · 07-6-2021, 06:18 PM

Come on Swedish Meatballs v Devonin finals!

**gold stinger** · 07-6-2021, 07:17 PM

devilchilly wins d7 again
haku actually wins d6
Anmao stays in D8 long enough with subpar accuracy to dominate the higher rank songs

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pizza69

- lawn wake 69

**Kawaii025** · 07-6-2021, 08:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SubaruPoptart

I predict your prediction will not be accurate i always give myself 3rd round at best and you should too

But have you seen my last few tourney performances? :P

**SubaruPoptart** · 07-6-2021, 08:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kawaii025

But have you seen my last few tourney performances? :P

I have not but

**Psychotik** · 07-6-2021, 09:24 PM

I will be last in D5

**MKIIPro** · 07-6-2021, 09:27 PM

DIVISION ONE
WINNER: Fireo
R/U: Uni385

DIVISION TWO
WINNER: Puzzler64
R/U: TopeDogeWOW

DIVISION THREE
WINNER: Logman6656
R/U: SC_coolguy44

DIVISION FOUR
WINNER: ositzxz369
R/U: psychoangel691

DIVISION FIVE
WINNER: PrawnSkunk
R/U: qrrbrbirbel

DIVISION SIX
WINNER: sploder12
R/U: CammyGoesRawr

DIVISION SEVEN
WINNER: cup
R/U: Pizza69

DIVISION EIGHT
WINNER: Matthia
R/U: AnMaO

sonic10110 · 07-6-2021, 09:46 PM

bouta be last in D2, watch me

**XelNya** · 07-6-2021, 09:58 PM

I want to see Haku win D6

and Zenith or Devil win D7

Don't really care about the rest for reasons

**themastergrant** · 07-6-2021, 10:00 PM

HBar can take D2 dark horse style

Edit: Nice R1 AAA HBar

Zeldagurlfan1 · 07-6-2021, 10:21 PM

I hope that y all know that im choosing you to win your division <3

sff_writer_dan · 07-6-2021, 11:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MKIIPro

DIVISION ONE
WINNER: Fireo
R/U: Uni385

Aw man, I don't even get a shot at runner up?

**_DJ Vinyl_** · 07-7-2021, 12:07 AM

I'll will get top 3 again probably

07-6-2021, 05:34 PM	#1
WirryWoo Forever Derbyless Join Date: Aug 2020 Age: 34 Posts: 240	14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread Hey all, thought it's tradition to at least have one of these bad boys going for this OT For those who aren't aware, I wrote a quick Python script to predict the winners for this OT (why not lmfao). Here are the results under three assumptions: Assumptions: • Current OT division placements are finalized (I'm aware that there may be minimal changes) • Each user is currently at the skill rating level of what their Top 100 scores suggests • Each user's Top 15 (which defines a player's overall rank) is representative of their current skill rating. Predictions: Top 8 of Division 1: sff_writer_dan SwedishMeatballs Winterprison The_Popo Telnaior Frans813 Fireo Zeldagurlfan1 Top 8 of Division 2: kainivy LightLifeCheetah TopeDogeWOW chuckman popo55 NapalmDaDon HBar Ksl33zy24 Top 8 of Division 3: Viisbyxa kiba1000 exchro Psycast anrai flashflash master tmgCryptX csoup1414 Top 8 of Division 4: A Cheap Lemon katanaeyegaming Brasegali TheFFRPerson Jonlovesddr VisD Zlyice ositzxz369 Top 8 of Division 5: Phynx IwasAsquidOnce justin_ator PrawnSkunk Jtehanonymous snooches Defluxit Arbliterator Top 8 of Division 6: Ultimate Mike7 Hakulyte LeftyRighty FFR Pro 21 iironiic awein999 radioamor RagedBerserker Top 8 of Division 7: _Zenith_ Josemba CallMeMessyy Devilchilly Aquellex mi40 Godnick Naheeno Top 8 of Division 8: AnMaO Matthia Elah Eliminate294 Zoobin4 Yyorshire SoFast xXOpkillerXx Additional thoughts: Even though the predictions above contain some alignment to what I truly believe to be the winners of this OT, the assumptions made above are not necessarily true. I know some participants listed in my predictions who recently came back from hiatus and are attempting to derust. I also know some participants not listed in any of the lists above that can provide a strong showing based on their recent scores (recency bias at play here). Because of this, I think the following players can potentially disprove the results of my Python script (unfortunately, I don't know much about the competition below D6, so I'll refrain from making wild guesses here) • aperson [D6] • jh05013 [D6] • cup [D7] • Eryyy [D7] • XtraFestive [D8] Feel free to share your thoughts and opinions about your own predictions for this OT or comment on how accurate you think the results above are. __________________

07-6-2021, 05:40 PM	#2
FlynnMac Boom. Local FFR Person Join Date: May 2019 Age: 23 Posts: 534	Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread I'm going for at least top 16, and want to see if I can hit top 8 as a stretch goal perhaps __________________

07-6-2021, 05:48 PM	#4
Zlyice Slightly unpronounceable Difficulty Consultant Join Date: Dec 2009 Location: Massachusetts Age: 35 Posts: 272	Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread I predict this thread will contain predictions.

07-6-2021, 05:48 PM	#5
Eryyy Godly Join Date: Jun 2018 Posts: 22	Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread Time to show technology who's boss :') Also Nakadashi is gonna roll the dice for sure, he's easily D8 for his physicality (33MSD without much farm LOL) and acc is nuts, I could see him winning if he adapts more and plays his cards right lol. The fact he's in D7 chills me. __________________ Last edited by Eryyy; 07-6-2021 at 05:51 PM.. Reason: flynn mac wins all divisions

07-6-2021, 05:50 PM	#6
Kawaii025 Fake D4 Join Date: Jun 2007 Location: Ten-ah-c Posts: 1,404	Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread I predict that I'll be out 2nd round again. __________________ My List of FFR Tournaments Pre-10/16/16 Highest AAA: Connect (HOUSE SOUL REMIX) & Case Closed (54) Highest Blackflag: Survive (60) Highest FC: Challenge the final mission! (68) Highest SDG: The Fusion (63) Otaku Speedvibe [Heavy] unlocked 03/04/15 - On The Origin of Species (Evolution) (50) Highest AAA:Case Closed (58) Highest Blackflag: Survive (58) Highest Booflag: Fill Me Up With Snacky Happiness & Suit Up (55) Highest FC: Challenge the final mission! (72) Highest SDG: The Fusion (67)

07-6-2021, 06:06 PM	#8
Pizza69 Retired Staff Join Date: Aug 2013 Posts: 700	Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread - defluxit wins d5 - jh05013 gets top 5 d6 - i get eliminated from d7 in either round 2 or round 4, but not 3 - cup gets top 8 d7 - lawn wake 69 __________________

07-6-2021, 06:18 PM	#9
sff_writer_dan FFR Player Join Date: Aug 2020 Posts: 135	Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread Come on Swedish Meatballs v Devonin finals!

07-6-2021, 09:46 PM	#15
sonic10110 FFR Player Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 28	Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread bouta be last in D2, watch me

07-6-2021, 09:58 PM	#16
XelNya [Nobody liked that.] Join Date: Sep 2012 Posts: 3,368	Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread I want to see Haku win D6 and Zenith or Devil win D7 Don't really care about the rest for reasons __________________ Dun Dun Dun Dun Dun Dun Dun Dun Dun Dun Dun Dun Dun Dun Dun Dun beep

07-6-2021, 10:00 PM	#17
themastergrant FFR Veteran Join Date: Aug 2013 Posts: 84	Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread HBar can take D2 dark horse style Edit: Nice R1 AAA HBar __________________ The world is destined for even greater chaos. Last edited by themastergrant; 07-7-2021 at 12:20 AM..

07-6-2021, 10:21 PM	#18
Zeldagurlfan1 FFR Player Join Date: Jan 2007 Location: Hyrule Castle Age: 33 Posts: 333	Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread I hope that y all know that im choosing you to win your division <3

07-7-2021, 12:07 AM	#20
_DJ Vinyl_ Fast Scroller Maniac Join Date: Jan 2014 Age: 26 Posts: 503	Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread I'll will get top 3 again probably __________________ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCSg...vbFAAaebi70bHg Anime list: https://anilist.co/user/DJVinyl/animelist Let my weirdness flow:

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