TWGCXXVIII - The Inferno War

[thesunfan]

yes I said we should keep Xiz alive because "he's funny" p much.

I know we're killing Xiz. also, we may or may not have 5 more lynches; it depends on the # of people that die each night, which varies in this setup.

[XelNya]

btw if the objective on your ends is to get me to post more

sorry next time I can post is around 6:30PM PST or so, so have fun with it I guess. (Yay work.)

[Red Blaster]

Our other blue is basically useless though.
If they are hit they are dead..and the chances they'll ever die making some sort of clutch save is completely random.

[blindreper1179]

Originally Posted by Red Blaster

Our other blue is basically useless though.
If they are hit they are dead..and the chances they'll ever die making some sort of clutch save is completely random.

WHAT!? I'd rather one die instead of even two. It's a great ability.

[blindreper1179]

There's eight people who hide tonight, giving a two per one ratio almost. The bodyguard is most likely going to save a life in the next night phase, giving us potentially another mislynch if we need it. That helps a lot by adding another day phase.

[Red Blaster]

Originally Posted by blindreper1179

There's eight people who hide tonight, giving a two per one ratio almost. The bodyguard is most likely going to save a life in the next night phase, giving us potentially another mislynch if we need it. That helps a lot by adding another day phase.

Except the fact of the 1/5 odds of the BG being in the house the scum pick. The odds are lower than 1/5 when you add the 'town being in the same house' factor.
I agree that the BG gets more and more valuable as/if they survive night phases, but early on they are essentially not very usefull as at best they'd prevent 0-2 kills at most.

[Red Blaster]

Originally Posted by blindreper1179

There's eight people who hide tonight, giving a two per one ratio almost. The bodyguard is most likely going to save a life in the next night phase, giving us potentially another mislynch if we need it. That helps a lot by adding another day phase.

Yeah there's a 2:1 ratio but that doesn't imply 2 people are hiding in each house.

[DarkManticoreX2]

Funny I saw posts from you that weren't answers to my questions.

:Leers:

[blindreper1179]

Originally Posted by Red Blaster

Yeah there's a 2:1 ratio but that doesn't imply 2 people are hiding in each house.

I know, but I didn't really know how to show that I guess? Either way, personally I want the bodyguard alive as long as possible to save more people. Or die soon if 3/4 people chose the house the bodyguard picked and arsonists picked. I know I know, low odds blah blah blah.

[Funnygurl555]

Originally Posted by DarkManticoreX2

Funny I saw posts from you that weren't answers to my questions.

:Leers:

Oh yeah so I had like 10 minutes to post there and now I'm heading to a night class

[Funnygurl555]

Who the hell thought night classes were a good idea they're freaking terrible

[Red Blaster]

FG's doing that thing where she only posts when pinged out.

[Xiz]

oh shit sorry sunfan i got bored lol

[choof]

no one validated my reads so I'm just going to assume everyone agrees, thanks

[Tokzic]

long overdue reads list GO~

(listed in descending order of wolf probability)

--

Xiz - our heroic fireman

Red Blaster - The post I quoted back when I voted him with no explanation was extremely forced neutral in tone and put him on my radar enough for me to want to prod at him. All of my prodding did nothing to produce any town-like noises out of him. This particular post during the D1 lynch is EXTREMELY damning - he brings up the possibility of Xiz being blue, straight up says he wouldn't vote Xiz unless it was to save his own hide, and puts a ton of fuel into the DBP wagon.

blindreper1179 - Unhelpful to town? Check. Only made one read in 72 hours and only started making more after tons of strongarming? Check. Super suspicious looking last-second vote movements during D1? Check.

Funnygurl555 - Made a lot of bad moves during the Xiz fiasco. On the whole though, her attitude towards her misplays is giving me huge Smash Bros TWG flashbacks, and that pushes her a lot further down the list.

Cold Kitten - Didn't really participate in the game before vanishing other than some nervous posts without any reads to fit into the big picture. Some of Xiz's interactions with her are a little questionable. Null leaning red.

Guest15937 - Completely null. Likely inactive human.

choof - Done some things that have made me scratch my head but on the whole has earned a lot more green points than red through relaxed, natural posting tone.

XelNya - Doesn't say much of substance but when he does it seems to come from a very townie mindset. Lots of mindmeld going on, he chimes in every time I say something poignant. Don't think he's our guy.

DarkManticorex2 - Was on Xiz's ass the second the game started and never once let up. Extremely unlikely to be red. A few of his posts during the EOD insanity had me trying to picture it all as a big bus, but knowing his calibre, I think he'd realise how costly a D1 bus would be in this gametype.

thesunfan - Huge activity and constantly pro-town content, so confident on Xiz that he wanted to lynch him early, and on the right side of the fence at every turn of the thread. Zero doubt in my mind that he's town.

Tokzic - I need you too Sunfan!!

[Tokzic]

hell i'd even put fg below cold when i think about it more

[DarkManticoreX2]

@ yoshL.

Wolves only get to talk to one another during night phase correct?

[Tokzic]

xiz

[blindreper1179]

Tokzic, how is my last minute voting suspicious at all? I voted backpack first, way before he was the leading lynch, and wasn't going to change UNTIL he claimed. Even as scum I wouldn't be stupid enough to keep my vote on him. So I went to xiz, my next scum, MY next scum. Yeah, sure, manti and Sun were on him already, the most anyways, but I wasn't liking how he was playing. Then what, HOLY SHIT A COUNTER CLAIM, WHAT!!?!?! From what I've learned is to vote the one counter claimed. So back to backpack I went. I don't know how MY votes were suspicious, but everyone else going "oh Fuck what do I do" entails no suspicion.

[YoshL]

james may will be replacing cold kitten.