12-19-2014, 09:02 PM | #1 |
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Song Submission & Events Manager
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How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
I'm thinking around 4-5 years, placing my bets on May of 2019.
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12-19-2014, 09:21 PM | #2 |
FFR Player
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 865
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Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
how long do you think we have 2,000,000 active members that play ffr
I'm thinking about never
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12-19-2014, 09:27 PM | #3 |
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Song Submission & Events Manager
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Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
if we had 2,000,000 people using FFR all at the same time FFR would crash.
It's bad enough as it is sometimes during tournaments. |
12-19-2014, 09:33 PM | #4 |
FFR Player
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 865
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Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
also how many of these members are legit members, excluding
alts bots yaboy's 200 alt collection
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12-19-2014, 09:45 PM | #5 |
Banned
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 8,563
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Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
yaboy, blazze...
..me |
12-19-2014, 09:55 PM | #6 |
Snivy! Dohoho!
Join Date: Mar 2006
Age: 33
Posts: 6,161
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Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
I award this post the Thread Killer McMuffington Scum
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12-19-2014, 11:23 PM | #7 |
Vice President Of TGB
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Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
Where's blazze, anaru, and yaboy at? We could have 2mil accounts by Christmas.
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12-20-2014, 12:31 AM | #8 |
Expect delays.
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Montreal, QC
Age: 31
Posts: 4,129
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Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
To me, 3.5 years seems reasonable, since that seems like the amount of time it took to add 100,000 accounts to the counter.
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12-20-2014, 12:34 AM | #9 |
FFR Player
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 256
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Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
Somebody go tell Rapta
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12-20-2014, 03:54 AM | #10 |
Snek
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Kansas
Age: 34
Posts: 9,192
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Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
I bet there are less than 100,000 legit individual users registered.
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12-20-2014, 04:20 AM | #11 |
Stuck in the past
Join Date: Oct 2013
Location: Portsmouth, UK
Age: 28
Posts: 1,168
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Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
2024
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12-20-2014, 08:41 AM | #12 |
Definitively Not Pro
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: Quebec city
Age: 22
Posts: 167
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Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
A few months maybe?
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12-20-2014, 09:07 AM | #13 |
Banned
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 8,563
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Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
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12-20-2014, 09:13 AM | #14 |
FFR Player
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 865
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Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
+1
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12-20-2014, 09:24 AM | #15 |
FFR Wiki Admin
Wiki Administrator
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Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
April 24th, 2016 will be the day we hit 2 millions
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12-20-2014, 10:27 AM | #16 |
FFR Player
Join Date: Sep 2012
Location: England
Posts: 466
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Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
member 1.75M is 3.75 years old
member 1.775M is 3.29 years old member 1.8M is 2.67 years old member 1.825M is 2.08 years old member 1.85M is 1.4 years old member 1.875M is 0.96 years old member 1.9M is 0.12 years old plug it into a linear regression calculator and you get that you expect 2 million members in 2.17 years from now, which is mid-february 2017 /geek
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Theorem: If you have a large enough number of monkeys, and a large enough number of computer keyboards, one of them will sight-read AAA death piano on stealth. And the ffr community will forever worship it. Proof Example ask me anything here mashed FCs: 329 |
12-20-2014, 11:24 AM | #17 | |
Mostly Ignored
Skill Rating Designer
Join Date: Mar 2011
Posts: 471
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Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
Quote:
Did we accept or reject the null hypothesis?
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12-20-2014, 12:19 PM | #18 |
Accuracy Player
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Connecticut
Age: 28
Posts: 4,628
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Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
With people like Preggers, we'll hit that milestone easily in the next year, I won't even give it a full year to be honest
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12-20-2014, 12:30 PM | #19 |
✘ Forever OP✘
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: Canada,Quebec
Age: 29
Posts: 4,171
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Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
Better change this thread to "Name people with alts"
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12-20-2014, 12:32 PM | #20 | |
FFR Player
Join Date: Sep 2012
Location: England
Posts: 466
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Re: How long do you all think it will be until we hit 2,000,000 members?
Quote:
if you want the r^2 value then put the numbers into the online calculator i linked and press the calculate button and scroll down. linear regression is the wrong test to use for hypothesis testing here. that's because the number of accounts has got to go up with time, which is a causal factor that you're ignoring when you do the test. what you should be doing is testing whether the new accounts are generated at a constant rate, and if you want to do that using only the data i've given you, you do a chi-squared goodness-of-fit. but in this case there's no point in doing that because if you stare at the numbers and don't blink for a few seconds, you'll notice that hell will freeze over and leonardo dicaprio will win an oscar before a poisson process would generate numbers like this. obviously a fixed rate poisson process is far too strong a condition to use here, but there's not much that can be done except assume linearity and go for the trend line. haha yeah he was talking to me about this in prochat a while back. xelnya (i think) said give it 2 months and he'll get there :P
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Theorem: If you have a large enough number of monkeys, and a large enough number of computer keyboards, one of them will sight-read AAA death piano on stealth. And the ffr community will forever worship it. Proof Example ask me anything here mashed FCs: 329 |
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