13th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

[themastergrant]

Originally Posted by _Zenith_

Never made a predictions post but never too late to I guess:

D1: I wish I knew more of the active D1 players, but Logman is my top 1
D2: Rooting for Bach96, themastergrant, and Ksleezy
D3: Oberon, Xiz, and Funiax
D4: Danredge, ositzxz369, and JenovaSephiroth
D5: Sunfan, DissonantMuse, Axith<3, DFR<3, and _Fluttershy_
D6: Poison-, MyNameisNothing, Hakulyte, LeftyRighty, and Awein
D7: (Without including myself) Blackskull, Walrus, Sexigashi, and Caliber
D8: Myuka, Bojii, ,SoFast and Toaphster

Rooting for all you underdogs and hidden dragons, even if you're taking the piss

<3 thanks for the support, good luck to you in D7 that next round chart is rough!

D2R5 Prediction: cutoff will be 8-0-0-0. Everyone still in tourney shouldn’t have too many problems with the file, and 1:52 length makes it grindable, which seems to be a strength for D2 participants this time around.

[roundb0x]

I think the files are going to be gayer than ever, with tons of dumpfile bullshit that makes no sense rhythmically and straight up homosexual patterns that make even the most prodigious FFR veteran quake in their neon pink high-top cowboy boots. Having said this, the champion of this tournament in the final bracket will be rewarded with infinite pussy in the form of FFR fangirls that have nothing better to do than post their filthy vaginas on social media platforms. It will be a sight to behold, but only for those that ascend to this level of excellence. May SMGod be with you all.

[choof]

Originally Posted by roundb0x

I think the files are going to be gayer than ever, with tons of dumpfile bullshit that makes no sense rhythmically and straight up homosexual patterns that make even the most prodigious FFR veteran quake in their neon pink high-top cowboy boots. Having said this, the champion of this tournament in the final bracket will be rewarded with infinite pussy in the form of FFR fangirls that have nothing better to do than post their filthy vaginas on social media platforms. It will be a sight to behold, but only for those that ascend to this level of excellence. May SMGod be with you all.

incredible post

[Arere]

did we go back in time 10 years or something

[FlynnMac]

If anything, despite me wanting to cheer for Logman, Sarbin has to be my top pick for D1. If Logman didn't have conflicts that prevented him from playing in the OT for round 5-6 then he could have had a shot at winning. For now though, Sarbin is my D1 prediction and pretty much has been since the start.

[Zeldagurlfan1]

ZELDAGURLFAN1 for D1 ooooooOOOooOoOOooo

honestly, everyones been pulling their weight this 4th round but ive managed to hold my place seein' the scores shift was kind of intense

D2: im cheering for kelsey even tho he should be higher ahhh but mastergrant seems to have a full straight AAA on lock so good stuff!
D3:GOOD LUCK i think Kadef is the toughest comp tho!
D4: I was rooting for Bolth mannn. but thats okay
D5: doughdough has had the highest submissions that i can see sooo
D6: Go HAKU
*pompoms*
D7: i really wanna see zenith pull through! gl!
D8: This Myuka hooman is formidable

Good luck to everyone! im enjoying the tourney a lot , good luck to my rivals!

[Dynam0]

My predictions now that there's enough data huehue

D1: Zeldagurlfan1
D2: Bach96
D3: kadef
D4: sploder12
D5: Dark Saga
D6: Cryolien
D7: Walrusizer
D8: Myuka

Also hoping D8 final will be a re-chart of Data Drain or some nonsense =D

[s1rnight]

DATA DRAIN that would be so cool

[mi40]

i hate to be a debbie downer but how are d7 people supposed to compete against this?
if you're around that skill level you know how much of a big jump is required to get this kind of score on that song. just feels like somebody skillboosted insanely in the past few years but didn't play enough new games on FFR to be placed properly, that score is incomprehensible from my point of view like, wow that is an INSANE player who could probably duke it out in d8 (well deserved praise here, don't get me wrong lol)

but yeah walrusizer wins d7 1000% with this kind of sick wanderflux score, probably could top 8 d8 with that too

[klimtkiller]

Originally Posted by mi40

i hate to be a debbie downer but how are d7 people supposed to compete against this?
if you're around that skill level you know how much of a big jump is required to get this kind of score on that song. just feels like somebody skillboosted insanely in the past few years but didn't play enough new games on FFR to be placed properly, that score is incomprehensible from my point of view like, wow that is an INSANE player who could probably duke it out in d8 (well deserved praise here, don't get me wrong lol)

but yeah walrusizer wins d7 1000% with this kind of sick wanderflux score, probably could top 8 d8 with that too

i said walrus belongs in d8 before the tourney started rofl

[mi40]

Originally Posted by klimtkiller

i said walrus belongs in d8 before the tourney started rofl

never paid attention to the other people until yesterday ish and that score just blew my mind, like really hard.

[Walrusizer]

Originally Posted by mi40

i hate to be a debbie downer but how are d7 people supposed to compete against this?
if you're around that skill level you know how much of a big jump is required to get this kind of score on that song. just feels like somebody skillboosted insanely in the past few years but didn't play enough new games on FFR to be placed properly, that score is incomprehensible from my point of view like, wow that is an INSANE player who could probably duke it out in d8 (well deserved praise here, don't get me wrong lol)

but yeah walrusizer wins d7 1000% with this kind of sick wanderflux score, probably could top 8 d8 with that too

To preface this, it would definitely be completely fair to consider me D8 now, and I wouldn't have had any problem being placed D8 at the start of the tourney regardless. If I wasn't so rusty at the beginning I probably would've pushed for it myself. I started at a pretty similar overall skill and rust level as I did last OT, in which IIRC I barely made top 8 despite the difficulty range favoring me better than they are this year.

That said, I'm super imbalanced as a player, so I don't think winning D7 is anywhere near as clear-cut at some people seem to think. If the next two rounds are powerflux 2 and wanderflux 2, sure, but that doesn't seem likely. Multiple people beat me last round on vantablack, which doesn't even have anything that I should be exceptionally bad at. I also wouldn't be surprised at all to mindblock the first half of epsilon to the point of unplayability before improving my score much, if at all, considering I can already barely make it to the first stream with AAA and already feel mindblocks forming. Multiple D7 players still in the tournament have scores on more technical and/or jacky 100+ charts that I can't beat at all, and having charts like that for the last two rounds is nowhere near out of the range of possibility.

Also, I'm 99% sure I wouldn't have made it past round 1 in D8 with gengaozo, and I'm not sure if I could even get a passing score on it now. I actually don't think there's any D8 round where I would've been competitive, even though some of the later charts favor my skillset more.

TLDR: good at straightforward stuff, legendarily bad at jacks, pretty bad at tech, bad at consistency, and really good at forming mindblocks.

[mi40]

for reference, the 8 people above that score are the people that take up #1-#8 on the leaderboards @ lv 103 or higher

and the 10 people below him are all d8 with the exception of maybe deimory who i don't know because they didn't sign up for the tournament

[mi40]

i figured that might be case since wanderflux is super straightforward and not a super technical file. but that level of physical prowess is still super nutty, but as long as you are giving it your best shot in every round i am completely in understanding of the situation - the only thing i would've hated was somebody not giving it their all

[sploder12]

D1: Sarbin vs SwedishMeatballs
(bias towards Sarbin)

D1 seems to be pretty volatile