TWG CXLIV - The Freeze Wars (Sex Live)

[roundbox]

Originally Posted by Vendetta21

roundbox wants to lynch tokzic and said so yesterday i would really like roundbox to come in and explain himself there

when did I say this

[Vendetta21]

Originally Posted by AragakiAyase

why is it too risky? If a player has the capability to perform analysis like this they could plausibly engineer this. If they screw something up it looks very forced and is a red flag but completely ruling it out idk. I didn't look at dbp as closely as you seem to have though

it's too risky to try to think that many contingencies ahead during the night phase because when you start thinking that many steps ahead you have these problems
1.) youve expended a bunch of effort thinking up something people wont notice
2.) wolves are never quite as coordinated as people expect and so you come up with a plan and your wolf partners just fail to follow it because wolves are somewhat lazy in TWG because wolfing is uncomfortable

it is such a bar-none safer option to seer a human (if tokzic is a wolf) because you will tell that human their location last night and thus gain support from them for your cause (lynching xiz) and not put yourself into a dangerous position of giving too much up about your team by associating with them.

and then how dbp reacts to that situation seems pretty geniune, and not acted. last game as SK DBP wasn't able to act human very well, a couple people spotted it in day 1. the narrative supports dbp as human either with xiz or tokzic as a wolf.

[AragakiAyase]

Originally Posted by Vendetta21

At this point, yeah. There are two effects which corroborate this, one is my confidence on xiz (I wouldn't be pushing to kill one of the three claims without a lot of confidence) and knowing that in order for xiz to claim he had to be prepared to stay outside the AC Room last night, which means DBP being seered in the Dino room clears him.

I don't share your confidence on xiz which is why I was pushing this as a possibility

[Vendetta21]

Originally Posted by roundbox

when did I say this

okay gimme a sec

roundbox [11:18 PM] feeling pretty confident about rzr/tokzic/dabackpack

you said this

[roundbox]

Originally Posted by Vendetta21

okay gimme a sec



you said this

those are my town reads

[Vendetta21]

Originally Posted by AragakiAyase

I don't share your confidence on xiz which is why I was pushing this as a possibility

you specifically don't share my confidence on xiz that he wouldn't be able to go to the AC room if he fakeclaimed last night?

[AragakiAyase]

Originally Posted by Vendetta21

you specifically don't share my confidence on xiz that he wouldn't be able to go to the AC room if he fakeclaimed last night?

No, I don't share your confidence that xiz is the wolf in the gorup of 3

[Vendetta21]

you have to be more clear here, because what i'm talking about is a clearing of DBP that analyzes two contingencies

1.) xiz is a wolf
2.) if xiz is not a wolf and tokzic is a wolf

in both contingencies, i clear dbp. so if you don't share my confidence on xiz, that doesn't negate my clear, so quoting that out of context is disingenuous, and not reading the entirety of my clear shows you don't care about why i cleared him, you have an agenda of unclearing him.

[AragakiAyase]

Originally Posted by AragakiAyase

No, I don't share your confidence that xiz is the wolf in the gorup of 3

this is why

http://pastebin.com/QLrHQp8t

[Vendetta21]

so do you not understand the entirety of my logic?

[AragakiAyase]

Originally Posted by Vendetta21

you have to be more clear here, because what i'm talking about is a clearing of DBP that analyzes two contingencies

1.) xiz is a wolf
2.) if xiz is not a wolf and tokzic is a wolf

in both contingencies, i clear dbp. so if you don't share my confidence on xiz, that doesn't negate my clear, so quoting that out of context is disingenuous, and not reading the entirety of my clear shows you don't care about why i cleared him, you have an agenda of unclearing him.

Originally Posted by Vendetta21

so do you not understand the entirety of my logic?

I do now, I looked at each piece individually and found issues with them but putting them together I see why DBP is pretty clear. Clearing people makes me nervous though

[AragakiAyase]

and if you want to know why I looked at each piece individually:

started with part 2 because:

Originally Posted by AragakiAyase

I skimmed over the first part of your post too fast because I was remembering the middle part sticking out to me. I'm not pushing an agenda, I'm exploring all possibilities and I'll bring this up again if it is still relevant after the necessary flips

then jumped to only part 1 because I read this and focused on it:

Originally Posted by Vendetta21

fucking feels like you didn't even care to read the goddamn post when you ignore the first fucking sentence

[Vendetta21]

ok

[Vendetta21]

Originally Posted by roundbox

those are my town reads

oh alright writing three people like that is usually like the grammatical structure for listing your perceived wolf team

unvote

[AragakiAyase]

hi charu

[Charu]

Heya

k, bye

[AragakiAyase]

don't be like that

[Xiz]

Charu you actually used to be fun to play twg with and im not sure what happened but im really disappointed. :\

[botchi246]

I wish charu, storn and maybe xel would be more active. RIP

[AragakiAyase]

xel