TWG CXXXIII: Gotta Lynch 'em All! GAME THREAD ROUND 2 CAUSE YOU ASSES

[Vendetta21]

Originally Posted by storn42

inactive woofs? 5 people (1/3 of the game) had no votes that day. one of them was dbp. i wouldn't be surprised if 2 or even 3 of the woofs were all inactive and just didn't vote.

Outside of DBP, Charu and myself only leaves Reuben Tate and Cold Kitten.

[Vendetta21]

Reuben very well could be a wolf, but I just struggle to see with the voting patterns Cold Kitten as one, but it is possible. If exactly those two people are wolves then there isn't a wolf on DBP.

[storn42]

anyways i really need to get some sleep (even though i'm really digging this conversation) i'm heading off to bed though i might be able to answer a few last questins.

[Vendetta21]

Originally Posted by storn42

i know this is going to sound like im tunneling on this idea but look at this list of players
cold Kitten, Charu, DaBackpac, Lightknight924 (V), reuben_tate
all of them didn't vote. well 2 of them are dead and that leaves dbp and charu dead. whats left is V, ben, and CK. lets assume CK is a VT for this experiment. that leaves V and ben. ben has been read red (lol read red, damn! why cant this be red blaster. "Red has been read red" anywas...) by a few people so for this experiments lets say thats 1 woof down. if V is a woof that is 2, but V has been pretty town right now so i'll let it slide. 2 woof votes unavailible. that means that only two woofs are around to vote. one could be on dbp and one elsewhere, or they could both be on CK.

And, both of them being on CK would be the most natural play in that scenario given yours and choof's expressed scum read of CK, it would be the most likely possible swing as it would only take one vote swap to KitB.

[storn42]

Originally Posted by Vendetta21

And, both of them being on CK would be the most natural play in that scenario given yours and choof's expressed scum read of CK, it would be the most likely possible swing as it would only take one vote swap to KitB.

i think that means ben is a woof then wouldn't it unless you would like to suggest that choof or red is a woof.

[Vendetta21]

The scenario where CK is a wolf is still possible but it seems outrageous to me. It would mean that 4-6 humans (and 0-2 wolves) were dispersed across the top two wolf lynch candidates and the wolves just miraculously fucked up in multiple, multiple ways

[storn42]

Originally Posted by Vendetta21

The scenario where CK is a wolf is still possible but it seems outrageous to me. It would mean that 4-6 humans (and 0-2 wolves) were dispersed across the top two wolf lynch candidates and the wolves just miraculously fucked up in multiple, multiple ways

or where (0-1) and (7-8) if BOTH ben and CK are woofs, either way, i have a hard time believing ck is one though.

[Vendetta21]

Originally Posted by storn42

i think that means ben is a woof then wouldn't it unless you would like to suggest that choof or red is a woof.

Uhh why does this suggest Ben over other players as the foremost candidate to you?

[Vendetta21]

Originally Posted by storn42

i think that means ben is a woof then wouldn't it unless you would like to suggest that choof or red is a woof.

If Ben is an inactive wolf the optimal play for the other two wolves is to be on CK and try to swing a vote from either you or choof

So all of these scenarios need to be compared back to the actual comversations

[Vendetta21]

We got three wolves who couldn't keep DBP alive and suspicious behavior from Plop that is extremely hard to rationalize as town

[storn42]

Originally Posted by Vendetta21

Uhh why does this suggest Ben over other players as the foremost candidate to you?

(i know this will sound REALLY strange and out of character from my last 50 posts but....) we dont know that Plop is a woof. i'm trying to think of all the scenarios where the woofs dont kill CK and let a woof die D0. it seems most logical that one of them would be not voting for this to happen (with the past experiment done) i'm willing to bet that ben is that woof that didn't make it happen (he's been lacking in a lot of posts. i would make sense that he's lacking on the woof side of posting as well, which would also mean that he's not helping his partners and isn't there to cast the vote they need) idk.. i feel that if ben flips red, its very likely that plop is also red.

[storn42]

or maybe im thinking about this the wrong way and we should go for plop then ben. but it plop flips red, it might not mean that ben is red, but it ben flips red, it probably means that plop is red.... idk!!!! this is confusing me i need sleep. im out

[Vendetta21]

Does the conversation at phase end look like a mad push for somewhere other than DBP or does it look like some wolves might be cutting their losses and trying to play triage?

[storn42]

i forgot my period.

.

[Vendetta21]

If it doesn't look like a mad push elsewhere what was the signal to play triage?

[Vendetta21]

Really don't understand your freneticism right now when plop still has a lot of explaining to do

[Vendetta21]

Hey choof I'm halfway to your post count, buddy. Alright goodnight thread I have words'd the fuck out of this thread.

[Vendetta21]

And honestly the DBP lynch in general just feels outrageously lucky... We nailed a dude for not posting and we did it with fucking minimal pushback from anyone

[Red Blaster]

If plop were to flip as human, where would that put you on sunfan?

[Red Blaster]

Originally Posted by Vendetta21

Does the conversation at phase end look like a mad push for somewhere other than DBP or look like some wolves might be cutting their losses and trying to play triage?

It honestly didn't seem like the typical oh fuck it's eod everybody vote now! type of thing, so you could be onto something here.