TWG CXXV - Charu Dies Multiple times. Danceguy Dies Once For Some Weird Reason

[XelNya]

I'd have to read and not skim.

I guess I should do that then

[Red Blaster]

Originally Posted by Red Blaster

Jrodd what do you think the possibility is that both factions went after Pop with nightkill?
I'm still apprehensive to believe one of them simply didn't put in a kill.

Not sure if you missed this Jrodd, but here it is again regardless

[j-rodd123]

Originally Posted by Red Blaster

Not sure if you missed this Jrodd, but here it is again regardless

well i mean it's just a shot in the dark but i would guess the kills were stacked. if they were, it doesn't look great for psychoangel's claim. or it could be a setup

levels upon levels

[j-rodd123]

Originally Posted by XelNya

I'd have to read and not skim.

I guess I should do that then

i'll do the same

[XelNya]

Someone save me the trouble of looking into who claimed what plz

[Red Blaster]

Originally Posted by XelNya

Someone save me the trouble of looking into who claimed what plz

Jrodd claimed cop, but now is saying he's Doctor.
I'm guardian.
Psycho claimed seer.

[Red Blaster]

Originally Posted by XelNya

Someone save me the trouble of looking into who claimed what plz

I swear there was another claim, but I haven't seen it so I must be imagining it.

[psychoangel691]

Those are the only claims I recall

[XelNya]

ohi

[psychoangel691]

Ohi

[Tokzic]

Originally Posted by T-Force

Finally, Tokzic, how can we be so sure there's 3 Mafia? Isn't there a chance there can be 2? Especially considering the only thing we know how is DD as the cop claim ended up being false.

If J-rodd's claim is true, we have a Doctor and a 1-shot Doctor in game, so our D roll is at least 3. If there are three Ds, Mafia Power Tier cannot be 1, and there are 3 Mafia in the game.

The only way there can be two Mafia is if J-rodd is not Doctor.

J-rodd, why did you fakeclaim Seer, into claiming Doctor? Please get me into your head on this, I am really confused.

[Tokzic]

Psycho, is there any particular reason you're sitting on your Seering result? Or did you share it and I missed it?

[j-rodd123]

i never hardclaimed seer just shut up about it and ignore it, i hardclaimed doctor which is confirmed in the game and no one has countered so seriously just quit annoying the only lock clear player

still am not satisfied with my reading of the thread so my good posts will come tomorrow

[Tokzic]

Originally Posted by Tokzic

If J-rodd's claim is true, we have a Doctor and a 1-shot Doctor in game, so our D roll is at least 3. If there are three Ds, Mafia Power Tier cannot be 1, and there are 3 Mafia in the game.

The only way there can be two Mafia is if J-rodd is not Doctor.

J-rodd, why did you fakeclaim Seer, into claiming Doctor? Please get me into your head on this, I am really confused.

Disregard this post, I was reading Cop letters, not Doctor letters.

What's actually going on is the D roll is at least 2, regardless of whether or not J-rodd is the Doctor, which he probably is since nobody has counterclaimed. This means there is a slight, but very low, chance that there are no other Mafia-related rolls in the game, i.e. a TTTTT setup.

So what's 1/2^5? 1/32? Yeah so about a 3% chance that there's 2 mafia. Don't count on it.

[Charles Claythorne]

Toxic Mac, psychoangel seered me as Green or Town or whatever it was that Seer seered as for this game.

Going to look through the thread in a few minutes. Took a nap and am feeling much better than I was before.

[Charles Claythorne]

Originally Posted by psychoangel691

Sorry got caught up looking at the wiki again. I'm having a little bit of a hard time remembering which roles go to which thing. I don't understand why red would guard you since a wolf isn't likely to kill you in the night. Already posted about that though.

I ended up going with Charles because of the very last minute vote on me. He came back as Human so he's not a wolf.

Here it is, Toxic Man.

[Tokzic]

Oh and after reading a little harder, even in the 3% odds that the Mafia are Power Tier 1, we know Wolves are a high enough Power Tier that Mafia would get a Traitor.

So yup, three Mafia no matter which way you slice it.

[Red Blaster]

Thoughts on Charles being mafia?

[Charles Claythorne]

Red Blaster, what about your thoughts on that? I screwed up last Phase for certain, but I similarly performed poorly last game in my incorrect read of TWG Bowser.

I just looked through Day 1 and a majority of active people are either dead or claimed a PR. I'm beginning to think that my theory that Mafia are under the radar may be true.

I particularly want XelNya to begin participating more. Have you ever played as Wolf before? And if so, what game?

Considering the possibility of XelNya bussing blind as a Partner, but not sure how likely it would be to occur. Might make sense considering XelNya's constant 'pushing' isn't likely to result in a lynch by its own merit, but eh.

[Charles Claythorne]

Also, should note that I'm going to be at a friend's birthday near end of day, so I'll only have access to the thread through my phone. I'll keep updated, but I won't be able to post prolifically. Hopefully, I don't get stuck without connection on the subway!!!