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Old 11-28-2011, 05:35 PM   #381
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Default Re: 6th Official Tournament Predictions Thread.

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Originally Posted by sticklydude View Post
Which means I'll be out in round 3.
Don't be so discouraged, you may last to round 4.
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Old 11-28-2011, 06:33 PM   #382
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Default Re: 6th Official Tournament Predictions Thread.

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Just means we aren't going to have a really tight competition until around round 4-5
I'll just be AAAing every song I can even if the cutoff is always as low as it is right now

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Old 11-28-2011, 09:46 PM   #383
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Default Re: 6th Official Tournament Predictions Thread.

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im over prepared. bring it on bitches i got my gameshark ready
i ****ing lol'ed
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Old 11-30-2011, 04:19 AM   #384
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Default Re: 6th Official Tournament Predictions Thread.

Cutoff predictions! Let's see if I'm right in a week.

With the weird gallops, I don't think D1 will see too many AAAs. Maybe 6 or so. Expecting a 15 goods cutoff, thereabouts.
D2 is going to have it rough. Only 5 AAAs, but the cutoff will be around 9 goods.
D3 has it rather easy this round. Expecting a good amount of AAAs and a 4 goods cutoff.
D4 is going to have less than 6 AAAs I think. The file is short, but easy to derp on. Cutoff will be... 6-1-0-1.
Wow, D5 is going to be AAA or die for sure. Possibly a blackflag cutoff if people are lazy.
D6 is harder for me to call. I'm going with at least 11 AAAs if not more, but a 4 goods cutoff.


EDIT- revised a few predictions...
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Old 11-30-2011, 05:28 AM   #385
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Default Re: 6th Official Tournament Predictions Thread.

Dear D2 BEST 21ST EVER = still being tourney... worst B-day pres ever will = realizing that tomorrow I have to play a song I cant pass the first 15sec of when I'm slithly drunk... I mean drunk....
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Old 11-30-2011, 09:26 AM   #386
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Default Re: 6th Official Tournament Predictions Thread.

Calling an AAA cut off for D5 and D6.
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Old 11-30-2011, 09:34 AM   #387
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Default Re: 6th Official Tournament Predictions Thread.

Calling D3 isn't going to have much of a cut off at all, a lot of people can't pa fast enough to hit those 24ths, and the trills at the beginning are annoying as ****.
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Old 11-30-2011, 09:57 AM   #388
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Default Re: 6th Official Tournament Predictions Thread.

I'll see if I can be one of those AAAs hi19 is mentioning
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Old 11-30-2011, 11:05 AM   #389
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Default Re: 6th Official Tournament Predictions Thread.

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Originally Posted by hi19hi19 View Post
With the weird gallops, I don't think D1 will see too many AAAs. Maybe 6 or so. Expecting a 15 goods cutoff, thereabouts.
I kind of disagree with this prediction. Being in D1 and actually having to play the song (1st to AAA this round too !) I felt the round was severely easier. The gallops are where I scored my goods the first and second try, but the third try I just kind of danced along in my seat and got it perfectly.

If you can get into the rhythm of things, then the D1 song is really fair. However, at this point the people in D1 either can PA songs, or can't. So those of us who can for the most part should get the AAA. Those of us who can't are probably going to weigh the cutoff down, so I can't disagree on the 15 goods prediction.


Also, being in D1 I don't really know a lot of the players, but did some spying on those in my division as most would do. So I may be able to give a slightly accurate prediction for the temper mental division.

D1 Predictions in no particular order:

The Thong
Kirbyman1990
Myself
Trivalent
xMUSICxMASTERx
PrezEvil
Mukku
Avion7 (This player really concerns me. Member for over 4 years, 5 fcs? 0 AAA's? But has AAA'ed each song in the competition already? I seriously think he needs to check his levelstats and get that updated.)

But that is my prediction for top 8 D1. Then again, you never really know because we do skillboost like mad.
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Old 11-30-2011, 11:11 AM   #390
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Default Re: 6th Official Tournament Predictions Thread.

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Originally Posted by NickGallagher7 View Post

D1 Predictions in no particular order:

xMUSICxMASTERx
Kirbyman1990
Myself
Trivalent
The Thong
PrezEvil
Mukku
Avion7 (This player really concerns me. Member for over 4 years, 5 fcs? 0 AAA's? But has AAA'ed each song in the competition already? I seriously think he needs to check his levelstats and get that updated.)
Fixed.
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Old 11-30-2011, 11:20 AM   #391
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Default Re: 6th Official Tournament Predictions Thread.

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Originally Posted by NickGallagher7 View Post
Avion7 (This player really concerns me. Member for over 4 years, 5 fcs? 0 AAA's? But has AAA'ed each song in the competition already? I seriously think he needs to check his levelstats and get that updated.)
lol I looked at his levelranks and yeah, gotta agree that's a little fishy.
2-0-0-2 on Glorious Morning? Probably good enough to be in D3 lmao
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Old 11-30-2011, 11:20 AM   #392
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Default Re: 6th Official Tournament Predictions Thread.

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Originally Posted by The_Toymaker View Post
Fixed.
Only time will tell !

Edit:

O_O Wow, that's a damn good score on glorious morning.
I sure hope he just got lucky. :S. Lets move him to the top of the list that's in no particular order.

Last edited by NickGallagher7; 11-30-2011 at 11:22 AM..
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Old 11-30-2011, 11:25 AM   #393
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Default Re: 6th Official Tournament Predictions Thread.

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Originally Posted by NickGallagher7 View Post
Only time will tell !

Edit:

O_O Wow, that's a damn good score on glorious morning.
I sure hope he just got lucky. :S. Lets move him to the top of the list that's in no particular order.
He's probably a sandbagger, a D1 person shouldn't get a score that would pass in D3. D2 I could understand, but two divisions?
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Old 11-30-2011, 11:26 AM   #394
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Default Re: 6th Official Tournament Predictions Thread.

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Originally Posted by The_Toymaker View Post
He's probably a sandbagger, a D1 person shouldn't get a score that would pass in D3. D2 I could understand, but two divisions?
That or just a SM player who decided to check out FFR after years of having an account on this site for the SM community here.

It's not automatically malicious, but it still probably does warrant a boot up at least one division.
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Old 11-30-2011, 11:28 AM   #395
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Default Re: 6th Official Tournament Predictions Thread.

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Originally Posted by hi19hi19 View Post
That or just a SM player who decided to check out FFR after years of having an account on this site for the SM community here.

It's not automatically malicious, but it still probably does warrant a boot up at least one division.
Good point, I just call people sandbaggers a lot. )
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Old 11-30-2011, 11:29 AM   #396
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Default Re: 6th Official Tournament Predictions Thread.

The only thing I don't understand about him being a sandbagger is the sheer length his account has been around. Nobody waits over 4 years for a chance to sandbag in a competition they probably didn't know would exist.

It looks to me, based on his newly updated bars, he whored the same 7 songs 1,200 times. Dx. But anyway, I just hope that if he is a sandbagger he gets moved to the proper division, and if not.. Well I have quite the fight ahead of me.

Edit:
Yeah.. Hi19's explanation makes much more sense. That's not to say I still don't hate the idea of it :P.

Damn good players in my division -_-"
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Old 11-30-2011, 11:32 AM   #397
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Default Re: 6th Official Tournament Predictions Thread.

That is a slight bit fishy.
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Old 11-30-2011, 11:35 AM   #398
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Default Re: 6th Official Tournament Predictions Thread.

If he's really as good as you guys seem to be saying he is, throw a PM to Psychoangel about it and she'll look into it. Division changes can still happen, and if he's *obviously* much better than he looked to be when the tournament started, she'll look into it
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Old 11-30-2011, 12:15 PM   #399
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Default Re: 6th Official Tournament Predictions Thread.

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Originally Posted by The_Toymaker View Post
He's probably a sandbagger, a D1 person shouldn't get a score that would pass in D3. D2 I could understand, but two divisions?
Just a quick note the 1st round song for any division is usually fairly easy for that division and can be a song that a player of a lower division could score well on. (Bolded usually because lol D4 1st round)

Edit: Okay so I just went to the level ranks and what I said here before was going off of hi19 saying he got 2/0/0/2 on glorious morning but you guys are not looking at scores correctly I think

1,028 8 Glorious Morning 166,810 106 2 0 0 2 108 1

That's not a full playthrough. Only 108 arrows out of 624.
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Last edited by psychoangel691; 11-30-2011 at 12:20 PM..
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Old 11-30-2011, 01:40 PM   #400
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Default Re: 6th Official Tournament Predictions Thread.

Im curious. Where would you guys place me in D5?
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