TWG 203 Werewolves in Avalon GAME THREAD

[MixMasterLar]

Re: TWG 203 Werewolves in Avalon GAME THREAD

2 hours until EOD
I think I'm at peace letting the phase end

[bugkid666]

Re: TWG 203 Werewolves in Avalon GAME THREAD

This is... very detailed and specific

I can get it from a town point of view analyzing a wagon. But I could also see a wolf using this as a way to overly "analyze"

Gonna wait and see how your posts about the other voters seem

this for example is far too wishy washy when responding to wolfRoundbox. i don't think one wolf says this to another.

i'm only harping on rb/raeko as a potential w/t solve because someone else mentioned it earlier... maybe charu? i can't remember

[Wayward Vagabond]

Re: TWG 203 Werewolves in Avalon GAME THREAD

Extension would be great. I unfortunately won't be here for eod or much at all from not until then

[MixMasterLar]

Re: TWG 203 Werewolves in Avalon GAME THREAD

i don't think you can sell me on rb today

If your defense of him is that he's finally posting more now when he has every chance to do it before but waited until his #1 flip wolf then that's such an unconvincing argument when place against my D0 reread. Period.

i don't see a world where they are both wolves considering todays interactions between the two of them.

Please explain this in further detail. I don't really see what you're seeing here

[MixMasterLar]

Re: TWG 203 Werewolves in Avalon GAME THREAD

this for example is far too wishy washy when responding to wolfRoundbox. i don't think one wolf says this to another.

i'm only harping on rb/raeko as a potential w/t solve because someone else mentioned it earlier... maybe charu? i can't remember

I don't see this especially if they need to oppose each other for future reads. I think TownRaeko wouldn't have even been this active after lynching a wolf and I think Round's entire first day was fake+his second day was intentionally him avoiding any deep dives on Manti. I don't see how Raeko posting this makes them not w/w most wolf teams I've been on are way spicier then this

Extension would be great. I unfortunately won't be here for eod or much at all from not until then

You're here now: leave us some reads and make a vote

[MixMasterLar]

Re: TWG 203 Werewolves in Avalon GAME THREAD

Actually Bug I think I misread you in Raeko your point isn't that she's questioning him it's that she's too lukewarm

I don't know if that changes my conclusion though but noted that you think the two wolves would be more aggro with each other right now, I definitely see that point

[roundbox]

Re: TWG 203 Werewolves in Avalon GAME THREAD

Jub3r7's vote on Manti (also, I'm bored of capitalizing every J and M so bear with me OK??)

I still haven't recollected them. I think the wolves are wv, MML and freezinIce but who knows~

the day starts off and jub3r7 posts a few potential suspects

Good post! Except for the manti over mml read I still don't understand that

he soft defends manti, but nothing too spicy

Maybe I'm biased but when I saw the flip vote by Manti which saved my life I didn't think it was suspicious at the time because he was taking his vote off of me! But Charu's reasoning is a lot more clear. Could be confirmation bias but it definitely doesn't feel like a wolf play to switch from one town to another town at the last second.

On the other hand, every time I read MML's posts I really struggle to find points of common ground.

jub3r7 considers that he might be positively reading Manti for voting in his favor, because if jub3r7 is town, from his perspective, he knows the wagon was t/t. he feels that MML is not too towny because they don't agree on certain points

he does a big post responding to MML after this

you know what heck it, i'll make a reads list in a little bit. I want to reread cause there are some people I *should* have opinions on but don't (not because they're null but because they felt *generally* town and stopped paying attention to them afterwards).

^that's mostly about manti. He said things that I thought were town early on and then I started paying less attention because of it. Roundbox is one of the people I hard TR but I want to reread for him too just in case

he makes this post, saying that he's going to reevaluate his stance on manti. at this time, manti had 3 votes, so this could be jub3r7 reaching for a reason to join the manti wagon

That's why I'm looking at T/T which leaves like, wv, raeko and freezin. Or roundbox if you TR one of those three

he comments that manti/MML are likely T/T from his current reads

And if you're both town then what should be done

jub3r7 looks off wagon again like in his previous post, fearing t/t, but not really saying much about Manti and more about MML. he wants people to vote WV

What if mml is just a really good wolf

if jub3r7 is wolfing and defending Manti with this, dang, that's Doritos Bold™

But if we lynch one then the other and they're both town we lose

this logic applies to any T/T, and I don't feel like jub3r7 did enough reading into manti (or at least posting in the thread about manti) to justify their vote yet. I'm still reading through, so let's see if this changes at all.

I might change my vote at some point in the next 10m, at the risk of doing a manti

???

I'll hammer the insta since it's over anyway. DarkManticore

and here we arrive at the vote. it doesn't mean anything since WV already hammered. I'd put jub3r7's vote below WV's, but I'd say this for my voting breakdown.

fine: bugkid
weird: WV
funky, and not in a good way: Charu, jub3r7

[bugkid666]

Re: TWG 203 Werewolves in Avalon GAME THREAD

Actually Bug I think I misread you in Raeko your point isn't that she's questioning him it's that she's too lukewarm

I don't know if that changes my conclusion though but noted that you think the two wolves would be more aggro with each other right now, I definitely see that point

yes, this is the point i was trying to make

[mellon_collie]

Re: TWG 203 Werewolves in Avalon GAME THREAD

I kinda like round's analysis posts for the most part

I think his WV one is the weakest

I would like to look again at Jub 3r7 some of his posts earlier today were pretty whack

[Charu]

Re: TWG 203 Werewolves in Avalon GAME THREAD

A basic reads list as of this moment,

Town

MixMasterLar
roundbox
bugkid666

Mid

Jub3r7
Wayward Vagabond

Wolf

mellonxcollie (Raeko)

...

...

Really that ONE POST she did made me see her red, I'm sorry. She was mid to me all game until now. Otherwise I would've voted for Jub

[bugkid666]

Re: TWG 203 Werewolves in Avalon GAME THREAD

If your defense of him is that he's finally posting more now when he has every chance to do it before but waited until his #1 flip wolf then that's such an unconvincing argument when place against my D0 reread. Period.

this really isn't the reason why. i'm not trying to defend him, because his track record is not good in this game.

it's the quality of trying to actually puzzle out the thought process of each person who voted for manti that is interesting to me. the "did it come from nowhere or did it come from actual theorizing" mentality is something i don't see coming from a wolf who still has a partner in the game. maybe a lone wolf, but not at this stage of the game do i see wolf roundbox scrambling like this.

i don't want to make it seem like i'm pushing for a rb/raeko duel because i'm really not. they just seem to be the two most in discussion atm. i would actually love to resolve jub today much more than roundbox. (i've been curious about jub since the beginning and i really did not like his manti vote)

i'm keeping my vote on raeko for now

[mellon_collie]

Re: TWG 203 Werewolves in Avalon GAME THREAD

Wolf

mellonxcollie (Raeko)

...

...

Really that ONE POST she did made me see her red, I'm sorry. She was mid to me all game until now. Otherwise I would've voted for Jub

If this is seriously the only reason, I don't even know. I can kind of see it with bugkid's "gut feeling" and other reasoning but from you this just seems like piggybacking *shruggie*

[bugkid666]

Re: TWG 203 Werewolves in Avalon GAME THREAD

A basic reads list as of this moment,

Town

MixMasterLar
roundbox
bugkid666

Mid

Jub3r7
Wayward Vagabond

Wolf

mellonxcollie (Raeko)

...

...

Really that ONE POST she did made me see her red, I'm sorry. She was mid to me all game until now. Otherwise I would've voted for Jub

charu... could we be... mindmelding?

note that this is my exact reads list except replace me with charu

and since i could be LyiNg i guess you'll have to take this with a grain of salt but i would never agree with charu unless i meant it from the very depths of my soul

[Charu]

Re: TWG 203 Werewolves in Avalon GAME THREAD

Piggybacking what?

[mellon_collie]

Re: TWG 203 Werewolves in Avalon GAME THREAD

Piggybacking what?

bugkid just gave very similar reasoning for suspecting me so I meant piggybacking off bug's read