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Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]
Looks like it's either no lynch or Flurry/Apollo thunderdome in the sense that if he's town, he's probably never voting with me anyway.Comment
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Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]
If you're a misguided town, this game is like totally over tho.Comment
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Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]
Need more Rolf/Punchy posts.Comment
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Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]
The bored. Tank quote is to show just how much work flurry has been putting inComment
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Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]
I deleted some other reads, so quote it if you want the rest. She leaves out Cherry and Flurry, so there's nothing here. Her first mention is on Phil re: hypocopping and that it's a wolf strat. A null push here.
This is another response to Phil, calling him out for Flurry, Tank, and Dora (as well as Phil himself). She's indicating that she wants to scumread someone on the Zucker wagon, and it looks like Phil is highlighted here. If Phil is a Fauna partner, this is the only person she really calls out here.
Here's some additional pushing on Phil. She directly calls out Phil for his vote on the Zucker wagon, and not really anybody else. Based on other things I read during her ISO, I think this push on Phil was a mislynch breadcrumb. See how she pairs Phil with Fauna later.
Fauna here knowingly partners Dora with Flurry, giving us the impression that she's assuming Dora is exactly the BP wolf. Fauna knows that Dora is going to flip acq, so this could be a setup for a "oh, it was actually an honest read, everyone! Flurry is an honest read of Dora because she's acq". There is an interesting thing with Flurry/Phil though later on.
Townread of Cherry. One of the few reads on Cherry, in fact.
All 3 players of contention are townread by Fauna. She puts Cherry in the highest townread tier, writing that they don't seem pockety and they mindmelded with her on Dora's point about the Zucker wagon.
She notes Phil as being towny overall minus the roleblocker thing, which is something Fauna and I agreed upon at that point in time as being odd. She notes his consistency and progressions, and gives him a townread for knowing game mechanics. A big vague on the progressions part and the mechanics thing is NAI and easy to say about anyone. Could be a free townread.
Not sure if this list was in order, but Flurry was on the bottom of the townread pile. Fauna writes that Flurry isn't a lock wolf (weird conclusion to make this early in the game) and that their contributions to conversations is a net positive for town.
I left this post unedited for discussion sake. The other posts have mentioned more people, but this one stands out for the people Fauna mentions and the people Fauna doesn't mention. She echoes again that Phil is one of the most townread players in the game, and adds Cherry to this tier as well. Fauna asks for people to look here late in the game.Full disclosure, this list is not accurate. It is based on recent peoples reads as well as random comments that caught my attention from ISOs. I made it to get a better idea of the overall reads in the game. Wasn't originally going to share it but maybe someone else will find something useful in it.
Cherry and Phil are currently the most townread people in the game. I townread them myself so I don't want to be hypocritical here, but has any pressure been put on any of these people at any point? If not, I think these should be the people we look at it we're a few day phases from now and don't seem to be getting anywhere.
I found Apollo interesting in this list because he seems to be the person with the most even amounts of town, null and scum reads. Is this someone throwing themselves around enough to not be a focal point? I think Apollo is someone that should be figured out in the near future as well.
As far as today goes, after matthilda's soft claim, I don't want to touch her this phase. I still don't know how to feel about the claim. I'm happy with a Molly, Chief or Chrissy lynch.
Mollys flip would give the most information out of any of them
Chief I'm just sick of reading his shit regardless of alignment
Chrissy is also someone who I feel hasn't really contributed to the game in any way since subbing in, and I would not be surprised in the slightest if they flipped scum.
molly
I won't be able to do any more proper digging before EoD, but I will keep up to date with the thread and change my vote if this turns out to be a mistake.
She does NOT mention Flurry here even though she has 6 noted townreads on the image, which is tied with Julian, one below Cherry, and two below Phil.
Deleted parts of this post on players that are dead.
She quickly moves Phil and Flurry to scum territory with a special note on Phil being looked at if that phase ends in a mislynch. This is the same phase that Maple was flipped as town, so this could have been more breadcrumbing for a mislynch on Phil. Fauna delivers on it a bit later in the phase in two posts down.
Soft defense of Cherry. Not really much else out of this post.
Fauna says there's no w/w of Flurry/Cherry. I don't think she makes this post if her partners are exactly Flurry and Cherry, so there's only a chance one of them could be wolf here. However, this nullification of w/w from this sequence of posts makes no sense to me. If you can make sense if it, do it.
Fauna also continues the push on Phil here, posturing that they might be on a lead. Fauna doesn't push on this very much though, and it looks like she drops the point a bit when dropping the lynch order post. That being said, all three of Phil/Cherry/Flurry are all next to each other on the list under the confirmed.
Aforementioned lynch order. See the three under the confirmed.
Fauna specifically names Phil and Flurry as deep wolf potential, but shoots down the suspicion on both. Awfully convenient if both are exactly her wolf partners.
Backs off of Phil. If Phil is her partner here, she puts him back at elbow's distance with the last sentence here calling him a potential deep wolf here. If Phil is a mislynch she was breadcrumbing, then she's backing off because Phil's defense made other people back off too. Could still be breadcrumbing with the deep wolf comment, though.
Name drops Cherry and myself. Cherry is named here because Julian had the hot take. Seems like a pocket attempt of Julian here, and this is a huge break in her Cherry reads. Could be setup for towncred if this is a bus, but I think this is more for pocketing Julian than it is busing a potential partner considering their huge lack of progression.
Moves up Flurry, moves down Phil.
Realizes Cherry is a no-go. Probably not partners at this point, I'd say. She knew she couldn't push on Cherry without getting called out, so this is probably telling us that Cherry is town.
Final post on Flurry defending the scattered thinking. Nothing specific, though.
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My verdict:
I don't think that Cherry is Fauna's partner at all. I just don't see it given she very visibly backed off of her and never developed reads. Probably a pocket.
She could be partners with Flurry/Phil, but it's never both here, I'd say. She calls Phil a deep wolf multiple times, and keeps him at elbow's distance. She does move him down in her list, so she seems ready to jump on him whenever. This could be a partnership or a mislynch pounce. She could get some towncred if he's a bus, or she could be setting up a mislynch on a strong town player from her point of view.
With Flurry, weirdclears the relationship of her with Cherry as not being w/w I encourage someone else to read this because I have no idea what point she was trying to make. She also calls Flurry a deep wolf, but then drops the specifics on any points on her. She doesn't appear to be setting up a potential mislynch or a bus, so if they're partners, I'd say this is a longevity play. If they're not partners, then it's a pocket, but compared to Cherry and Julian, this does not look like a convincing pocket.
If I'm truly resetting here, I am looking at Flurry here. Given the fact that wolves were ahead, avoiding suspicions on Flurry sets them up to achieve parity faster. Phil is a potential option too, but considering Fauna wasn't on Zucker and called out the people who voted them out (which included Phil and Flurry, but only targeted Phil instead of her), it doesn't seem like Fauna is the kind to bus partners (if you assume Rolf is town here).Comment
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