07-22-2014, 12:35 AM | #1261 |
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Re: TWG CXX: Villains United
I voted you like, a day ago, it just didn't count until now, so I made it again. I'm not taking offense or offended.
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07-22-2014, 12:35 AM | #1262 |
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Re: TWG CXX: Villains United
I -AM- however going to bed.
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07-22-2014, 12:36 AM | #1263 |
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Re: TWG CXX: Villains United
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07-22-2014, 12:39 AM | #1264 |
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Re: TWG CXX: Villains United
Syndrome thought it was suspicious and got Wolfed.
I still think you're a Hero and you're the one who talked him out of using it on Hades/Auto who were both Heros. You only pushed him to use it the next day on one of the top targets when you continued bringing up Darla as a top target another day in a row, and she's seered Villain too. You being Master Hero actually doesn't look too far out into left field at this point. |
07-22-2014, 12:41 AM | #1265 | ||||
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Re: TWG CXX: Villains United
Just going to bring this back out to the front since I'll probably be posting from phone for most of the day tomorrow and God Help Me if I tried to do this on a touchscreen, it's just my original "Here's why I suspect The Queen" post.
[spoiler] Alright, so I've gone back with the powers of knowing I nailed one Hero for slipups around them, and I'm going to risk trying again to suggest why I am suspecting TWG The Queen of being a Hero. So for starters, we have Charles coming out as holding a gun...at this time, the lead two for votecount are Hades and Auto, confirmed now as both heros. At that time, people are advocating for shooting one of the two of them for the info of the flip, and now she is going talking him OUT of hitting a Hero or a Hero. Then suggests: Quote:
People end up talking more about Auto in the wake of the Hades lynch, and a mention gets this: When she starts to push on people, she comes out with this great gem: Quote:
Quote:
Lets not kill Auto... Quote:
I know this isn't nearly as damning as the logic on Auto, and I'm willing to hear a response from The Queen, but it looks to me like a similar failure of consistancy combined with actions that seemed individually reasonable at the time, but knowing that The Queen would know Hades and Auto were both heros looks a lot more like Hero behavior to me.[/quote] |
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07-22-2014, 12:42 AM | #1266 |
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Re: TWG CXX: Villains United
Well shit. Xiz, any chance I can appeal to Host powers to fix that lack of closing spoiler tag?
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07-22-2014, 12:43 AM | #1267 |
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Re: TWG CXX: Villains United
Did a /quote by mistake like a champ. Goddamn 2am shouldn't feel this late.
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07-22-2014, 12:44 AM | #1268 |
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Re: TWG CXX: Villains United
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07-22-2014, 12:50 AM | #1269 | ||
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Re: TWG CXX: Villains United
Quote:
Quote:
however, i think the godfather could just as easily be charles i don't think a hero would shoot a villa if there was a significant chance that they could be revealed therefore, it is possible that he is the godfather and isn't submitting ANY of the kills to avoid getting bombed, so that the only thing that could possibly expose him is the oracle i checked darla first |
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07-22-2014, 12:54 AM | #1270 |
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Re: TWG CXX: Villains United
responding to gantus post
plz just focus on todays lynch, its not darla and its not me and its not yzma |
07-22-2014, 01:05 AM | #1271 |
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Re: TWG CXX: Villains United
im really only looking at Ursula and Charles for the lynch i think. i might have too many villa reads though, i need to sort out whos actually LOCK CLEAR based on the flips and d1-3 voting.
Ursula lets fire this one up now, basically u have only tried to lynch ppl who either flipped villa later or are prob villa. what looks worse is the weak Gaston push d1. i dont think u wanted gaston to get lynched |
07-22-2014, 01:12 AM | #1272 |
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Re: TWG CXX: Villains United
i'm gonna go ahead and math this out:
13 people are still alive, of whom 3 are heroes my logic obviously depends on me not being a hero so i'll remove myself, leaving 12 10 of these people will turn up villain if i check them, but one of them is the godfather i checked 3 of them the probability that the gf is among the people i checked is 9C2/10C3 = 0.3 if the gf IS in that group, the probability that one of them in particular is gf is 1 in 3, meaning that overall there's a 1 in 10 chance that each of those three individually is the gf of the 9 people i didn't check, 2 of them are definitely heroes and a third might be as well the odds of a particular one of them being a hero is (3/10)*(2/9)+(7/10)*(3/9) = 3/10 each person i didn't check is 3 times more likely to be a hero than each person i did check, but the downside is there's 3 times as many of them |
07-22-2014, 01:15 AM | #1273 |
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Re: TWG CXX: Villains United
also if xiz actually used all of the power roles he listed, half the living villains are power roles
that's hilarious |
07-22-2014, 01:39 AM | #1274 |
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Re: TWG CXX: Villains United
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07-22-2014, 09:43 AM | #1275 |
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Re: TWG CXX: Villains United
Muntz
With passion and emphasis Will try to put together a timeline on Vigi shooting later today.
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07-22-2014, 02:41 PM | #1276 |
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Re: TWG CXX: Villains United
That sucks Syndrome, I'd harbor a guess to say they wanted to pick someone who wouldn't be media's
Anyway yeah Muntz |
07-22-2014, 02:50 PM | #1277 |
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Re: TWG CXX: Villains United
Medic**
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07-22-2014, 04:17 PM | #1278 | |
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Re: TWG CXX: Villains United
Quote:
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07-22-2014, 04:19 PM | #1279 |
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Re: TWG CXX: Villains United
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07-22-2014, 04:19 PM | #1280 |
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Re: TWG CXX: Villains United
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