07-26-2021, 07:34 PM | #1941 | |
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Re: TWG 200 Game Thread: Dichotomy
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and on top of all of that voting ben... when you've asserted that you believe he's town... and we've already established that no person is going to give us "more information" than another based on the fact that we are expecting a no-flip? am i missing something?
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07-26-2021, 07:34 PM | #1942 |
[Nobody liked that.]
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Re: TWG 200 Game Thread: Dichotomy
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07-26-2021, 07:36 PM | #1943 |
Somewhere, but not here
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Re: TWG 200 Game Thread: Dichotomy
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07-26-2021, 07:38 PM | #1944 | |
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Re: TWG 200 Game Thread: Dichotomy
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We have no idea if wolves in this game can target players in the "other" game. Normally, the only reason real PRs don't massclaim is because the wolves will kill them in the night. Wolves don't fake claim unless they have to normally, because of counterclaims, or if they ended up living through the night If the other game doesn't actually have any wolves in it, claiming is pretty safe for both alignments I think. brain hurts trying to think about it. idk. blind is most likelybtellijg the truth based on everything else we know |
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07-26-2021, 07:38 PM | #1945 |
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Re: TWG 200 Game Thread: Dichotomy
just ignore that last post, it's a disaster
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07-26-2021, 07:39 PM | #1946 |
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Re: TWG 200 Game Thread: Dichotomy
OK I just need to make a post even though I don't have any real thoughts to post about but I need to get into this game
Even though kappa is voting for me I think they are town, they seem genuine in their posts and reactions Right now I like Haku but this is mostly based on tone/vibes. Just seems like normal Haku thoughts idk McDaddio, we had a private chat earlier and it seemed to flow naturally so town lean Roundbox is town for now because of reasons in our personal chat. This is a flimsy read though and subject to change if something happens DBP seems a bit over confident in his analysis of everything, even for him. I feel like he might know something somehow storn I have no impression about I agree with DBP's analysis of the Haku wagon potentially protecting Ben and I still have my same doubts from last phase so I wouldn't hate a Ben vote here |
07-26-2021, 07:40 PM | #1947 |
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Re: TWG 200 Game Thread: Dichotomy
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07-26-2021, 07:44 PM | #1948 | |
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Re: TWG 200 Game Thread: Dichotomy
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07-26-2021, 07:44 PM | #1949 |
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Re: TWG 200 Game Thread: Dichotomy
I also voted off of Kappa because my initial vote there was pressure to see if they'd just collapse under it, but Kappa stuck to his guns for his vote and didn't do it for a piggybacking reason.
Haku was my primary vote target before that so me going back to it was the logical choice, imo. |
07-26-2021, 07:46 PM | #1950 | |
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Re: TWG 200 Game Thread: Dichotomy
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07-26-2021, 07:46 PM | #1951 |
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Re: TWG 200 Game Thread: Dichotomy
I'm not too keen on a ben wagon considering how much townier he seems this phase.
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07-26-2021, 07:48 PM | #1952 |
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Re: TWG 200 Game Thread: Dichotomy
Okay, pixelated Oliver ain't fun. Time to swap to the other TWEWY avatar.
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07-26-2021, 07:50 PM | #1953 | |
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Re: TWG 200 Game Thread: Dichotomy
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So basically, to get a cardflip, you have to lynch them twice. We'll find out for sure once we see Gold Stinger's flip I guess. Furthermore--- like I said earlier, if a wolf is sent to the second game, I suspect that there will be some message about "the game is not over. neither wolves or town have won" or something like that. This is actually tremendously useful to us because it means that (assuming the other game is currently all town...) one of the new players has to be a wolf. |
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07-26-2021, 07:52 PM | #1954 |
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Re: TWG 200 Game Thread: Dichotomy
specifically?
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07-26-2021, 07:53 PM | #1955 | |
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Re: TWG 200 Game Thread: Dichotomy
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Occam's Razor is currently telling me that the other game is most likely zero wolves, since we would have to be extremely lucky to have already nailed two of them. But it's still possible, and I will keep it in mind as we collect new information. |
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07-26-2021, 07:58 PM | #1956 | |
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Re: TWG 200 Game Thread: Dichotomy
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i understand you about the flip on gold tonight being important coupled with your suspicion of a new game state message. i know all we have is theories right now but your adamancy on these points are what you came to the conclusion on and are not yet our reality. they very well might be, hell, i honestly think you're probably right. but we can't take your assumptions as truth because they aren't.\ maybe this post is useless idk, i'm just saying it might be better to worry more about hunting wolves here and less about game 2's circumstances especially since roles will be flipped at the same time anyways.
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07-26-2021, 07:58 PM | #1957 | |
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Re: TWG 200 Game Thread: Dichotomy
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07-26-2021, 07:59 PM | #1958 |
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Re: TWG 200 Game Thread: Dichotomy
Some thoughts I have on some people:
-fatfuck: town lean. I believe they were the first to propose the insta idea and despite things not working out as intended regarding that, I believe it was a good idea at the time as a means of potentially getting more information (that would primarily be beneficial town). -DBP: Town. I feel like I've been mindmelding with him for most of the posts this phase. I'm not entirely enthused about his vote on me but his thoughts/analysis on the situation does appear genuine to me. -gold: town, but only due to the self-vote...I'm having a very hard time imagining a wolf doing that. -blind/subaru/logman: town lean. I didn't have much of a scum read on these people earlier and assuming gold is town, I'm inclined to believe that everyone else in the 2nd game is town as well. -charu: ???. I like most of Charu's posts this phase compared to last. I'm not too sure what to make of him being defensive regarding the neighborhood chat with blind. On one hand, that piece of information alone is not enough to want someone out of the game; however, it is a small piece of evidence which is definitely not something that should be ignored/forgotten about and I'm getting the impression that Charu wants people to ignore or forget it. I think Charu's playstyle has changed a bit over the years (according to himself earlier), so maybe someone else has a better idea regarding how Charu normally reacts to evidence presented against him (as town and/or wolf). |
07-26-2021, 08:01 PM | #1959 | |
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Re: TWG 200 Game Thread: Dichotomy
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I do kind of think Game 2 is important because it informs Game 1. If player X enters Game 2 and sunfan says "this game is still running", that is 100% useful information for us to use to build associations. |
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07-26-2021, 08:02 PM | #1960 |
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Re: TWG 200 Game Thread: Dichotomy
Also uhhh
excuse me???????? |
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