The FFR Credit Gambling Thread - Whine & Gloat HERE! - Page 31

**LoneW0lf** · 07-14-2008, 01:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrRubix

No, the probability of this happening is absurd

WHERE IS YER LOGIC NOW!
Wow, totally needed to say that
dude happened to me a few times, i know, it sucks D:

**hoochan** · 07-14-2008, 01:48 AM

Probability is just experimental. It doesn't apply as much when you factor in luck and how much the higher powers love you.

LLaMaSaUceYup · 07-14-2008, 01:49 AM

Yeah I'm glad I DID quit while I could.
I made 50k too

**lumphoboextreme** · 07-14-2008, 01:52 AM

up 1.5mil

**hoochan** · 07-14-2008, 01:52 AM

No, you made 3Xk. You forgot to factor your losses in.

MrRubix · 07-14-2008, 01:54 AM

No, I mean when you calc the sub probabilities, it's absurd.

Waffl3 · 07-14-2008, 02:00 AM

**lumphoboextreme** · 07-14-2008, 02:14 AM

up to over 1.8mil ahead. it takes forever to build up though and i need sleep. bai

sc979 · 07-14-2008, 02:36 AM

Made it to 10th on the Biggest Positive Increase list, and more than 90% of my bets are 10s, 50s, and 100s.

Only gambled 100k seven times. Won 5 and lost 2 of them.

10 sc979 303,849

Credits Won: 826039
Credits Lost: 522190
Best Win Streak: 8
Worst Lose Streak: 10

MrRubix · 07-14-2008, 02:38 AM

lol sc that takes patience to do it that way, congrats

Mario Bros. · 07-14-2008, 06:42 AM

Someone hurry up and take my 10k bet and my 10 credit bet already. I am tired of waiting. I missed out on a lot here. lol at MrRubix.
EDIT: nevermind i won it!
EDIT2: Someone take my second 10k bet now!
EDIT3: Nevermind I won that one too lol! I now have 160k!
EDIT4: I placed another 10k and its been 10 minutes and no one has accepted it. i wonder if I can win this one for my third one in a row!

**Shouka** · 07-14-2008, 09:35 AM

I'm quitting this thing until I build up a good amount of credits again. I just get some incredibly bad losing streaks. I've had quite a few that went above 10 and yet my highest winning streak is only 8.

MrRubix · 07-14-2008, 10:27 AM

For some reason I seem to have taken on an intense streak of bad luck. Most of my high-stake bets for some reason are losing constantly even though I should be able to expect at least no reasonable net change. It's ridiculous how many bad streaks I've gotten in a row this past day or so. I should have just chilled out once I was up to 3.5 million... I got greedy and it started a chain reaction of losses.

I think the probability gods are trying to punish my avarice

I am just too impatient to make money slowly, even though it's yielded a lot of good luck for me. I think my 1.5 million credit margin jump yesterday made me too cocky and I started betting too high too often until I eventually lost out.

****KK. Why do I keep losing the 100ks!? I'm losing like 80% of these suckers. One step forward, two steps back

7yL3r · 07-14-2008, 10:49 AM

Yeah will i won 2 10credit bets.. yeah!! lol i can gloat all i want because that's what this tread is all about

MrRubix · 07-14-2008, 10:56 AM

100000 7 minutes ago Lost
50000 8 minutes ago Won
100000 10 minutes ago Lost
100000 11 minutes ago Lost
100000 11 minutes ago Lost
100000 11 minutes ago Lost
100000 18 minutes ago Lost

See what I mean? What the **** is up with this ****? This is happening CONSTANTLY. I lost like 600k to lump, another million to 7th, and now another million to someone else. It's like I'll win one and then experience an absurd losing streak.

**TheRapingDragon** · 07-14-2008, 11:01 AM

Rubix - Try quitting.

MrRubix · 07-14-2008, 11:03 AM

I want my freaking 3.5 mil back. There's no reason why I should have lost so much -- even with a 2% cut, that's just a godawful streak.

If I don't get my 3.5 mil back, I am leaving this site for good. This pisses me off more than you think.

**TheRapingDragon** · 07-14-2008, 11:11 AM

I already said that this may make people leave FFR.

Hell, the gambling system on KoL was why I ended up leaving after I lost all my meat.

So ya, bye.

**devonin** · 07-14-2008, 11:14 AM

Probability is a bitch. Just because it is absurdly unlikely that you lose 100 times in a row doesn't mean it won't happen anyway. "Streaks" are an illusion that we apply to a sequence after it has happened. The odds of every one of those losses happening was 50/50, and given a 50/50 chance, it isn't unlikely at all that you'd lose.

And Rubix...a win rate of only 41% is needed to get onto the toplist for losing. You aren't on it. You aren't on the longest losing streak list either. In fact, you're on the longest -winning- streak list. So I'm not getting where you feel justified in complaining where you are winning at least 42% of all your bets, never losing more than 14 in a row, despite having won 15 in a row.

MrRubix · 07-14-2008, 11:17 AM

Streaks are not an illusion -- basing future probabilities off past streaks is an illusion. This streak of bad luck is absurdly improbable.

I have two 100k's sitting out there right now and nobody is taking them.

07-14-2008, 01:48 AM	#602
hoochan woah shrooms Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 3,838	Re: The FFR Credit Gambling Thread - Whine & Gloat HERE! Probability is just experimental. It doesn't apply as much when you factor in luck and how much the higher powers love you.

07-14-2008, 01:49 AM	#603
LLaMaSaUceYup FFR Player Join Date: Jan 2007 Location: Phoenix, Arizona. Age: 33 Posts: 3,759	Re: The FFR Credit Gambling Thread - Whine & Gloat HERE! Yeah I'm glad I DID quit while I could. I made 50k too

07-14-2008, 01:52 AM	#604
lumphoboextreme FFR Veteran Join Date: Jan 2005 Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Age: 35 Posts: 8,592	Re: The FFR Credit Gambling Thread - Whine & Gloat HERE! up 1.5mil __________________

07-14-2008, 01:52 AM	#605
hoochan woah shrooms Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 3,838	Re: The FFR Credit Gambling Thread - Whine & Gloat HERE! No, you made 3Xk. You forgot to factor your losses in.

07-14-2008, 01:54 AM	#606
MrRubix FFR Player Join Date: Dec 1969 Location: New York City, New York Posts: 8,340	Re: The FFR Credit Gambling Thread - Whine & Gloat HERE! No, I mean when you calc the sub probabilities, it's absurd. __________________ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0es0Mip1jWY

07-14-2008, 02:00 AM	#607
Waffl3 FFR Player Join Date: Feb 2008 Location: Ontario Age: 34 Posts: 702	Re: The FFR Credit Gambling Thread - Whine & Gloat HERE! __________________

07-14-2008, 02:14 AM	#608
lumphoboextreme FFR Veteran Join Date: Jan 2005 Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Age: 35 Posts: 8,592	Re: The FFR Credit Gambling Thread - Whine & Gloat HERE! up to over 1.8mil ahead. it takes forever to build up though and i need sleep. bai __________________

07-14-2008, 02:36 AM	#609
sc979 FFR Player Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: New York Posts: 1,644	Re: The FFR Credit Gambling Thread - Whine & Gloat HERE! Made it to 10th on the Biggest Positive Increase list, and more than 90% of my bets are 10s, 50s, and 100s. Only gambled 100k seven times. Won 5 and lost 2 of them. 10 sc979 303,849 Credits Won: 826039 Credits Lost: 522190 Best Win Streak: 8 Worst Lose Streak: 10 __________________ ...

07-14-2008, 02:38 AM	#610
MrRubix FFR Player Join Date: Dec 1969 Location: New York City, New York Posts: 8,340	Re: The FFR Credit Gambling Thread - Whine & Gloat HERE! lol sc that takes patience to do it that way, congrats __________________ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0es0Mip1jWY

07-14-2008, 06:42 AM	#611
Mario Bros. FFR Player Join Date: Dec 2007 Location: Planet Earth duh. Posts: 595	Re: The FFR Credit Gambling Thread - Whine & Gloat HERE! Someone hurry up and take my 10k bet and my 10 credit bet already. I am tired of waiting. I missed out on a lot here. lol at MrRubix. EDIT: nevermind i won it! EDIT2: Someone take my second 10k bet now! EDIT3: Nevermind I won that one too lol! I now have 160k! EDIT4: I placed another 10k and its been 10 minutes and no one has accepted it. i wonder if I can win this one for my third one in a row! Last edited by Mario Bros.; 07-14-2008 at 07:28 AM..

07-14-2008, 09:35 AM	#612
Shouka FFR Veteran Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 382	Re: The FFR Credit Gambling Thread - Whine & Gloat HERE! I'm quitting this thing until I build up a good amount of credits again. I just get some incredibly bad losing streaks. I've had quite a few that went above 10 and yet my highest winning streak is only 8.

07-14-2008, 10:27 AM	#613
MrRubix FFR Player Join Date: Dec 1969 Location: New York City, New York Posts: 8,340	Re: The FFR Credit Gambling Thread - Whine & Gloat HERE! For some reason I seem to have taken on an intense streak of bad luck. Most of my high-stake bets for some reason are losing constantly even though I should be able to expect at least no reasonable net change. It's ridiculous how many bad streaks I've gotten in a row this past day or so. I should have just chilled out once I was up to 3.5 million... I got greedy and it started a chain reaction of losses. I think the probability gods are trying to punish my avarice I am just too impatient to make money slowly, even though it's yielded a lot of good luck for me. I think my 1.5 million credit margin jump yesterday made me too cocky and I started betting too high too often until I eventually lost out. ***KK. Why do I keep losing the 100ks!? I'm losing like 80% of these suckers. One step forward, two steps back __________________ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0es0Mip1jWY Last edited by MrRubix; 07-14-2008 at 10:37 AM..*

07-14-2008, 10:49 AM	#614
7yL3r FFR Player Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 10	Re: The FFR Credit Gambling Thread - Whine & Gloat HERE! Yeah will i won 2 10credit bets.. yeah!! lol i can gloat all i want because that's what this tread is all about

07-14-2008, 10:56 AM	#615
MrRubix FFR Player Join Date: Dec 1969 Location: New York City, New York Posts: 8,340	Re: The FFR Credit Gambling Thread - Whine & Gloat HERE! 100000 7 minutes ago Lost 50000 8 minutes ago Won 100000 10 minutes ago Lost 100000 11 minutes ago Lost 100000 11 minutes ago Lost 100000 11 minutes ago Lost 100000 18 minutes ago Lost See what I mean? What the ** is up with this *? This is happening CONSTANTLY. I lost like 600k to lump, another million to 7th, and now another million to someone else. It's like I'll win one and then experience an absurd losing streak. __________________ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0es0Mip1jWY Last edited by MrRubix; 07-14-2008 at 10:59 AM..*

07-14-2008, 11:01 AM	#616
TheRapingDragon A car crash mind Join Date: Aug 2005 Age: 38 Posts: 9,788	Re: The FFR Credit Gambling Thread - Whine & Gloat HERE! Rubix - Try quitting.

07-14-2008, 11:03 AM	#617
MrRubix FFR Player Join Date: Dec 1969 Location: New York City, New York Posts: 8,340	Re: The FFR Credit Gambling Thread - Whine & Gloat HERE! I want my freaking 3.5 mil back. There's no reason why I should have lost so much -- even with a 2% cut, that's just a godawful streak. If I don't get my 3.5 mil back, I am leaving this site for good. This pisses me off more than you think. __________________ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0es0Mip1jWY Last edited by MrRubix; 07-14-2008 at 11:06 AM..

07-14-2008, 11:11 AM	#618
TheRapingDragon A car crash mind Join Date: Aug 2005 Age: 38 Posts: 9,788	Re: The FFR Credit Gambling Thread - Whine & Gloat HERE! I already said that this may make people leave FFR. Hell, the gambling system on KoL was why I ended up leaving after I lost all my meat. So ya, bye.

07-14-2008, 11:14 AM	#619
devonin Very Grave Indeed Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: Ontario, Canada Age: 42 Posts: 10,120	Re: The FFR Credit Gambling Thread - Whine & Gloat HERE! Probability is a bitch. Just because it is absurdly unlikely that you lose 100 times in a row doesn't mean it won't happen anyway. "Streaks" are an illusion that we apply to a sequence after it has happened. The odds of every one of those losses happening was 50/50, and given a 50/50 chance, it isn't unlikely at all that you'd lose. And Rubix...a win rate of only 41% is needed to get onto the toplist for losing. You aren't on it. You aren't on the longest losing streak list either. In fact, you're on the longest -winning- streak list. So I'm not getting where you feel justified in complaining where you are winning at least 42% of all your bets, never losing more than 14 in a row, despite having won 15 in a row. Last edited by devonin; 07-14-2008 at 11:20 AM..

07-14-2008, 11:17 AM	#620
MrRubix FFR Player Join Date: Dec 1969 Location: New York City, New York Posts: 8,340	Re: The FFR Credit Gambling Thread - Whine & Gloat HERE! Streaks are not an illusion -- basing future probabilities off past streaks is an illusion. This streak of bad luck is absurdly improbable. I have two 100k's sitting out there right now and nobody is taking them. __________________ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0es0Mip1jWY

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