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#361 |
Flower Baby♥
![]() Join Date: Apr 2006
Age: 30
Posts: 154
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![]() Out of curiosity, have people gotten responses for day 11? o:
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#362 |
Digital Dancing!
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: 80 billion club, NE
Age: 31
Posts: 12,982
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![]() No. I'm trying to track down the imgur album where the images are stored so I can get started on today's entries. (I'm at work otherwise I'd have it)
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![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Last edited by rushyrulz; 12-23-2014 at 09:35 AM.. |
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#363 |
Retired Staff
All the things
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![]() Sorry guys, usually I hit up the late night/early morning ones but we're leaving today to go up to family's for the holiday. So I was running around trying to finish packing last night and been doing the same thing morning. So behind x.x
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#364 |
Flower Baby♥
![]() Join Date: Apr 2006
Age: 30
Posts: 154
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![]() No need to apologize, getting closer and closer to the holidays.
![]() Hope everyone has a good day. ^_^
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#365 |
D7 Elite Keymasher
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#366 |
Digital Dancing!
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: 80 billion club, NE
Age: 31
Posts: 12,982
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![]() yea so my skype history doesn't go back very far on my phone I guess. Sit tight guys :S
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#367 |
Aka Shinboro
![]() Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
Age: 31
Posts: 895
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![]() Out of curiosity, what is the RNG set at?
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#368 | |
Known as WalterToro.
![]() Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Antofagasta, Chile
Posts: 201
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![]() Quote:
waiting for today's toke... I mean, prize ![]()
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D3A - 2nd Place - Tournament of Fire and Lightning 2
4th Place - YoshL's Tournament of Mediocrity D4 - 2nd Place - Zenith's Arrows to Music Tournament D4 - 4th Place - Red Blaster's Timebomb Tournament |
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#369 | |
Digital Dancing!
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: 80 billion club, NE
Age: 31
Posts: 12,982
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Not revealing til the end, but here's what someone else came up with from data in the thread:
Quote:
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#370 |
Cornmaster
![]() Join Date: Nov 2012
Posts: 61
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![]() I'm so hype to get my 500/1000 credits today again.
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#371 |
The FFRchiver
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: USA
Age: 30
Posts: 2,168
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![]() Okay so apparently there has been some issues this morning with people gone and finding the image. Anyway it's resolved, people should start receiving replies shortly.
I apologize for the delay of getting all these PMs out, wasn't around earlier in the morning to deal with anything.
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#372 |
Vice President Of TGB
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![]() Events canceled
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#373 |
How eventful...
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Posts: 320
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![]() All PMs to this point have been replied to. Sorry for the wait.
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#374 |
It happens for a reason.
![]() ![]() Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: North Carolina
Age: 34
Posts: 5,622
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![]() Pulled a 10k after pulling a 5k card yesterday. Guess I gotta "play m0r ffr" to "get m0r creds"
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like, giggity or something? |
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#375 |
FFR Simfile Author
![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 1,195
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![]() Logging my guess for the distributions now:
rng roll out of 50 500: 1-20 (40%) 1K: 21-40 (40%) 5K: 41-44 (8%) 10K: 45-47 (6%) 25K: 48-49 (4%) 50K: 50 (2%) Will be interesting to see the actual distributions!
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#376 |
FFR Veteran
![]() Join Date: May 2014
Age: 29
Posts: 351
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#377 |
How eventful...
![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 320
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![]() [quote=benny58624;4250368
The probability to gain a maximum of 7500 credits AND no token in 11 days is around 2.5%-3% (calculated with noname219's estimated probabilities) .[/QUOTE] more like 8% |
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#378 |
Stuck in the past
![]() ![]() Join Date: Oct 2013
Location: Portsmouth, UK
Age: 28
Posts: 1,168
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![]() well I called getting 500 today and got it
guess I can't complain
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Ghosts appear and fade away....... |
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#379 |
Known as WalterToro.
![]() Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Antofagasta, Chile
Posts: 201
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![]() 500 today...
calling that tomorrow I will get 1000 only to equal my prizes.
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D3A - 2nd Place - Tournament of Fire and Lightning 2
4th Place - YoshL's Tournament of Mediocrity D4 - 2nd Place - Zenith's Arrows to Music Tournament D4 - 4th Place - Red Blaster's Timebomb Tournament |
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#380 |
FFR Veteran
![]() Join Date: May 2014
Age: 29
Posts: 351
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Are you sure? How I calculated the probability:
P(no token and max. 7500 credits in 11 days)= P(no token in 11 days)P(max. 7500 credits in 11 days)= P(no token in 11 days)(P(11x 500 credits)+P(10x 500 credits and 1x 1000 credits)+P(9x 500 credits and 2x 1000 credits)+ P(8x 500 credits and 3x 1000 credits)+P(7x 500 credits and 4x 1000 credits))= ![]() I could have made a mistake, let me know if you find one. Approximated chances were used so the result isn't 100% correct. I tested the formula on different chances for 500 and 1000 credits, and found this: to get a 8% chance, the probability to get (500 or 1000) credits on a day needs to be more than 85% OR the probability to get 500 credits on a day needs to be higher than 50%. Both options seem unlikely (but possible). If you say 8% because for example 7 out of the 87 players didn't get more than 7500 credits and no token: this doesn't give the real probability, but just an approximate chance out a sample. Last edited by benny58624; 12-23-2014 at 05:49 PM.. Reason: I forgot a ')' |
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