08-28-2018, 08:15 PM | #2961 | |
FFR Player
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Re: TWG CLXXX - OuO what's this? [Game Thread]
Quote:
But I think it's an objectively bad decision for town at this stage too
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08-28-2018, 08:15 PM | #2962 |
FFR Player
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Re: TWG CLXXX - OuO what's this? [Game Thread]
Anyone else here to weigh in ?
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08-28-2018, 08:16 PM | #2963 |
FFR Player
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Re: TWG CLXXX - OuO what's this? [Game Thread]
I'm probably voting fg
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08-28-2018, 08:17 PM | #2964 |
FFR Player
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Re: TWG CLXXX - OuO what's this? [Game Thread]
It comes down to if we like our odds voting vs prisoners dilemma, but I'm interested in hearing a brief summary of your position if you don't mind.
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08-28-2018, 08:17 PM | #2965 |
FFR Player
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Re: TWG CLXXX - OuO what's this? [Game Thread]
In my perspective the only reason youd want to no lynch is to buy time and to justify f4 next phase if you're a wolf
But that's just me
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08-28-2018, 08:18 PM | #2966 |
FFR Player
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Re: TWG CLXXX - OuO what's this? [Game Thread]
I'm at an arcade right now so gimme a bit if you really want me to argue it properly
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08-28-2018, 08:48 PM | #2967 | |
Picker @ JAX2
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 505
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Re: TWG CLXXX - OuO what's this? [Game Thread]
Quote:
no-lynching preserves the ambiguity between us and increases the chance that at least one of two NKs lands on me, which would not at all be them hitting each other |
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08-28-2018, 08:50 PM | #2968 |
Picker @ JAX2
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 505
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Re: TWG CLXXX - OuO what's this? [Game Thread]
going to take a late-night shower and try this cooling down thing that was in a news article, be back after that. supposed to be good for your head and stuff
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08-28-2018, 09:10 PM | #2969 |
Picker @ JAX2
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 505
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Re: TWG CLXXX - OuO what's this? [Game Thread]
am back, apparently i missed nothing but i'm around
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08-28-2018, 09:20 PM | #2970 |
T-Force's Rival
Join Date: Dec 2010
Age: 27
Posts: 1,865
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Re: TWG CLXXX - OuO what's this? [Game Thread]
too sleepy to make it
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08-28-2018, 09:26 PM | #2971 |
Picker @ JAX2
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 505
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Re: TWG CLXXX - OuO what's this? [Game Thread]
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08-28-2018, 09:35 PM | #2972 |
FFR Player
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Re: TWG CLXXX - OuO what's this? [Game Thread]
No. If we lynch someone other than myself and cel then it means the 2 remaining are the sk and wolf, who then know who each other are. If we no lynch then we make then have to guess which of the two the other is.
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08-28-2018, 09:36 PM | #2973 |
FFR Player
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Re: TWG CLXXX - OuO what's this? [Game Thread]
This is assuming a mislynch worst case scenario vs us taking a stab today at a 2/3 odds
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08-28-2018, 09:38 PM | #2974 | |
Picker @ JAX2
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 505
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Re: TWG CLXXX - OuO what's this? [Game Thread]
Quote:
so they can just attack each other killing anyone else is playing to at most a draw, i'm pretty sure |
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08-28-2018, 09:39 PM | #2975 |
FFR Player
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Re: TWG CLXXX - OuO what's this? [Game Thread]
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08-28-2018, 09:42 PM | #2976 | |
Picker @ JAX2
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 505
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Re: TWG CLXXX - OuO what's this? [Game Thread]
Quote:
in addition, it clears or condemns you, and i'd like to do that you're basically making the argument you're priced into as a wolf here, which i appreciate, but it's not good for town |
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08-28-2018, 09:48 PM | #2977 | |
FFR Player
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Re: TWG CLXXX - OuO what's this? [Game Thread]
Quote:
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08-28-2018, 09:58 PM | #2978 | |
Picker @ JAX2
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 505
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Re: TWG CLXXX - OuO what's this? [Game Thread]
Quote:
but fmpov the 2/3 is 100% because i'll always be voting to lynch not-me following your scenario actually just kinda makes things longer for no reason (i'm into the last 50 xiz posts btw) |
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08-28-2018, 10:01 PM | #2979 |
FFR Player
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Re: TWG CLXXX - OuO what's this? [Game Thread]
So if we no lynch, that puts this phase at 5, which can actually lead to an insta draw here if sk and wolf kill a town each, or if tps hides even though he shouldn't.
It could put us at 4, with a town dying, which creates ambiguity of if there is even a SK. In that situation we would have to no lynch as well though, and effectively leave it up to RNG that we win. No lynch is useless; but arguably as well, it's the only way for a wolf tps to win. I cant see any other angle for wanting a no lunch here
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08-28-2018, 10:01 PM | #2980 |
FFR Player
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Re: TWG CLXXX - OuO what's this? [Game Thread]
I think no lynching is a bad idea objectively and I would rather I get lynched than us no lynching
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