11-29-2020, 01:46 AM | #2021 |
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Re: TWG 198 - TWGabout Succession [GAME THREAD]
I'm not nearly done to finishing but I 100% expect to see more of the same pattern here: Plop and/or YoshL staging useless conversations and then quickly dropping them to actually get shit done.
If I'm lucky, the third compadre is actually just Freezinice. |
11-29-2020, 01:50 AM | #2022 | |||
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Re: TWG 198 - TWGabout Succession [GAME THREAD]
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11-29-2020, 01:58 AM | #2023 | ||
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Re: TWG 198 - TWGabout Succession [GAME THREAD]
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I've got all I need!! Plopadop. See you in court!! |
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11-29-2020, 01:58 AM | #2024 |
Somewhere, but not here
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Re: TWG 198 - TWGabout Succession [GAME THREAD]
DBP quick question for you:
Are you considering the posts and interactions from an emotional standpoint as well? Like, for me, I get 0 emotion from YoshL when I read through his stuff compared to maybe... We'll use Trevor as an example Trevor (If we're town reading him) has a very dry and sarcastic tone which, if you happen to know the dude, you can pick up on |
11-29-2020, 02:08 AM | #2025 |
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Re: TWG 198 - TWGabout Succession [GAME THREAD]
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11-29-2020, 02:10 AM | #2026 | |
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Re: TWG 198 - TWGabout Succession [GAME THREAD]
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I mentioned this earlier but whenever I read Trevor based on tone I think he's wolfing, so I'm trying to... not do that this time. If I see interesting, authentic emotion I'll point it out, since I do still think it can be useful to analyze outbursts and such |
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11-29-2020, 02:15 AM | #2027 | |
Somewhere, but not here
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Re: TWG 198 - TWGabout Succession [GAME THREAD]
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11-29-2020, 02:21 AM | #2028 |
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Re: TWG 198 - TWGabout Succession [GAME THREAD]
Something I've been thinking of as I use this thread to just get thoughts off my mind:
IF we manage to hit two wolves and I somehow manage to block at LEAST one wolf kill, we're out of mylo This means nothing right now, but a neat thing to be hopeful for |
11-29-2020, 02:22 AM | #2029 | |||
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Re: TWG 198 - TWGabout Succession [GAME THREAD]
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* Engages in a fake conversation with YoshL, it ends immediately * Asks FFA about his read on YoshL * Makes a comment that "everyone should always live in fear of YoshL" * Makes a big post with his thoughts about the game. * Never mentions YoshL in it. * Straddles the line between FFA and Ulli, both of who end up as wagons. So where exactly is YoshL in your thought process, given that you literally JUST said to "live in fear" of him? |
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11-29-2020, 02:29 AM | #2030 | |
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Re: TWG 198 - TWGabout Succession [GAME THREAD]
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According to the Wolf Matrix, sunfan and YoshL both have each other as 2nd-place wolves. With all of this in mind, as well as my past posts tonight, I'm willing to completely reject a sunfan/YoshL wolf pairing. |
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11-29-2020, 02:34 AM | #2031 |
Somewhere, but not here
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Re: TWG 198 - TWGabout Succession [GAME THREAD]
Can I also point out, DBP
The bolded text that you have for Ulle, is so contradictory 1. Plop says he's not sure, but says she's town on gut, but ALSO says that this is how he (Plop) usually plays as a wolf. So he's gone up and down the town/wolf scale in one sentence here and uses self-meta to G U T READ town It actually took my reading that section 4 times before I clicked those in together Am I over analyzing that? Maybe. |
11-29-2020, 02:35 AM | #2032 |
Somewhere, but not here
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Re: TWG 198 - TWGabout Succession [GAME THREAD]
Hindsight says contradictory was the incorrect word to use
I have no idea how to describe what I'm getting at here: Best guess would be "It's everywhere" but just settles for town |
11-29-2020, 02:42 AM | #2033 | |||
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Re: TWG 198 - TWGabout Succession [GAME THREAD]
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Regarding the Plop quote in here: Quote:
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11-29-2020, 02:47 AM | #2034 | |||
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Re: TWG 198 - TWGabout Succession [GAME THREAD]
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What exactly about YoshL's analysis post eased your paranoia? Where did this paranoia even come from? You sounded pretty dispassionate when you said, "I wouldn't be surprised if Ulle/YoshL were W/W". It didn't really seem to bother you that much, because literally as soon as you say that you move on from it and interrogate Raeko about something completely unrelated. |
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11-29-2020, 02:51 AM | #2035 | |
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Re: TWG 198 - TWGabout Succession [GAME THREAD]
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11-29-2020, 02:51 AM | #2036 |
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Re: TWG 198 - TWGabout Succession [GAME THREAD]
fake
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11-29-2020, 02:57 AM | #2037 | |
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Re: TWG 198 - TWGabout Succession [GAME THREAD]
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11-29-2020, 03:20 AM | #2038 | |
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Re: TWG 198 - TWGabout Succession [GAME THREAD]
(Re: Subaru)
This is another "devil's advocate"/contrarian take, one which he rides to the very end of the phase. In fact, if we look at the final votecounts: Quote:
And yet--- knowing full well that Subaru was going to be lynched, he would easy peasy be able to enter this phase (MYLO) with a perfect mislynch alibi. "I've been sus of T-Force, I even voted for him yesterday! Can we please just kill him?" It's likely that YoshL did this too, in order to give himself a free ride through MYLO. Of course, it would be pretty weird if T-Force was the unanimous suspect today, so there is a bit of variation in the Wolf Matrix--- YoshL has T-Force as a 3, Plop only has T-Force as a 1. But despite this, because of voting patterns and breadcrumbing, both Plop and YoshL have absolutely plausible alibis as to why they'd be OK with a T-Force lynch. |
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11-29-2020, 03:23 AM | #2039 |
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Re: TWG 198 - TWGabout Succession [GAME THREAD]
Another stray observation, from looking at the votecounts: Plopadop is the first vote on both of his wagons, which on the surface would indicate leadership and confidence, but in practice really reveals a lack of panic or concern during CFDs. He also has a proclivity for hard defending the competing wagon targets, in a way that doesn't really feel justified. (A mismatch between "low effort", "low panic", and "high read confidence")
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11-29-2020, 03:33 AM | #2040 | |
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Re: TWG 198 - TWGabout Succession [GAME THREAD]
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Now FREEZIN is most sus, and T-Force is LEAST sus. This is seemingly incongruent, so I'm gonna try to see if/where he justifies this switch. (Or, he can justify it after reading this ) My gut is telling me that, since Plop has been playing a completely contrarian game, his job on the wolf team is to make it seem like T-Force isn't the de facto sacrificial lamb. I imagine his job is to push back a little bit against voting T-Force, and instead being contrarian and pushing Freezin first. Knowing, of course, that the rest of us wanted T-Force mega-dead, so he would "compromise" on T-Force, since he still has those T-Force lynch breadcrumbs. Plop's mistake, however, was not realizing that this morning (IRL), sunfan would pop in and ALSO list Freezin as his highest scum. Freezin actually has a pretty good chance of dying this phase--- at least, before I popped in with this massive fucking expose on Plop himself, hopefully. It would be pretty funny to watch Plop actually retract his hard Freezin scumlean and move it to T-Force, to make the T-Force mislynch a more certain thing, but I digress. |
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