14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

[Wayward Vagabond]

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Oh right I forgot this was a thing

[WirryWoo]

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Ignoring my model, I personally think the winners for each division will be:

D1: Fireo
D2: Deathserpent2
D3: Logman6656
D4: Jonlovesddr
D5: Amir96lx (rooting for XJ-9 though)
D6: Novelties (rooting for jh05013 though)
D7: Naheeno
D8: AnMaO

I hope both BigHayden1 and FlynnMac continues to skillboost. Both of them have been killing it in D7 so far. Great work guys!

I also hope MyNameIsNothing gets his Top 8 for D6 this tournament. If I magically get Top 8, I'd donate my prize to him if I could. He really deserves it.

[LeftyRighty]

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Hey all, thought it's tradition to at least have one of these bad boys going for this OT

D6 Predictions
Top 8 of Division 6:
Ultimate Mike7
Hakulyte
LeftyRighty
FFR Pro 21
iironiic
awein999
radioamor
RagedBerserker

i didn't even see this but god i am so sorry you considered me for your initial thingy (even if it was through algorithm) because i have had no motivation this year LOL but i appreciate the thought ;u;

btw everyone is killing it this year and also the files have been super cool so far. as always thank u guys for making this event as cool as it is

[TopeDogeWOW]

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

What's this algorithm people are talking about?

[FlynnMac]

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

I hope both BigHayden1 and FlynnMac continues to skillboost. Both of them have been killing it in D7 so far. Great work guys!

<3 <3 <3

[MKIIPro]

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

You've only listed 7 people, Telnaior's in there twice.

edited to reflect, thanks

was a long day and working 3:00a-9:00a, then 4:30p-9:00p takes a toll on you, just for your information

[KillerScythe0]

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

My prediction is based on the current player's skill ratings, top 5, top 100, and R1+R2 score, ranked relative to the other competitors still D3. The sum of their ranks determines their ordering.

D3 Top 8 (in order):
Viisbyxa - Sum Rank: 8
KillerScythe0 - Sum Rank: 15
oOL3G1TxG4M3ROo - Sum Rank: 15
tmgCryptX - Sum Rank: 16
123kappa3 - Sum Rank: 20
csoup1414 - Sum Rank: 20
anrai - Sum Rank: 25
exchro - Sum Rank: 27

[xXOpkillerXx]

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Ignoring my model, I personally think the winners for each division will be:

D1: Fireo
D2: Deathserpent2
D3: Logman6656
D4: Jonlovesddr
D5: Amir96lx (rooting for XJ-9 though)
D6: Novelties (rooting for jh05013 though)
D7: Naheeno
D8: AnMaO

I hope both BigHayden1 and FlynnMac continues to skillboost. Both of them have been killing it in D7 so far. Great work guys!

I also hope MyNameIsNothing gets his Top 8 for D6 this tournament. If I magically get Top 8, I'd donate my prize to him if I could. He really deserves it.

Ignoring your model, who ends in #8 in D8 ?

[Toxicity783]

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

My prediction is based on the current player's skill ratings, top 5, top 100, and R1+R2 score, ranked relative to the other competitors still D3. The sum of their ranks determines their ordering.

D3 Top 8 (in order):
Viisbyxa - Sum Rank: 8
KillerScythe0 - Sum Rank: 15
oOL3G1TxG4M3ROo - Sum Rank: 15
tmgCryptX - Sum Rank: 16
123kappa3 - Sum Rank: 20
csoup1414 - Sum Rank: 20
anrai - Sum Rank: 25
exchro - Sum Rank: 27

Trying to do rankings like this objectively is never a good idea; realistically only two or three of the people you listed are gonna make it into the top 8, meanwhile the best players in the division (Logman, Sonic10110, Vinyl & Killuala) are nowhere to be seen.

Potential Top 8 of Division 3 (In no order):
1. 123kappa3
4key
csoup1414
exchro
Kawaii025
KillerScythe0
Killuala
Logman6656
oOL3G1TxG4M3ROo
reedkmeister
rsr2
ScienceCrafter
SC_coolguy44
sonic10110
TheLegendofPie
themastergrant
tmgCryptX
Toxicity783
_DJ Vinyl_

Thanks for being the only person in this thread who believed in me for a bit :,)

[sonic10110]

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

meanwhile the best players in the division (Logman, Sonic10110, Vinyl & Killuala) are nowhere to be seen.

don't put that pressure on me i'm going to Perish

[_DJ Vinyl_]

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Meanwhile I like being rooted for, thanks for the shoutout, hope you do as well as me

[KillerScythe0]

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Trying to do rankings like this objectively is never a good idea; realistically only two or three of the people you listed are gonna make it into the top 8, meanwhile the best players in the division (Logman, Sonic10110, Vinyl & Killuala) are nowhere to be seen.

It was more so a quick public data assembly to see who had the best chances at winning. How are others making their assessments? I'm curious to know what metrics people are using to determine their guesses.

If I were to go just on what I've seen from browsing competitors profiles, then my bet is on Logman for 1st place. The sheer amount of playing they've been doing recently is crazy. Also within 30 minutes of R3 starting getting a AAA? What the heck! As much as I want to place, I'm rooting for them to win.

Guesses on Top 8? I dunno, too much data for me to be trying to compare non-objectively. I felt that using multiple data points would lead to a more accurate analysis on what could be, without overloading the hamster spinning in my head.

[Dynam0]

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

The only easy prediction was calling winner of D8 in the 13th official...everything else is a crapshoot or else the "obvious winner" would be bumped up a division.

[Toxophilis]

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

mfw i actually forgot i signed up

[choof]

Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

bruh momento mori