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Old 09-28-2017, 06:28 PM   #11
DaBackpack
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Default Re: TWG CLXXII - TWGood End!

To preface this: I am not above "laming" the game. I have no pride, no dignity I need to protect. Only winning.

I think Haku is the best lynch today from a purely mechanical standpoint.

Haku has claimed MVX. I don't doubt this. The only thing I DO doubt is his alignment. I see two possibilities:

1) Haku is self-aligned.
2) Haku is wolf-aligned.

Based on the interactions in this phase so far, I see exactly two worlds:

1) Haku is self-aligned and Raeko is a wolf. Since Haku is self-aligned, there are only two wolves.
2) Haku is wolf-aligned and AA is a wolf. Since Haku is wolf-aligned, there are exactly three wolves.

If we live in World 2 and we mislynch, town instaloses. If we live in World 1 and we mislynch, we get another day to live.

If we lynch Haku in World 2, we get another day to live, and we lynch AA.
If we lynch Haku in World 1, we get another day to live, and we lynch Raeko.

Instead of taking a 50/50 shot at instalosing, I'd rather take the safe road.

Everybody please check my math here. If I made a mistake, it could cost us.
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