TWG CXXV - Charu Dies Multiple times. Danceguy Dies Once For Some Weird Reason

[T-Force]

Thoughts?
Xel's being way too quiet. It's like once he got "confirmed" not mafia, he went into silent mode.
Even Blind poking at him didn't make him do anything. This is quite weird for him.

I'm also not too thrilled with Charles reading me red, but I can't blame him because Xiz decided to latch onto me after I made the comment that he'd be too easy a target.

Next, as much as I'd like to believe j-rodd (and the fact that no one's counterclaimed him) I'm wary that he may be trying to pocket me as well by calling me a heavy green.



Finally, Tokzic, how can we be so sure there's 3 Mafia? Isn't there a chance there can be 2? Especially considering the only thing we know how is DD as the cop claim ended up being false.

[j-rodd123]

Originally Posted by T-Force

Next, as much as I'd like to believe j-rodd (and the fact that no one's counterclaimed him) I'm wary that he may be trying to pocket me as well by calling me a heavy green.
.

oh no need to worry, you've been demoted from dark green

[XelNya]

Originally Posted by j-rodd123

oh no need to worry, you've been demoted from dark green

ooooooo a shade change

oooooooooooooooooooooooooo

[Tokzic]

Originally Posted by T-Force

Finally, Tokzic, how can we be so sure there's 3 Mafia? Isn't there a chance there can be 2? Especially considering the only thing we know how is DD as the cop claim ended up being false.

If J-rodd's claim is true, we have a Doctor and a 1-shot Doctor in game, so our D roll is at least 3. If there are three Ds, Mafia Power Tier cannot be 1, and there are 3 Mafia in the game.

The only way there can be two Mafia is if J-rodd is not Doctor.

J-rodd, why did you fakeclaim Seer, into claiming Doctor? Please get me into your head on this, I am really confused.

[Tokzic]

Originally Posted by Tokzic

If J-rodd's claim is true, we have a Doctor and a 1-shot Doctor in game, so our D roll is at least 3. If there are three Ds, Mafia Power Tier cannot be 1, and there are 3 Mafia in the game.

The only way there can be two Mafia is if J-rodd is not Doctor.

J-rodd, why did you fakeclaim Seer, into claiming Doctor? Please get me into your head on this, I am really confused.

Disregard this post, I was reading Cop letters, not Doctor letters.

What's actually going on is the D roll is at least 2, regardless of whether or not J-rodd is the Doctor, which he probably is since nobody has counterclaimed. This means there is a slight, but very low, chance that there are no other Mafia-related rolls in the game, i.e. a TTTTT setup.

So what's 1/2^5? 1/32? Yeah so about a 3% chance that there's 2 mafia. Don't count on it.