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Old 07-19-2020, 11:17 AM   #11
Xiz
TWG Chaos
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Location: Cali4nia
Age: 34
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Default Re: TWG 195 - D6

I am the town roleblocker, I blocked raeko. I am taking the risk and assuming that wolves sent a kill here. I am heavily under this assumption due to wolves loosing a wolf d1. Without knowing if there are cops, or vigis, its wise to kill here. Therefore, raeko sent the kill.

Here are all possibilities with me in it, we can assume:

[Inv. Prot. Kill] ------------------ [R wolf, S wolf]
[3,3,0] = Role Cop, Roleblocker = [2,1]
[2,3,1] = Role Oracle, Roleblocker, 1-shot Vigi [1,2]
[1,3,2] = Inno Child, Roleblocker, 2-shot Vigi [1,2]
[0,6,0] = Roleblocker, Doctor [2,1]
[0,3,3] = Roleblocker, Vigi [2,1]


Besides the doctor, I am the only role that could cause a no kill (assuming). If I am wrong and doctor saved someone, doctor can save me tonight. There is an 80% chance we hit a raeko wolf, looking at the remaining 6 options with me in it. If there is a doctor, they can say nothing here and it be fine for a day.

Note there are no trackers in these options, therefore if there is a cop and you get a tracker result, you hit a wolf.

If we have vigis, kill raeko if i get meme'd on again like what happened to me 2 games ago.

If we have an inno child, outing might be good.

After I die, I think shadow is the best #2 option because I am ride or die with bolthman, sunfan, and 99.97% freezin, and I agree with them about nanok's playstyle, along with fatfuck. Also, raeko and shadow/manti were both gone and didn't save nanok so that also puts point to that.

(If shadow isn't a wolf, then i have no idea, i'll leave that to you)

raeko for 80% chance wolf - Risky play let's go!
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