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#1 |
FFR Veteran
![]() Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Massachusetts
Age: 33
Posts: 965
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![]() Anyone deal with these things? I remember this board was all over bitcoin's nuts when it was hiking to $1200
It took me far too many years but I realized I could use my immense math skills and interest in theoretical math and programming to make money. Currently building a variety of bots to trade cryptocurrencies. I've spent a lot of time learning to manually trade with good success rates (did 20-30 trades on Eth in a few hours recently, only lost 1, the rest were 3-10% gains, which is actually sickeningly profitable if I was trading with more) I have an automated backtesting system in place comparing every combo of indicator variables, but it's janky and I might build my own engine or just deal with it. Not sure how hard the backtest engine could be, might save it for later just to improve already good profits. Or I could find something open source, but haven't yet.
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![]() Last edited by Garquillex; 07-29-2016 at 08:58 AM.. |
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#2 |
longing
![]() Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Ontario, Canada
Posts: 2,680
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![]() This could be a good idea.. There's a reason there isn't open source software like this. Major investing firms have software to automate it, without a doubt.
Logically speaking, it's a matter of optimizing it and placing low risk trades - consider, if something has even a 51% success rate, over an infinite number of iterations, theoretically it should tend towards a net gain, if that makes sense. Is this called the Gambler's Fallacy? Maybe ![]() Last edited by Dinglesberry; 07-29-2016 at 10:21 AM.. |
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#3 | |
Fractals!
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But programming bots and getting involved in Bitcoin, especially after the last Halvening? I'd like you to be in my Maki Dev Slack with a bunch of guys that are looking to re-make the Internet and "decentralize ALL THE THINGS." PM me if you want a link. |
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#4 |
Picker @ JAX2
![]() Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 505
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![]() this is just fantasy sports without the sports tbh
glhf |
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#5 |
✘ Forever OP✘
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: Canada,Quebec
Age: 29
Posts: 4,172
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![]() Why not do machine learning with "predictions" as output and the trades you do manually as dataset. That way you get to learn even more about the params needed for a good trade, and you might even see surprising results in the weights in the end. Just an idea...
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#6 | |
longing
![]() Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Ontario, Canada
Posts: 2,680
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#7 |
✘ Forever OP✘
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: Canada,Quebec
Age: 29
Posts: 4,172
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Well that's up to you. If the AI was trained for long enough, there shouldnt be a problem. In any case, it's easy to add a manual confirmation feature to it.
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#8 | |
remederpin
![]() Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Ontario, Canada
Age: 31
Posts: 4,884
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http://imgur.com/gallery/VhlAW |
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#9 | |
longing
![]() Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Ontario, Canada
Posts: 2,680
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![]() Quote:
http://www.flashflashrevolution.com/....php?p=4458673 |
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#10 |
The Worst
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just have it emulate trades at first, let it run and see how it does with fake money. once you're confident that it works as intended start using real money.
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#11 | |||
Carry your failures proud
![]() Join Date: Sep 2015
Age: 23
Posts: 644
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I've wanted to develop some open source procedural trading software, but the problem is to test it well you either need money or market data, neither of which are amazingly easy to obtain.
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#12 | ||||
FFR Veteran
![]() Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Massachusetts
Age: 33
Posts: 965
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![]() Quote:
I have like 4 months to make this profitable. I think I can do it by September if I work hard enough. Quote:
I'm splitting off into stocks and forex later on to keep up the diversity and reduce slippage. Quote:
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Only problem is they only have it available in 1 minute chunks, which is usually fine, but a really good bot reads live order books too, which makes backtesting that logic essentially impossible without an enormous effort. What's this about?
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#13 |
✘ Forever OP✘
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: Canada,Quebec
Age: 29
Posts: 4,172
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You do realize that all you can make your program do, you can put it in a deep learning algo right ? I mean, if done right, the learning AI should Not yield lower results than the base settings you give it. But yeah, you gotta know that stuff fairly well ofc
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#14 |
FFR Veteran
![]() Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Massachusetts
Age: 33
Posts: 965
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![]() I went to bed literally the minute that started ^_^
And my bitcoins were moved off bitfinex so I'm safe, but if bitfinex goes bankrupt... I can't program if I'm glued to short term trades so I have to ignore prices as much as I can. I can go days without looking now. Yeah I'm already plotting code for that. I was under the impression of more of a trial and error tabula rasa bot rather than something more like self adjusting variables. The former is super interesting.
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![]() Last edited by Garquillex; 08-3-2016 at 12:21 PM.. |
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#15 |
I like max
![]() Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Vancouver/Burnaby/East Van
Age: 30
Posts: 2,921
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![]() I got the money if you want to split profits once your trading bots are tested more. Lets get rich. I do some Forex trading, and love investing.
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r bae adam bae max bae bridget bae claudia bae trevor bae adam2 bae mayo bae keith bae |
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#16 |
FFR Veteran
![]() Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Massachusetts
Age: 33
Posts: 965
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![]() I wonder what the bitcoin price would be if bitfinex didn't keep fucking up the market
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#17 |
FFR Player
Join Date: Sep 2012
Location: England
Posts: 466
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![]() ![]() i wonder how many bitcoin traders i could scare if i showed up at their door on halloween night with this pic on my shirt certainly scared the hell out of me last night worst roller coaster ever 0/10 would not recommend
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![]() Theorem: If you have a large enough number of monkeys, and a large enough number of computer keyboards, one of them will sight-read AAA death piano on stealth. And the ffr community will forever worship it. Proof Example ask me anything here mashed FCs: 329 |
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#18 |
FFR Player
Join Date: Sep 2012
Location: England
Posts: 466
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![]() Bitcoins just reached a new all-time high in marketcap today - it's now got a marketcap of over $14 billion, more than the peak of the Nov 2013 bubble.
Also, I grabbed these 3 screenshots of the bitcoin price spelling BOOBS in 3 different major currencies, all within 24 hours of each other. Can any other stock/currency spell out BOOBS 3 times in a day? This is why bitcoin is so awesome.
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![]() Theorem: If you have a large enough number of monkeys, and a large enough number of computer keyboards, one of them will sight-read AAA death piano on stealth. And the ffr community will forever worship it. Proof Example ask me anything here mashed FCs: 329 |
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#19 | ||
Carry your failures proud
![]() Join Date: Sep 2015
Age: 23
Posts: 644
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![]() Ayyy lmao.
But my current research in regards to this is using artificially controlled cryptocurrency markets, especially those backed by another market. Possible results include inventing a new type of interest investment, or getting people to throw money at you in an incredibly roundabout way.
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#20 |
Banned
Join Date: Sep 2019
Age: 53
Posts: 7
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![]() spambot
Last edited by DossarLX ODI; 11-27-2019 at 09:39 AM.. |
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