[Duskfall]

Originally Posted by leetic

But the one C and one V were rolled with the rest of the numbers, so leaving them out skews the results

you are calculating the odds of mikey's claim being correct now, not pre roll, and we have more info now so not including it makes the odds of him being that role incorrect because the knowledge you have skews the odds. If you are calculating the pre roll odds of him being C then you would actually need to remove the fact you are already claimed 1 shot cop because that does not effect the result you are trying to look for and you should be account for every scenario thats has more than one C, as all those setups allow for a cop and therefore for mikey to claim cop.