TWG XXXVI Postgame

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Date: Thu, 14 Sep 2006 20:56:28 -0700 (PDT)

Subject: time to get serious! rofl

Wolf kill: shash?

Seer pick: leaning towards sertman or jurs.



OPTIMAL WOLF STRATEGY:



Your local neighborhood seer has been desperately looking at this game from our point of view. It’s been hurting my public posting style, but I feel that concentrating on surviving is more important than the off chance on someone picking it up.



I’m sending this all to you, because we all haven’t been on the same page this game. Game is going fairly well IMO. But we still need to survive a few days in order to pull this off.



Things that will help our case:

- Phantoms: Having a player with 2 phantoms would be sweet. (Two players would probably be better but I’ll take whatever I can get.

- Lynches: As of now (Night4) there are 9 unknown players. These are players, who are living and have no confirmation on if they are blue or not. These guys are Matt (1 phantom), Shash (wolf target for tonight?), disco, kilga, sertman, jurs, talisman, wilkin, and tps (1 phantom). If an unknown is always lynched, we will be in excellent shape in knowing whether or not there are blues left.



Our wolf targets:

- Any player that is tied for the most amount of phantoms: Phantoms are nice, but unless you want a speed run towards the end of game, we need to make sure there is only 1 player with the most amount of phantoms. (Whether that person has 1, 2, or 3 phantoms)

EX: if on night X there are 2 players (A and B) with 1 phantom (assuming the number of players is even on the start of day.) then we kill player A, and laugh during the day as we insta lynch player B. If we don’t do that, then we’ll either have KitB or a speed run. And I want to avoid that if possible.

- Players that are assumed human: obviously. IMO, those who fall into that list and are apart of our currently unknown list are shash, kilga, talisman, wilkin. These guys are never a bad idea to kill just because if we are left with them, then it’ll be so easy to pick us out and we can’t afford that XD.



Our seer targets:

- Greens: It sounds dumb but we have to think of it as running a human alliance. We have two millers so seering a blue doesn’t give us enough proof that we have killed a guardian. And we can’t use our kill on someone from our unknown list. Since we have so many days, if we can find greens and wolf and lynch unknowns, then ideally by the end of 3 days we will know that there are no more blues alive. Which equals free reign on kills XD. Seering a blue would drop this back one or two days.

- Inactives/players who would never be lynched: We need to make sure our seered players stay alive so lynches can be used on unknowns. Thus seering inactives and non lynch targets, we ensure our investments don’t bite us in the butt in the end.



Our lynch targets:

- UNKNOWN LIST!: Try to save your vote until the end of day if it’s possible. If an unknown player is borderline with another and then it will be less suspicious to vote for send an unknown to the grave rather than changing your vote. Hoping that someone else will do it is ideal but nonetheless, we can’t hope for that kind of luck.

I will say that how you vote is ultimately up to you guys. IMO, looking suspicious is worth making sure the right people get lynched. Because the faster our unknown list goes away, the faster you can kill tass and talisman. Which would make up for the suspicion drawn to you. (Remember, suspicion will be key to ‘staying under radar.’ Those who no one talks about and don’t get wolfed are easily lynched. This is especially true if you are a good player that people expect to die late game.) Plus there’s no way that they would catch on as easily as you many think. If out of the blue you vote for someone who is already in contention for the most votes, then there’s little flat to be taken, but a lot to gain.





In conclusion it may take 3 more lynches to dodge before victory is earned. If day starts with 8 players and only no one is tied for the most phantoms. We win. Yea there are 3 of you but obviously I’m working with you and will aid in this insta lynch. So we can count on 4 red votes. (4 votes + 1 phantom = insta and WIN!!!) But if any wolves get phantoms….. well we just won’t think about that.



We deserve this win so bad. Tass screwed us over with his pwning of mead. And he’s “9-0 while leading an alliance.” I want to shut his face up in post game!! I want to brag how no could touch us and that we won despite losing our ZW PUBLICALLY!!!! Argh tass makes me so mad, and I want to rub it in his face. These are my suggestions for a sweet victory. Dumb luck would save the humans.



Also, I’m not going on an ego trip (maybe a power trip lol.) but if I’m going to die…. You need to save me, even if it’s totally obvious. (well I mean if I’m in contention with another player… vote changing may even be worth it.) I may die the very next day, but chances are they won’t catch you, and I’ll be able to give you 1 or 2 more seer picks. Remember the humans know nothing. They may try to save guardians from being lynched, but only other guardians would do that. (Which is something I will be checking for because I can’t have tass knowing 3 people near end of game. Even if we don’t know he doesn’t have his guardians… we will eventually.) I doubt tass would let his minions be so careless, but he probably thinks we are a bunch of mindless noobs because of our “random kills.”



Anyways, tass needs to eat it, he needs to die, and we HAVE that chance. I just want to get you guys psyched for this game, because we are so close to winning a game that actually required SKILL. The humans will have nothing to say because they had it all and then more, and still lost? Heck YES I want that!



It’s all about twg penis. XD.