14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

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  • WirryWoo
    Forever Derbyless
    FFR Simfile Author
    • Aug 2020
    • 240
    #1

    14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

    Hey all, thought it's tradition to at least have one of these bad boys going for this OT

    For those who aren't aware, I wrote a quick Python script to predict the winners for this OT (why not lmfao). Here are the results under three assumptions:

    Assumptions:
    • Current OT division placements are finalized (I'm aware that there may be minimal changes)
    • Each user is currently at the skill rating level of what their Top 100 scores suggests
    • Each user's Top 15 (which defines a player's overall rank) is representative of their current skill rating.

    Predictions:

    Top 8 of Division 1:
    sff_writer_dan
    SwedishMeatballs
    Winterprison
    The_Popo
    Telnaior
    Frans813
    Fireo
    Zeldagurlfan1


    Top 8 of Division 2:
    kainivy
    LightLifeCheetah
    TopeDogeWOW
    chuckman
    popo55
    NapalmDaDon
    HBar
    Ksl33zy24


    Top 8 of Division 3:
    Viisbyxa
    kiba1000
    exchro
    Psycast
    anrai
    flashflash master
    tmgCryptX
    csoup1414


    Top 8 of Division 4:
    A Cheap Lemon
    katanaeyegaming
    Brasegali
    TheFFRPerson
    Jonlovesddr
    VisD
    Zlyice
    ositzxz369


    Top 8 of Division 5:
    Phynx
    IwasAsquidOnce
    justin_ator
    PrawnSkunk
    Jtehanonymous
    snooches
    Defluxit
    Arbliterator


    Top 8 of Division 6:
    Ultimate Mike7
    Hakulyte
    LeftyRighty
    FFR Pro 21
    iironiic
    awein999
    radioamor
    RagedBerserker


    Top 8 of Division 7:
    _Zenith_
    Josemba
    CallMeMessyy
    Devilchilly
    Aquellex
    mi40
    Godnick
    Naheeno


    Top 8 of Division 8:
    AnMaO
    Matthia
    Elah
    Eliminate294
    Zoobin4
    Yyorshire
    SoFast
    xXOpkillerXx



    Additional thoughts:

    Even though the predictions above contain some alignment to what I truly believe to be the winners of this OT, the assumptions made above are not necessarily true. I know some participants listed in my predictions who recently came back from hiatus and are attempting to derust. I also know some participants not listed in any of the lists above that can provide a strong showing based on their recent scores (recency bias at play here).

    Because of this, I think the following players can potentially disprove the results of my Python script (unfortunately, I don't know much about the competition below D6, so I'll refrain from making wild guesses here)

    • aperson [D6]
    • jh05013 [D6]
    • cup [D7]
    • Eryyy [D7]
    • XtraFestive [D8]



    Feel free to share your thoughts and opinions about your own predictions for this OT or comment on how accurate you think the results above are.
    　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
    Tags: None
    • FlynnMac
      Boom.
      • May 2019
      • 534
      #2
      Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

      I'm going for at least top 16, and want to see if I can hit top 8 as a stretch goal perhaps

        Comment

        • SubaruPoptart
          da kyo~
          • Nov 2015
          • 736
          #3
          Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

          I predict everyone who participates in this tournament will get a profile badge






          Originally posted by qrrbrbirbel
          AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA
          Originally posted by the sun fan
          AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA



          Originally posted by Shadow_God_10
          Oh God it's Subaru
          Originally posted by Deamerai
          damnit subaru
          Originally posted by FreezinIce
          You can lead Subaru to water, but you can't make him vote at EOD
          Originally posted by the sun fan
          if cocoa flips town, n2 vig should shoot zenith obv
          Originally posted by Funnygurl555
          wolf gurls exist awooo owo ¿furries? owo awoo


          Originally posted by dAnceguy117

            Comment

            • Zlyice
              Slightly unpronounceable
              • Dec 2009
              • 272
              #4
              Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

              I predict this thread will contain predictions.

                Comment

                • Eryyy
                  Godly
                  • Jun 2018
                  • 22
                  #5
                  Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

                  Time to show technology who's boss :')

                  Also Nakadashi is gonna roll the dice for sure, he's easily D8 for his physicality (33MSD without much farm LOL) and acc is nuts, I could see him winning if he adapts more and plays his cards right lol. The fact he's in D7 chills me.
                  Last edited by Eryyy; 07-6-2021, 04:51 PM. Reason: flynn mac wins all divisions

                    Comment

                    • Kawaii025
                      Fake D4
                      • Jun 2007
                      • 1404
                      #6
                      Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

                      I predict that I'll be out 2nd round again.
                      My List of FFR Tournaments
                      Pre-10/16/16
                      Highest AAA: Connect (HOUSE SOUL REMIX) & Case Closed (54)
                      Highest Blackflag: Survive (60)
                      Highest FC: Challenge the final mission! (68)
                      Highest SDG: The Fusion (63)
                      Otaku Speedvibe [Heavy] unlocked 03/04/15 - On The Origin of Species (Evolution) (50)

                      Highest AAA:Case Closed (58)
                      Highest Blackflag: Survive (58)
                      Highest Booflag: Fill Me Up With Snacky Happiness & Suit Up (55)
                      Highest FC: Challenge the final mission! (72)
                      Highest SDG: The Fusion (67)

                        Comment

                        • SubaruPoptart
                          da kyo~
                          • Nov 2015
                          • 736
                          #7
                          Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

                          Originally posted by Kawaii025
                          I predict that I'll be out 2nd round again.
                          I predict your prediction will not be accurate i always give myself 3rd round at best and you should too






                          Originally posted by qrrbrbirbel
                          AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA
                          Originally posted by the sun fan
                          AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA



                          Originally posted by Shadow_God_10
                          Oh God it's Subaru
                          Originally posted by Deamerai
                          damnit subaru
                          Originally posted by FreezinIce
                          You can lead Subaru to water, but you can't make him vote at EOD
                          Originally posted by the sun fan
                          if cocoa flips town, n2 vig should shoot zenith obv
                          Originally posted by Funnygurl555
                          wolf gurls exist awooo owo ¿furries? owo awoo


                          Originally posted by dAnceguy117

                            Comment

                            • Pizza69
                              Retired Staff
                              FFR Simfile Author
                              • Aug 2013
                              • 700
                              #8
                              Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

                              - defluxit wins d5
                              - jh05013 gets top 5 d6
                              - i get eliminated from d7 in either round 2 or round 4, but not 3
                              - cup gets top 8 d7
                              - lawn wake 69

                                Comment

                                • sff_writer_dan
                                  FFR Player
                                  • Aug 2020
                                  • 135
                                  #9
                                  Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

                                  Come on Swedish Meatballs v Devonin finals!

                                    Comment

                                    • gold stinger
                                      Signature Extraordinare~~
                                      Event Staff
                                      Game Manager
                                      FFR Simfile Author
                                      FFR Music Producer
                                      • Jan 2007
                                      • 6428
                                      #10
                                      Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

                                      devilchilly wins d7 again
                                      haku actually wins d6
                                      Anmao stays in D8 long enough with subpar accuracy to dominate the higher rank songs

                                      Originally posted by Pizza69
                                      - lawn wake 69
                                      Originally posted by YoshL
                                      butts.


                                      - Tosh 2014






                                        Comment

                                        • Kawaii025
                                          Fake D4
                                          • Jun 2007
                                          • 1404
                                          #11
                                          Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

                                          Originally posted by SubaruPoptart
                                          I predict your prediction will not be accurate i always give myself 3rd round at best and you should too
                                          But have you seen my last few tourney performances? :P
                                          My List of FFR Tournaments
                                          Pre-10/16/16
                                          Highest AAA: Connect (HOUSE SOUL REMIX) & Case Closed (54)
                                          Highest Blackflag: Survive (60)
                                          Highest FC: Challenge the final mission! (68)
                                          Highest SDG: The Fusion (63)
                                          Otaku Speedvibe [Heavy] unlocked 03/04/15 - On The Origin of Species (Evolution) (50)

                                          Highest AAA:Case Closed (58)
                                          Highest Blackflag: Survive (58)
                                          Highest Booflag: Fill Me Up With Snacky Happiness & Suit Up (55)
                                          Highest FC: Challenge the final mission! (72)
                                          Highest SDG: The Fusion (67)

                                            Comment

                                            • SubaruPoptart
                                              da kyo~
                                              • Nov 2015
                                              • 736
                                              #12
                                              Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

                                              Originally posted by Kawaii025
                                              But have you seen my last few tourney performances? :P
                                              I have not but






                                              Originally posted by qrrbrbirbel
                                              AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA
                                              Originally posted by the sun fan
                                              AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA



                                              Originally posted by Shadow_God_10
                                              Oh God it's Subaru
                                              Originally posted by Deamerai
                                              damnit subaru
                                              Originally posted by FreezinIce
                                              You can lead Subaru to water, but you can't make him vote at EOD
                                              Originally posted by the sun fan
                                              if cocoa flips town, n2 vig should shoot zenith obv
                                              Originally posted by Funnygurl555
                                              wolf gurls exist awooo owo ¿furries? owo awoo


                                              Originally posted by dAnceguy117

                                                Comment

                                                • Psychotik
                                                  Heckin' Cute
                                                  FFR Simfile Author
                                                  • Jan 2008
                                                  • 1727
                                                  #13
                                                  Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

                                                  I will be last in D5
                                                  Check out my Speedruns
                                                  Originally posted by TEEX
                                                  I want me a grrrl that will call me at 4 in the morning and ask me what my best is on Ants.

                                                    Comment

                                                    • MKIIPro
                                                      Wendy's Discount
                                                      • Jun 2012
                                                      • 129
                                                      #14
                                                      Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

                                                      DIVISION ONE
                                                      WINNER: Fireo
                                                      R/U: Uni385

                                                      DIVISION TWO
                                                      WINNER: Puzzler64
                                                      R/U: TopeDogeWOW

                                                      DIVISION THREE
                                                      WINNER: Logman6656
                                                      R/U: SC_coolguy44

                                                      DIVISION FOUR
                                                      WINNER: ositzxz369
                                                      R/U: psychoangel691

                                                      DIVISION FIVE
                                                      WINNER: PrawnSkunk
                                                      R/U: qrrbrbirbel

                                                      DIVISION SIX
                                                      WINNER: sploder12
                                                      R/U: CammyGoesRawr

                                                      DIVISION SEVEN
                                                      WINNER: cup
                                                      R/U: Pizza69

                                                      DIVISION EIGHT
                                                      WINNER: Matthia
                                                      R/U: AnMaO
                                                      FFR 2013 Multiplayer Tournament D1 - Winner
                                                      FFR O.W.L. Multiplayer Tournament - Standard Bracket (2nd Place)

                                                      Originally posted by gold stinger
                                                      I'm searching Travis_Flesher's post for 'lawn clippings.'
                                                      Originally posted by HBar
                                                      FlynnMac posting on a contraband jail phone, this madlad can't be stopped

                                                        Comment

                                                        • sonic10110
                                                          FFR Player
                                                          • Jan 2009
                                                          • 28
                                                          #15
                                                          Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

                                                          bouta be last in D2, watch me

                                                            Comment

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