Imagine There's A Gamble Where

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  • leonid
    I am leonid
    FFR Simfile Author
    FFR Music Producer
    • Oct 2008
    • 8080

    #1

    Imagine There's A Gamble Where

    You can only bet once, and you will bet all your savings, your house, and basically everything that belongs to you, in dollars.
    ofc you get disqualified if your net value is negative

    If you win, you get back double your bet.

    If you lose, you get nothing.

    What's the lowest chance of winning that you will accept and play this gamble for, and why?



    Proud member of Team No
  • top
    Banned
    • Apr 2012
    • 1907

    #2
    Re: Imagine There's A Gamble Where

    100% fuck that shit

    Comment

    • Choofers
      FFR Player
      FFR Music Producer
      • Dec 2008
      • 6205

      #3
      Re: Imagine There's A Gamble Where

      I'm a Las Vegas native.

      I know what gambling does to people, leonid.

      and to have you make light of it just makes me sick.

      Comment

      • leonid
        I am leonid
        FFR Simfile Author
        FFR Music Producer
        • Oct 2008
        • 8080

        #4
        Re: Imagine There's A Gamble Where

        I will prolly go for 95% or something



        Proud member of Team No

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        • Wayward Vagabond
          Confirmed Heartbreaker
          FFR Simfile Author
          • Jul 2012
          • 5866

          #5
          Re: Imagine There's A Gamble Where

          does this have to do with some new google service you're working on because i don't like where this is going

          Comment

          • Choofers
            FFR Player
            FFR Music Producer
            • Dec 2008
            • 6205

            #6
            Re: Imagine There's A Gamble Where

            new yt feature, double your views or get all your videos deleted

            Comment

            • L.B.D.D
              FFR Player
              • Aug 2013
              • 2949

              #7
              Re: Imagine There's A Gamble Where

              70%

              Comment

              • Choofers
                FFR Player
                FFR Music Producer
                • Dec 2008
                • 6205

                #8
                Re: Imagine There's A Gamble Where

                t͈̤̤̗̦̘͢h̨̥̺̦̭i̥s̤̪͡ ̛i̶̲s̩̪̙̻̮̭ ̗̜j̸̠̠̯̹ú̘st̜͈̬͟ͅ ͎̟͙̩ṭhe͎̘ͅ ͏͕̖͍̰b̮͉͙̤e̥̙̩̬g̡͙̺͕̬̼͙͔i̶n͔̝̤͠n̩̘͉̲in̦̣͇͈̳g̴̯̪͇͇̗̺

                Comment

                • leonid
                  I am leonid
                  FFR Simfile Author
                  FFR Music Producer
                  • Oct 2008
                  • 8080

                  #9
                  Re: Imagine There's A Gamble Where

                  nope but I do like how people relate to google every single thing I do

                  it's like i'm a walking google

                  in fact i'm a mere engineer that can be replaced any time



                  Proud member of Team No

                  Comment

                  • Guest15937
                    One-handed elite
                    • May 2008
                    • 1464

                    #10
                    Re: Imagine There's A Gamble Where

                    100%, hands down (pardon the pun). This simply isn't a bet I could take.
                    The renegade has betrayed me.

                    Comment

                    • One Winged Angel
                      Anime Avatars ( ◜◡^)っ✂╰⋃╯
                      FFR Simfile Author
                      • Mar 2007
                      • 10837

                      #11
                      Re: Imagine There's A Gamble Where

                      Nope, never.

                      I've seen roulette wheels spin the same colour 20+ times in a row and a bunch of other bullshit at casinos, fuck probability.


                      Originally posted by ilikexd
                      i want to be cucked by cirno

                      Comment

                      • DossarLX ODI
                        Batch Manager
                        Game Manager
                        FFR Simfile Author
                        • Mar 2008
                        • 14999

                        #12
                        Re: Imagine There's A Gamble Where

                        101%
                        Originally posted by hi19hi19
                        oh boy, it's STIFF, I'll stretch before I sit down at the computer so not I'm not as STIFF next time I step a file

                        Comment

                        • qqwref
                          stepmania archaeologist
                          FFR Simfile Author
                          • Aug 2005
                          • 4092

                          #13
                          Re: Imagine There's A Gamble Where

                          It would have to be pretty dang high (in the 90%s, I think). I could recover from losing all my monetary assets, but I really really wouldn't want to have to.
                          Best AAA: Policy In The Sky [Oni] (81)
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                          Comment

                          • Reincarnate
                            x'); DROP TABLE FFR;--
                            • Nov 2010
                            • 6332

                            #14
                            Re: Imagine There's A Gamble Where

                            Edit: misread the question

                            I'll say 99.99%

                            If this were one time that is. Iterated version would go higher obv.
                            Last edited by Reincarnate; 10-21-2013, 10:25 PM.

                            Comment

                            • ilikexd
                              FFR Simfile Author
                              • Apr 2006
                              • 3208

                              #15
                              Re: Imagine There's A Gamble Where

                              The numbers are kind of arbitrary, but having no wealth would be about 20 times worse than having as much wealth as I have now; having twice as much wealth as I have now would be about 1.5 times better. So no wealth would be a loss of 19, and double wealth would be a gain of .5

                              .5 * x > 19 * (100-x) where 'x' is the chance of winning
                              approximately 97.4%

                              The % you'd reasonably be willing to accept depends on how much you value the change in wealth to no wealth and wealth to double wealth.

                              Comment

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