TWG CXXI Mis-speling BOM

[thesunfan]

Originally Posted by Xiz

Also I still like killing sunfan over everyone else today still. His early responses of me on him were too weird.

I will wagon on sunfan, plop, or dabackpack as of right now if those wagons pick up.

no re-evaluation, bone-dry reasoning, A+ play

[thesunfan]

you're missing silv but yeah silv's been pretty mia

[cedolad]

Silv made that one post after Xiz called him out, albeit it was productive and well placed, his presence was short-lived and I'm really curious if that's a tactic or not.

I mean fuck, real life is a thing. Right?

[DaBackpack]

Charu:

What's your solution? I would hope people can at least consider other options for SK, especially when one of them is a joke post and the other one wouldn't be as suspicious without the joke post, but if they can't, then what?

Other:

I'm not really even sure what I'm dong anymore, I feel like i'm playing a shitty D1

I don't have any strong convictions, I thought I felt confident about psycho lynch but now I'm doubting that for no real reason besides i'm getting faint vibes from another game's situation

[Charu]

Originally Posted by cedolad

Charu's post mentioning the serial killer thing with DBP was weird and pretty out of place

What about "I want players to be aware" is not computing right?

I reread that section, and found that no one really brought up the scenario at all.

Like really, if there was a stink about it in the early pages, I would not even mention it here. But, because there wasn't a big stink about it that involved the possibility of which I'm saying, I wanted to make players aware so it's not forgotten in Day 1 land.

[cedolad]

I never let a SK possibility go, but why go to such lengths just to remind us is beyond me. We've already briefly touched the subject debating about the possibility of one. I don't think it's in our best interest at the moment to go about SK hunting. It's still D0 meaning no night kills have occurred. We'll have a better answer about it Day 1, where we can rightfully accuse DBP for his "false-claim" or whatever the hell that was.

[thesunfan]

Originally Posted by DaBackpack

I'm not really even sure what I'm dong anymore, I feel like i'm playing a shitty D1

You're not allowed to play this card anymore; man up

[Charu]

Originally Posted by DaBackpack

Charu:

What's your solution? I would hope people can at least consider other options for SK, especially when one of them is a joke post and the other one wouldn't be as suspicious without the joke post, but if they can't, then what?

I think you two should stick around until mid-game at the latest, as I stated.

[DaBackpack]

Originally Posted by cedolad

where we can rightfully accuse DBP for his "false-claim" or whatever the hell that was.

jesus fuck it's a fucking joke people do i have to explain it

[cedolad]

Originally Posted by DaBackpack

jesus fuck it's a fucking joke people do i have to explain it

Well best pray there isn't actually an SK then, we dun fck round

[thesunfan]

less SK talk; more lynch talk
someone needs to give me a good reason why I'm the only one who appears to think Xiz is wolfy

[cedolad]

Oh good most of you are in thread, just before EOD. I like that. So, am I to start my favorite bandwagon?

Or are we to still to due for another round of pishposh arguments

[DaBackpack]

Originally Posted by thesunfan

You're not allowed to play this card anymore; man up

i know i shouldn't bring personal feelings into this game but it's hard

here's some shit

a few have noticed xiz just leaving his stupid gut reads list, i've asked him about it a lot of times and he never replied, i haven't forgotten that, and i'll be fucked if his 'intuition' is going to give him a free pass for not saying anything substantial; thing is, idk if he's had a real chance these days to elaborate on what he's said. I know for sure he was online and posting when I asked him about me

i think it's pretty likely that V is manipulating us, i don't know if this works for or against us, that obviously relies on his alignment, but for the moment that would probably be role neutral, we'll have to revisit this later. like I said I would guess the V seriously thinks that he's not on the same team as psycho, as for what that means who knows

i'm way lost on the gradiant/sunfan lovers' quarrel, i don't care to read through that right now honestly

fuck blindreaper

that's all i can think of right now

[Silvuh]

Wow, this thread moves way too fast for me.

Originally Posted by Vendetta21

Oh and I think with an IC the chance of serial killer is like 65-70% because a normal distribution of roles will have a higher chance of having serial killer. The statistics would be really really hard to suss out but it seems evident when you look at the roles and think about it

Ignoring night actions (which haven't happened yet), no matter how many letters are determined (unless it's all of them), there's always a 50% chance of there being an SK because of the way the game is set up. The expected number of Ts is half the number of unknowns, so with seven unknowns, there's an equal chance of three or four Ts. With one letter known, three Ts becomes the most likely scenario. In that way, the chance of there being a SK seems to go up (though the probability of an odd number of Ts is still 50%), and it will seem to go back down when two more letters are determined to not be Ts (and two Ts becomes most likely).

Originally Posted by Vendetta21

and so when DBP said A Thing (mentioned serial killers in his first post in what i think is his first C9++)

But when Plop, in his second post, reacted to your vote with clip art of a guy looking guilty (15), that wasn't worth a comment? I can't think of anything a townie would have to gain from posting something like that.

Xiz, in 284, I was asking about Plop's vote on psychoangel (239), not blind, so your 323 didn't answer my question. (Sorry if that was unclear.) You reacted to psychoangel voting Plop in return (350) but never commented on Plop's vote directly, which doesn't count saying that you're still going with your early read on him (360). So I would like to see a little more about Plop from you when you're back.

That also kind of makes Plop's comment at 366 interesting, as if saying "Hey, I'm being more pro-town now, so ignore what you thought of me before." Another interesting choice of words I found from Plop was saying psychoangel was his "safest bet" (285) rather than his best bet for getting more information. Possible motive slip.

I actually was suspicious of psychoangel at first because her only two posts on the 27th (25 and 28) were just empty responses to others' jokes and that she avoided any reference to the UN game when talking about how she's "never" active on Day 1 and that it "always" sucks (193, 218). Because game was half a year ago and under a totally different game setup, what's interesting really is that she seemed to have forgotten about it at first rather than just how her play is different between the two games.

P.S. So yeah I'm totally bandwagoning on Greg's pressure on Xiz because it's not like this post took me seven hours to write or anything.

[cedolad]

Originally Posted by thesunfan

less SK talk; more lynch talk
someone needs to give me a good reason why I'm the only one who appears to think Xiz is wolfy

Because you're the only one who would pick up on something so frivolous.

[cedolad]

Alright, enough games. I'm ready to flip someone, we have three and a half hours, we still have enough time to bicker. I'm starting a wagon.

Lead suspicion for managing a redirection of pressure from one individual to another:
Vendetta21

[psychoangel691]

Originally Posted by Silvuh

I actually was suspicious of psychoangel at first because her only two posts on the 27th (25 and 28) were just empty responses to others' jokes and that she avoided any reference to the UN game when talking about how she's "never" active on Day 1 and that it "always" sucks (193, 218). Because game was half a year ago and under a totally different game setup, what's interesting really is that she seemed to have forgotten about it at first rather than just how her play is different between the two games.

See this is a great example of why I'm damned if I do and damned if I don't. Last game I didn't participate in the joking around stuff and got heat because I had said I was waiting for that to die down. This time I joke around some and it gave you reason to be suspicious of me.
The UN game was a completely different animal not only because of it being anon but because as I was posting I could talk to other wolves for ideas. Every other day 1 has sucked for me and I've never been real strong with opinions in my 1st day. I'm not confident in my day 1 and it always lands me in the same position over and over.

[thesunfan]

yo my case is not frivilous; Xiz isn't finding wolves, he's not changing his reads at all or considering other options, he's not playing town. He's thrown out so many accusations and commented one way or another on a lot of interactions, and done nothing with them.

[psychoangel691]

Originally Posted by cedolad

Alright, enough games. I'm ready to flip someone, we have three and a half hours, we still have enough time to bicker. I'm starting a wagon.

Lead suspicion for managing a redirection of pressure from one individual to another:
Vendetta21

I have to say I'm glad someone else felt V was a bit weird. Seemed like most people just passed it off as his normal play.

[cedolad]

Originally Posted by thesunfan

yo my case is not frivilous; Xiz isn't finding wolves, he's not changing his reads at all or considering other options, he's not playing town. He's thrown out so many accusations and commented one way or another on a lot of interactions, and done nothing with them.

it's an o, not an i, but in due time child, in due time.