TWG 204 - Forest Feast GAME THREAD

[DaBackpack]

Originally Posted by DaBackpack

@raeko who are you voting for

this is my proof. please tell me im smart

[DaBackpack]

Originally Posted by roundbox

bold

brash

[DaBackpack]

I could be convinced about FFA, I don't think it's WV atm. I don't think Raeko's vote activity makes sense if it was WV--- I feel like she would have committed to Wolfe earlier if her partner was safe and/or AFK. Holding like that makes more sense if you're afraid of a CFD, or otherwise deciding on what will make you look best if your partner might end up being a wagon

[DaBackpack]

Originally Posted by mellon_collie

It's very possible he is just rusty from not playing TWG for a while

this is a very weird and specific defense. I don't think she defended anybody else in the game like this. let me check though

[DaBackpack]

Originally Posted by mellon_collie

I guess Shado just to resolve the "plan"

Wanna give HnH some more time to play

Again, I was the only one on HnH at the time, and yet she explicitly mentions voting to "giving HnH more time to play"

"I don't think he's a wolf" and then
"I'm voting Wolfe because I want to give HnH more time to play"

what does HnH have to do with this at all? shouldn't it be just "I'm voting Wolfe to resolve the 'plan'"?

[DaBackpack]

Originally Posted by mellon_collie

I just don't think it's worth it to use up a lynch that could be used on a wolf. I don't see a termite asking to be killed like this and yeah I just don't really see a point in doing that

If we go for a termite and miss we'll presumably get a stump anyway so it's not like we intentionally need to get stumps

and yet--- she placed it on Wolfe anyway. You can argue that she wanted to take the "easy vote", but I think Raeko knows better than to fall for that bait without a reason. If Wolfe was the top wagon and her partner was safe, i feel like she would have placed her vote somewhere inconsequential, in order to avoid being on the main town wagon.

this leads me again to the thought that she had a reason for not doing that. and that is because she needed to guarantee a town lynch. meaning that her partner was actually potentially in danger that night.

I know I just said that I was the only one on HnH, but at that specific time, there WAS discussion about lynching him. There was a chance he could have died, which meant that she couldn't vote for "some not-Wolfe town" because she needed to guarantee a majority on "not-HnH." In doing so, she voted a person she previously was not willing to vote for, explaining this contradiction.

[DaBackpack]

Originally Posted by mellon_collie

Welp... not super sure who I want to vote for.

I didn't think I wanted Wolfe but Charu makes a good point about his "plan" being a big point of mystery/suspicion if it isn't resolved, so I guess I don't hate it for that reason

If I had any ideas about who was a termite that might change my view, but alas

Admittedly, she did foreshadow a Wolfe vote at T-60min, so it didn't totally come out of nowhere. Still, she didn't place a vote until I specifically asked her who she was gonna vote, and she took that chance to explicitly defend HnH

[DaBackpack]

Originally Posted by mellon_collie

Shado starting to feel like too easy of an option...

maybe there's just not enough momentum for this vote (I know I didn't help much lol but still)

and then back to this again

this is before I arrived right before the vote, so you'd think that this would be a chance for free town points for her (to not vote Wolfe)

[DaBackpack]

*before I arrived and then placed heat on HnH

[Charu]

I kind of feel on this position I lost drive to solve, oops

[Charu]

Backpack putting on those red goggles though!

If yall want to vote hate, then cool. I'm confident he's green, but just to clear the air!

[ShadoWolfe]

Backpack is a sexy beast this game
I love it. You're so smart, DBP. I'm swooning over here

WV coming in and saying he's here and that there's "only 7 pages" and then not commenting further is noteworthy, especially considering how excited he supposedly got about raeko's lynch. You'd think he'd be pumped to make a comment or two while reading up, especially given that there's a relatively small lynch pool and he's in it.

WV, what's happening in your head about game? To me, it seems like you're giving up and losing WIM after seeing how stacked the odds are against you since raeko died.

FFA, I'm thinking the same about you. Where you at?

[ShadoWolfe]

BTW backpack you're a sexy beast since you're actually posting like a human and remembering to actually play the game. Big props to the death of the old meta style wackpack

[ShadoWolfe]

If TPS can keep his analysis up as things progress, I think I can get comfortable taking him out of the pool.

Right now I'd go WV, H&H, FFA in that order. DBP's series of posts about raeko's H&H posts ring true, but H&H seems more like a genuine town taken in isolation


So to give a list of my faith in people's towniness:

10/10 DBP
10/10 Charu
8.5/10 Roundbox
5.8/10 TPS
3.5/10 FFA
3/10 H&H
2/10 WV

[ShadoWolfe]

Mikey are you slowrolling your loss here?

[Tps222]

Still waiting on an response from FFA in general before considering altering my vote.

[roundbox]

not trying to phone it in this game after getting a successful vote, but man I'm so damn tired today
I want to try more tomorrow to get some posts going. glad to see more tps and wv, but here we go again on FFA

[roundbox]

I see no danger in voting H&H here. Flipping him as town will even be informative for us, so, I think it's not a terrible idea to vote him

[roundbox]

Originally Posted by DaBackpack

and yet--- she placed it on Wolfe anyway.

I felt like from a town POV, raeko would have been more likely to agree with me on avoiding the shado wagon since I called it out for being suboptimal
her vote is a product of her alignment, and I tossed a vote her way when I saw this bonkers move
I'm not saying I'd expect raeko to follow my vote if she was town, just not vote for shado specifically

I think this is fair reasoning to think about her defense of H&H, but it is true that he hasn't played in a decent while and would be rusty

[Charu]

I mean, the lone wolf has a huge hole to dig out of to be honest. Assuming my spray wasn't a success, they have two whole phases to possibly reach a possible win.

And that is with the stump mechanic which gives all town to keep speaking while being 100% mechanically confirm.

It's pretty much over, the Raeko CFD with wagonomics makes this unwinnable as a wolf.