09-26-2009, 08:12 AM | #41 |
FFR Player
Join Date: Feb 2008
Age: 33
Posts: 645
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Re: Revive gambling hall!!
-1
Play FFR to make credits; end of story. |
09-26-2009, 11:09 AM | #42 | |
FFR Veteran
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Re: Revive gambling hall!!
Quote:
I liked it although I ended with a pretty substantial net loss. I agree skill-based games would be better though. |
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09-26-2009, 12:07 PM | #43 | |
Pocky sucker
Join Date: May 2007
Location: PNW
Age: 31
Posts: 188
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Re: Revive gambling hall!!
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Proabability isn't 50/50 if you have 5 bets running in a row (METHINKS). I dunno, I'd finally worked out a way I would bet the week leading up to the closure of the gambling hall. It might have been something like 1k, 1k, 5k, 1k, 1k I don't remember. ?__? I just was always winning more in the long run when I did it that way. I COULD BE WRONG.
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3rd samurai7694's ultimate enduring fabulous tournament (D5)
1st Dragons_Fury one division higher tourney (D5) wargasm's dual song team tourney(Guru) completed haha |
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09-26-2009, 02:37 PM | #44 | |
Very Grave Indeed
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Re: Revive gambling hall!!
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The system is perfect, on paper, but people using it a) don't have enough money to cover a very long losing streak and b) come up against house limits on wagers even if they did have enough money. |
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09-26-2009, 03:06 PM | #45 |
Rhythm game specialist.
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Re: Revive gambling hall!!
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09-26-2009, 03:15 PM | #46 |
FFR Veteran
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 135
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Re: Revive gambling hall!!
I'd love to play poker with my credits.
AKA chips Last edited by Rodrig0v; 09-26-2009 at 03:27 PM.. |
09-26-2009, 03:29 PM | #47 |
FFR Player
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 74
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Re: Revive gambling hall!!
I would love to try the gambling hall
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Wants to buy a FFR OMW Shirt from someone. |
09-26-2009, 03:44 PM | #48 |
The Chill Keeper
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Re: Revive gambling hall!!
Blackjack PvP with bets on rounds, games, and tournaments. I am ALL for that. =D
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09-26-2009, 04:44 PM | #49 | |
FFR Player
Join Date: Dec 1969
Location: New York City, New York
Posts: 8,340
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Re: Revive gambling hall!!
Quote:
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09-26-2009, 04:52 PM | #50 |
FFR Player
Join Date: Aug 2007
Age: 31
Posts: 8,548
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Re: Revive gambling hall!!
FFR blackjack hold 'em and such would be really neat actually.
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09-26-2009, 05:03 PM | #51 |
Retired Staff
All the things
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Re: Revive gambling hall!!
yea I agree with middie
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09-26-2009, 05:32 PM | #52 |
FFR Player
Join Date: Dec 1969
Location: New York City, New York
Posts: 8,340
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Re: Revive gambling hall!!
(Expected number of bets to get a given streak) vs. (Streak length)
2 1 6 2 14 3 30 4 62 5 126 6 254 7 510 8 1022 9 2046 10 4094 11 8190 12 16382 13 32766 14 65534 15 131070 16 262142 17 524286 18 1048574 19 2097150 20 n = 2^(k+1)-2 can help describe the relationship between the expected number of bets (n) before you get a given streak (k). Don't argue with me on the math or I'll rip your face off. So to get a bad streak of, say, 6, you could expect to experience such an event when betting 2^(6+1)-2 = 126 times. Keep in mind this is an EXPECTATION, which means this is only 100% true if we were to repeat an experiment infinitely many times -- this would be the average we'd derive. Expectation is like saying the "average" payoff of a die is 3.5 (1+2+3+4+5+6)/6, even though in the short term you will potentially get much higher/lower averages. If we had infinitely many rolls though, the payoff would be exactly 3.5. Anyway. I can't remember the gambling bins 6 back from the top, but I think it was 500, 1000, 5000, 10,000, 50,000, 100,000. As you can see, on expectation, even if you start a martingale from 500, it won't take long before you wind up losing every single one of those for a bad-streak loss of 166,500. And it's going to take a while to put a dent in that with a martingale because you're only going to win the 50k/100k if you end up losing the other 4/5 again to begin with, and even then it's only a modest net gain (if you win the 100,000, it's really like winning 33,500 under a 6-bet martingale). None of this is even taking into account the house's cut, which works even harder against your favor. So a martingale is not necessarily a bad strategy for the short term, but as Devonin said, you need infinite capital to pull it off all the time for the long haul because you'd always have enough to cover your bad bets, and even then, you wouldn't be betting in the first place. The reason why martingales work in the short term is because you're betting against the notion that you can earn back what you lose before you end up hitting those particularly nasty streaks that, on expectation, require many trials to end up hitting on a long-term basis. So how do you get lucky? Well, if I throw down 2 million in 100k bets (20 total bets) and the probability gods shine in my favor and decide to bestow upon me a modest 60% winrate. Now, recall that when you place bets down, you technically already lose everything you put down. Losing earns you nothing back, and winning earns you back double what you put down. Under a 60% winrate, then that means I win 1.2*2 = 2.4 million, which puts me 400,000 ahead of where I started. Of course, if I kept betting 100k's, in the long run I would expect to lose as much as I would win for no net gain, but since the house takes 2% on each transaction, then at worst I lose 100k per bet and at best I win 98k, leaving a 2k gap from that win alone (which is a fairly significant chunk of those early martingales which start from 500/1000/5000!). In other words, the best way to earn a lot of money with the gambling system is to bet high and hope the winrate is slightly in your favor in the short term. If you get greedy and keep going, you'll lose what you earned.
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09-26-2009, 06:48 PM | #53 | ||
im your grandpa!!!
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Re: Revive gambling hall!!
if memory serves me right, i was number 1 with most credits earned. funmonkey, tofu, goelo, and plan can support this. i maxed out two account with credits, it was awesome
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Quote:
Quote:
http://www.flashflashrevolution.com/...47#post4489647 |
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09-26-2009, 06:59 PM | #54 |
FFR Player
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Re: Revive gambling hall!!
Well that was your fault wasn't it?
You obviously had a gambling problem! +1 btw, i would go there occasionally to try and get credits
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The rule of society, kill or be eaten. ... Wait. |
09-26-2009, 07:08 PM | #55 |
Rhythm game specialist.
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Re: Revive gambling hall!!
Hold'em? On FFR?
...oh no. |
09-26-2009, 09:54 PM | #56 |
Pocky sucker
Join Date: May 2007
Location: PNW
Age: 31
Posts: 188
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Re: Revive gambling hall!!
Heyyyy heyyheyyheyy it looks like a derivative of some sort
maybe
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3rd samurai7694's ultimate enduring fabulous tournament (D5)
1st Dragons_Fury one division higher tourney (D5) wargasm's dual song team tourney(Guru) completed haha |
09-26-2009, 10:06 PM | #57 |
Anime Avatars ( ◜◡^)っ✂╰⋃╯
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Squat Rack
Age: 34
Posts: 10,837
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Re: Revive gambling hall!!
if hold 'em ever gets on ffr (not happening lol) i'd probably play more poker with you guys than the game itself
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09-26-2009, 11:29 PM | #58 | |
The Chill Keeper
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Re: Revive gambling hall!!
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He speaks the truth. |
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09-26-2009, 11:45 PM | #59 | |
FFR Player
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Re: Revive gambling hall!!
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I'm kind of neutral on it. I don't think its a good habit to pick up, but I do think it has the possibility to serve as an outlet for those who do have a gambling problem. That is, only if it doesn't only worsen said gambling problem. I only lost once and won three times, the one loss was like 10 creds too. Ended up winning like 10k I think. However, I don't think that the benefit outweighs the fact that we're facilitating gambling for kids. =/ Last edited by AC1speakerbox; 09-26-2009 at 11:53 PM.. |
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09-27-2009, 12:02 AM | #60 |
FFR Player
Join Date: Sep 2009
Posts: 31
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Re: Revive gambling hall!!
Warning: Division by zero in /home/virtual/site1/fst/var/www/html/gambling/history.php on line 196
The database tried to divide by zero before I realised I wasn't on prefx, I had a 1 mil loss on prefx :/ |
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