12-18-2014, 04:10 PM | #201 |
The FFRchiver
Join Date: Jun 2009
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Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar
The singular chance of winning is always 50%, but the chance of winning (or losing) a certain amount of times will always be smaller than the singular chance. The chance of winning a set number of times in this case will always be 1/2^n, where n is the number of win or loss times.
Though this is hardly just talk however, take a look at my credit winnings from the gambling hall (keep in mind that these are hundreds upon hundreds of bets, not just a few, and that a lot of it came from the past couple days after changing my baseline to 1k instead of 50 credits):
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12-18-2014, 04:11 PM | #202 |
T-Force's Rival
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Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar
this thread made me start using the gambling hall
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12-18-2014, 04:14 PM | #203 |
End of the road
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Canada
Age: 31
Posts: 3,692
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Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar
gambling is fun and i encourage it
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12-18-2014, 04:16 PM | #204 | |
Constantly Improving!
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Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar
Quote:
Last edited by MarcusHawkins; 12-18-2014 at 04:16 PM.. |
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12-18-2014, 04:16 PM | #205 | |
O Derby, Where Art Thou?
Join Date: Jul 2003
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Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar
Quote:
I routinely had 6-7 bet losing streaks. That and combined with the fact that I was 0/13 on bets 100k and higher helps contribute to that net loss. Your system is a good way to realize short-term gains, but over the long-term it will even out to zero. Last edited by tosh; 12-18-2014 at 04:20 PM.. |
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12-18-2014, 04:19 PM | #206 |
Digital Dancing!
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Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar
FFR eats 2% of whatever goes through the gambling hall, so someone loses a credit for each .98 credit that you win.
That's how we pay server costs.
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Last edited by rushyrulz; 12-18-2014 at 04:19 PM.. |
12-18-2014, 04:20 PM | #207 | |
FFR Veteran
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Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar
Quote:
Last edited by benny58624; 12-18-2014 at 04:34 PM.. |
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12-18-2014, 04:22 PM | #208 |
The FFRchiver
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: USA
Age: 30
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Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar
Best win streak: 9
Worst lose streak: 9 Also yeah if you take a larger risk you can crash and burn real hard. It's not a perfect method, it's just one that generally works quite well. EDIT: Over the past few minutes I've taken several more bets... Credits Won: 618498 Credits Lost: 306450 Noticing a trend?
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Last edited by foxfire667; 12-18-2014 at 04:25 PM.. |
12-18-2014, 04:26 PM | #209 |
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Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar
If you have the credits, and use the win streaks to your advantage though, I think that profits are almost a guarantee!! (9 is a good number to look at imo)
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12-18-2014, 04:34 PM | #210 |
The FFRchiver
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Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar
How exactly would I use a winning streak to my advantage though? There's no way I could know exactly how many times I am going to win. All I know is that as I win more, the chance of winning a set of n+1 is 1/2^n+1, which doesn't seem appealing to me.
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12-18-2014, 04:40 PM | #211 | |
"Reach For The Stars"
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Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar
Hah, you guys using the gambling hall like it's gonna GET you credits. :P
I learned the necessary hard way to stay away from that shit when I lost 800,000 of my hard earned credits. rip.
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Quote:
Last edited by Riotpolice; 12-18-2014 at 04:40 PM.. |
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12-18-2014, 04:41 PM | #212 |
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Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar
Here's the trend I see. The Win-Lose situation will go by win, lose, win, lose, when someone wagers/accepts.
Basically, you click wager, then someone accepts. Obviously that's win, then lose. So, the next person who wagers wins, and the next person accepts loses. Then, if you wager before someone else, you win, and if you wager after someone else, you lose. (It's the opposite if someone accepts the other person's wager, then yours) So basically it's... Click wager/accept - Win Click wager/accept - Lose Click wager/accept - Win Click wager/accept - Lose Click wager/accept - Win Click wager/accept - Lose . . . Of course, this goes by everyone's point of view combined, no just one person'ts point of view. (I hope this makes sense) This, of course, can go vise versa too depending on the situation. Last edited by MarcusHawkins; 12-18-2014 at 04:43 PM.. |
12-18-2014, 04:43 PM | #213 |
Retired Staff
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Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar
Whoever took the 500k lost it cause that was my bet unless there was another one in there at some point
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12-18-2014, 04:46 PM | #214 |
Retired Staff
All the things
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Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar
Put more up, have fun
someone got my 25k I see and my 50k
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Last edited by psychoangel691; 12-18-2014 at 04:50 PM.. |
12-18-2014, 04:51 PM | #215 |
Digital Dancing!
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Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar
oh
Bet Amount When Result 50,000 36 seconds ago Lost 100,000 32 seconds ago Lost 500,000 24 seconds ago Lost 250,000 28 seconds ago Lost
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12-18-2014, 04:52 PM | #216 |
End of the road
Join Date: Oct 2006
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Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar
rushy skyrocketing up the top 10 lost leaderboard
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12-18-2014, 04:52 PM | #217 |
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Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar
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12-18-2014, 04:55 PM | #218 |
Retired Staff
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Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar
Ouch
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12-18-2014, 04:57 PM | #219 |
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Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar
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12-18-2014, 04:57 PM | #220 |
The FFRchiver
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Re: The FFR AAAdvent Calendar
Wow that sucks, though that 50k start risk factor...
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