TWG CLXXIX: The Third FE Mystery Game Game Thread

[Hakulyte]

Oh wait- maybe it's because she said "polite police".

That could be a soft in a way.

[Hakulyte]

All the FFA votes are scum reads on my side.

I feel dumb for removing Manti from my list early on.

I guess I'll have to swap mellon with mtamburini and keep Tokzic because where Tokzic anyway.

[Daikyi]

i'm in a thought zone rn where i'm unsure how analyzing night kill will get us anywhere, other than examining raeko's reads. there's actually too many variables/possibilities to consider and i think it's time wasted talking about that (i guess, if you want to speculate, not going to stop you, but it's pretty useless imo)

lynch is super super interesting, and thinking about it, who_cares the shift off of wc is the big eyebrows here

let's assume wagon on manti is dominated by wolves swapping off of the main wagon, who is wc. both jessie and xiz swap off wc onto manti, which imo looks like a potential "save wc" play. this scenario will only make sense though, if wc is a wolf here. if wc is town, then the flow of logic kinda falls apart and jessie+xiz don't really get points in either direction i think

a.k.a. wc what do you think

[Hakulyte]

I have a theory that Funnygurl is a wolf and got saved by the Prec/Charu/Xiz/Daikyi/jessie voting part.

I tend to remove Prec from the equation because that vote was really early and nothing that would count as timing.

Charu and Xiz felt like they were debating about if they would vote there or not and then poof at exactly 1:00 3 Manti votes.

That's really hard to ignore imo.

[Hakulyte]

Well, to keep things simple, I would just continue with the Funnygurl555 vote for now.

The rest doesn't matter if that's not true.

WC got close of getting lynched too.

[Daikyi]

haku with same train of logic, but a little flawed tbh

because why not pile onto who cares in that case, since he was already riding really high on the lynch pile

[Hakulyte]

Originally Posted by Daikyi

haku with same train of logic, but a little flawed tbh

because why not pile onto who cares in that case, since he was already riding really high on the lynch pile

Gotta evaluate both tbf.

Just showing a stance to see what happens.

[Funnygurl555]

Originally Posted by Hakulyte

I have a theory that Funnygurl is a wolf and got saved by the Prec/Charu/Xiz/Daikyi/jessie voting part.

I tend to remove Prec from the equation because that vote was really early and nothing that would count as timing.

Charu and Xiz felt like they were debating about if they would vote there or not and then poof at exactly 1:00 3 Manti votes.

That's really hard to ignore imo.

haters gonna hate

[_Zenith_]

Originally Posted by Hakulyte

I have a theory that Funnygurl is a wolf and got saved by the Prec/Charu/Xiz/Daikyi/jessie voting part.

I tend to remove Prec from the equation because that vote was really early and nothing that would count as timing.

Charu and Xiz felt like they were debating about if they would vote there or not and then poof at exactly 1:00 3 Manti votes.

That's really hard to ignore imo.

Only part I can talk against here is the Funnygurl theory with her being saved by the swap.

There was suspicion of FG there yes, but WC/Tokzic had the votes for the majority before considering FFA for the lynch, and thus settled on Manti for the finale. I don't discredit your thinking she is a wolf, but I don't think the reason mentioned here is the right one for your point.

[Daikyi]

like, the only way fg is saved is if wc was also not a lynch the wolves wanted to push

a.k.a., the one case where your logic checks out is if my logic checks out and wc is the connecting scum

[who_cares973]

Originally Posted by Daikyi

i'm in a thought zone rn where i'm unsure how analyzing night kill will get us anywhere, other than examining raeko's reads. there's actually too many variables/possibilities to consider and i think it's time wasted talking about that (i guess, if you want to speculate, not going to stop you, but it's pretty useless imo)

lynch is super super interesting, and thinking about it, who_cares the shift off of wc is the big eyebrows here

let's assume wagon on manti is dominated by wolves swapping off of the main wagon, who is wc. both jessie and xiz swap off wc onto manti, which imo looks like a potential "save wc" play. this scenario will only make sense though, if wc is a wolf here. if wc is town, then the flow of logic kinda falls apart and jessie+xiz don't really get points in either direction i think

a.k.a. wc what do you think

I answered this question earlier when I said why manti. I don't understand the switch to manti, it doesn't make sense to go to him over someone else or to just leave it on me. I was a super easy lynch and deserved to do. No one would really blink twice about who was on my wagon.

I think Jessie was just following what dbp was doing which is terrible but makes sense. Xiz on the other hand might have read into my last post and switched thinking that was a hint that I was the last wolf and needed to be saved.

With that being said hey [twgv]xiz[/twg] where's the chaos you promised

[Funnygurl555]

jessiebessie ima leave another tough love vote for ya 'cause i want you to say more

that last minute vote was bonkers (tho it was also helpful thanks girl)

[_Zenith_]

I'm actually curious on the people who followed a tokzic vote when I explained it, or perhaps it was the low-hanging fruit like Spruce mentioned, but I don't think we got any formal explanation from Prec/Shado (think it was Prec who was the other one for a bit).

I agree with Daikyi's point on discussion of night kills.

[who_cares973]

Hey fg let's thunderdome

[who_cares973]

COME AT ME WITH YA FACE

[Daikyi]

Originally Posted by _Zenith_

I'm actually curious on the people who followed a tokzic vote when I explained it, or perhaps it was the low-hanging fruit like Spruce mentioned, but I don't think we got any formal explanation from Prec/Shado (think it was Prec who was the other one for a bit).

I agree with Daikyi's point on discussion of night kills.

imo the biggest thing that turned me off from tokzic was the classic "literally everyone is scumreading them d0 and that's almost never a good sign"

[who_cares973]

I remember someone telling me during one of my first games that reading into nightkills is dumb and will just bog you down if you don't have anything of substance to back up your assumptions.

[who_cares973]

I need to build a shoe shelf but I'll be refreshing the page and reading what's happening right now. I'll try reading through the thread tomorrow but lmao that's probably not going to happen. I'll skim it tho

[TWGma]

Originally Posted by Charu

Blame the night actions, not the game.

It probably was other mechanics that happened that we're not aware of, so chill out.

Though you are right about one thing. Having only one night kill is pretty particular (and it's mellon of all players).

I do feel that it's pretty likely that a kill potentially got blocked. Mellon just seems too weird of a nightkill unless wolves tried to play dodgeball and went for someone they believed would not be saved at all.

[TWGma]

Originally Posted by TWGma

I do feel that it's pretty likely that a kill potentially got blocked. Mellon just seems too weird of a nightkill unless wolves tried to play dodgeball and went for someone they believed would not be saved at all.

E: At least one kill.