03-30-2006, 01:06 PM | #81 | |
FFR Player
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Re: TWG XXIX Crack Dens and Avenging Angels
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y/[x-3] => 3/(15-2) = 23.07% of killing a wolf right? That is considering the angel is gaurding TPS and the wolves go for him. I know that 25% is pretty good still, but to me, it seems not so good for humans. And going on with what iggy said, since the angel will be gaurding TPS every night(i imagine) why would they(the wolves) even attempt attacking TPS when there is that 25% chance of them getting a fellow wolf killed by a lucky angel?
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03-30-2006, 01:07 PM | #82 |
Resident Penguin
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Re: TWG XXIX Crack Dens and Avenging Angels
Kind of a weird game for me... a lot of people seem pretty human to me. My top suspects as of now are guido, hans, fish, afro, and mini. Wildcards are wilkin, tasuke, tass, and jurs, but I lean human on most of this group. Everyone else seems pretty human to me.
I'm going to rethink some stuff and reread. Probably going to make a more detailed suspicions/vote post after my 3:10-4:15 class (CST). |
03-30-2006, 01:27 PM | #83 | |
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Re: TWG XXIX Crack Dens and Avenging Angels
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@talisman: How in the GODDAMN have I garnered suspicion? I haven't done a single thing, let alone anything suspicious. I know I haven't done anything to prove my humanity, and if it's for that reason that I'm on your list, forgive me, but I figured your list of suspects would have somehow raised suspicion in you. --Guido http://andy.mikee385.com |
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03-30-2006, 01:35 PM | #84 |
Resident Penguin
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Re: TWG XXIX Crack Dens and Avenging Angels
guido it's day one and I'd say the majority of the people on that list are all because of gut. Hell... no one has really done anything "suspicious" in the traditional sense yet. And if it makes you feel better... my gut has yet to be right. I think it was that first post that maybe set me off? Oh I think it was me thinking about you in comparison the game where you got lynched day one. You seem a lot different from then. dunno. Your confusion about the angel's role I'm not sure how to read, but I think it probably makes you look more human, on the surface, anyway.
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03-30-2006, 01:44 PM | #85 |
FFR Player
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Re: TWG XXIX Crack Dens and Avenging Angels
Tass tells me Talisman doesn't like the idea of us talking about interrogation questions with each other... the reason being that perhaps the wolves will be able to coutner knowing what the questions are... this seems highly questionable to me, as I believe the best way for us to use the interrogator is to come together to work out the best possible lock for 3 questions.... I never like the person that is for the stifling of information
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03-30-2006, 01:56 PM | #86 |
FFR Player
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Re: TWG XXIX Crack Dens and Avenging Angels
For future reference, I'm leaving for a class now, and will hopefully be back before 5. If I'm not, I'll definitely be back sometime within that hour to make a vote. Just wanted to clarify before I get any IMs asking about it.
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03-30-2006, 02:01 PM | #87 | |||
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Re: TWG XXIX Crack Dens and Avenging Angels
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--Guido http://andy.mikee385.com |
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03-30-2006, 02:02 PM | #88 |
Resident Penguin
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Re: TWG XXIX Crack Dens and Avenging Angels
blah some questions I don't think should be talked about ahead of time... others like "Are you a wolf?" are ones that a wolf knowing about ahead of time doesn't really help them. I finally came up with a decent set of three that I think could work, and I tried to pass it along to tps last night but apparently he wasn't actually on.
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03-30-2006, 02:16 PM | #89 |
Retired BOSS
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Re: TWG XXIX Crack Dens and Avenging Angels
If the questions are good enough, we should be able to have them public and the wolves still won't know ****.
also, all this nonsense with the interrogator only comes into play for TWO people. Humans will always tell the truth... and MW will do whatever he wants. I still say the nForcer kill was made by an upper tier player, but not a top one. I would say not blah, beause he would go for someone stronger. I also don't think it would be a jTWGer, as I think they also would go for someone strong. every jTWG, its the top player that gets X'd night one. The middle of the road kill makes me look back at talisman, fish, guido, wilkin, hans. Killing off an active lower tier player from the game before. Fits in wth that M.O. As such, I'm about to leave to go back to Philly and almost certainly will not be back by 6. therefore, I'm going to vote PURELY off my assumption that the MW likely came from one of the group mentioned above, or the wolf the MW listened to was from that group. Random.org generated a 4, from 1-5. 4th on that list is Wilkin. And while this is a "random" vote... it is at least originally founded in logic to reduce the suspect pool to 5 from 15. From there, yes... it was random. Sue me.
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03-30-2006, 02:17 PM | #90 |
Resident Penguin
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Re: TWG XXIX Crack Dens and Avenging Angels
ps here's a set that knowing ahead of time doesn't change anything (it's based on a loophole in the rules), yet is only useful as a psychic tool, and gets no other information (human answers in parentheses):
1. Are you going to lie? [this is loophole... rules only cover lies in the past] (no) 2. Are you a wolf? (no) 3. Are you a special role? (no) Any deviation from the human responses basically guarantees that they're a wolf. |
03-30-2006, 02:24 PM | #91 |
Resident Penguin
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Re: TWG XXIX Crack Dens and Avenging Angels
pps you'd have to make sure that the lynchee knew that "special" meant either red or blue.
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03-30-2006, 02:44 PM | #92 |
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Re: TWG XXIX Crack Dens and Avenging Angels
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03-30-2006, 03:00 PM | #93 |
FFR Player
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Re: TWG XXIX Crack Dens and Avenging Angels
That would most likely not be allowed.
I'm not sure how much I'm going to be around when lynching time creeps up, so I will vote now. Afro. I really don't have much today at all, since nothing really jumps out at me as ' omg wolf'. However, Afro's one post just seems off. Really, that's it. I know it's pretty bad, but I'm not going to sit here and bull**** a reason when I have none. If you want me to pick the post apart, I guess I could, but like I said, it wouldn't be much.
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03-30-2006, 03:00 PM | #94 | |
lil j the bad b-word
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Re: TWG XXIX Crack Dens and Avenging Angels
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Fish
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03-30-2006, 03:05 PM | #95 |
GotR Creator
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Re: TWG XXIX Crack Dens and Avenging Angels
I've been coming up with most of my ideas with talis on AIM, although I'll agree I've not been as helpful in my posts this first day. Since there are only 2 hours left, I'm going to go ahead and finalize my vote on minineo for my reasons expressed previously.
Hey Jurs, I already explained why that particular post is almost totally bs. I think you should seriously consider a replacement. |
03-30-2006, 03:16 PM | #96 | |
Super Scooter Happy
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Re: TWG XXIX Crack Dens and Avenging Angels
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I watched clouds awobbly from the floor o' that kayak. Souls cross ages like clouds cross skies, an' tho' a cloud's shape nor hue nor size don't stay the same, it's still a cloud an' so is a soul. Who can say where the cloud's blowed from or who the soul'll be 'morrow? Only Sonmi the east an' the west an' the compass an' the atlas, yay, only the atlas o' clouds. |
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03-30-2006, 03:32 PM | #97 | |
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Re: TWG XXIX Crack Dens and Avenging Angels
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Oh, yeah, voting. Eh, MiniNeo sounds like my best bet. --Guido http://andy.mikee385.com |
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03-30-2006, 03:39 PM | #98 |
Admiral in the Red Army
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Re: TWG XXIX Crack Dens and Avenging Angels
Hans, which post was it? I honestly can't even remember the posts I've made so far.
And here is the part of the post where I BS a reason to vote for someone: I think I'll go blah style on this one. Day 1, under normal happenings, a wolf is never on the chopping block. Therefore, I will be picking from people who have no been voted on at all so far and who haven't done much of anything so far. Tass- probably human since I didn't get a vibe from him Talisman- nothing worthy of a vote. nforcer- killed last night. Fish- seems human to me because he's been the only one IMing me. Wolves don't have a real reason to IM people. Afro- Me. Tasuke- isn't attracting any attention to self Kilga- isn't attracting any attention to self Wilkin- posts are less wolfy looking than the previous game he played. Like I said before though, not indicitive since he was human last time haha Iggy- can't remember. Jursey- Her innactivity has surprisingly not gotten her any votes that I've noticed. However, her innactivity is good enough to push her ahead in votes, which means she's probably not red. MiniNeo- I think he has some votes on him. Meaning he's probably human. TPS- blue. Hans- I dunno. Nothing really from him worthy of voting on. Guido- got votes on him, so due to the blah hypothesis, is likely human blah- does he have any votes? I dunno Vash- switched to someone else. Probably human because of whatever Tass said-- I don't remember exactly besides that I agreed with what Tass said. So, I now have a list of 7 (Talisman, Tasuke, Kilga, Wilkin, Iggy, Hans, blah), of which I am positive that at least 1 is a wolf, if not all 3 amongst them. I'm tempted to vote for talisman or hans for singling me out without explicit reason, but I think I'll throw my vote to blah in honor of using his ideas to choose who to vote for.
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03-30-2006, 03:40 PM | #99 |
Admiral in the Red Army
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Re: TWG XXIX Crack Dens and Avenging Angels
Oh btw, I forgot to mention something.
Keeping the best of the question strings to only Tps would be best. Why would you want to give the wolves a chance to strategize?
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03-30-2006, 03:45 PM | #100 |
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Re: TWG XXIX Crack Dens and Avenging Angels
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