TWG XLIV: RQU Dimensional Disruption!

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  • talisman
    Resident Penguin
    FFR Simfile Author
    • May 2003
    • 4598

    #151
    Re: TWG XLIV: RQU Dimensional Disruption!

    phantoms count in both dimensions I presume?

    Comment

    • FishFishRevolution
      GotR Creator
      • Nov 2003
      • 7251

      #152
      Re: TWG XLIV: RQU Dimensional Disruption!

      yes

      Comment

      • thunderstrike687
        FFR Player
        • Aug 2003
        • 785

        #153
        Re: TWG XLIV: RQU Dimensional Disruption!

        @ talisman: Before you want to go lumping me in with xero, I suggest you contribute a little more than your "OMG WHO KILED FOJAR%mil?!x3", analyzing every player based on next to nothing, and proudly saying how you have not been on aim this whole game.

        On other notes, I am leaning towards fiction being a wolf. He seems a little outside his normal playing zone, and he has not been a wolf, but I do not think he should die at this current point in time.

        Safety talisman for now.

        I'll post more later when im not in the middle of something.


        Originally posted by Adamaja456
        yea, this subscription giveaway is more fun than watching two lesbians engage in foreplay
        Originally posted by twiggy_2004
        i love a food

        Comment

        • Kilgamayan
          Super Scooter Happy
          FFR Simfile Author
          • Feb 2003
          • 6583

          #154
          Re: TWG XLIV: RQU Dimensional Disruption!

          Originally posted by FishFishRevolution
          not vote: x3
          what
          I watched clouds awobbly from the floor o' that kayak. Souls cross ages like clouds cross skies, an' tho' a cloud's shape nor hue nor size don't stay the same, it's still a cloud an' so is a soul. Who can say where the cloud's blowed from or who the soul'll be 'morrow? Only Sonmi the east an' the west an' the compass an' the atlas, yay, only the atlas o' clouds.

          Comment

          • thunderstrike687
            FFR Player
            • Aug 2003
            • 785

            #155
            Re: TWG XLIV: RQU Dimensional Disruption!

            PS I was in by 10.


            Originally posted by Adamaja456
            yea, this subscription giveaway is more fun than watching two lesbians engage in foreplay
            Originally posted by twiggy_2004
            i love a food

            Comment

            • Kilgamayan
              Super Scooter Happy
              FFR Simfile Author
              • Feb 2003
              • 6583

              #156
              Re: TWG XLIV: RQU Dimensional Disruption!

              oh that's X3R0H0UR
              I watched clouds awobbly from the floor o' that kayak. Souls cross ages like clouds cross skies, an' tho' a cloud's shape nor hue nor size don't stay the same, it's still a cloud an' so is a soul. Who can say where the cloud's blowed from or who the soul'll be 'morrow? Only Sonmi the east an' the west an' the compass an' the atlas, yay, only the atlas o' clouds.

              Comment

              • talisman
                Resident Penguin
                FFR Simfile Author
                • May 2003
                • 4598

                #157
                Re: TWG XLIV: RQU Dimensional Disruption!

                I think that's xero.

                Comment

                • talisman
                  Resident Penguin
                  FFR Simfile Author
                  • May 2003
                  • 4598

                  #158
                  Re: TWG XLIV: RQU Dimensional Disruption!

                  no need to get touchy thunder. I just couldn't remember your posts when I was typing up my list but sort of thought they fell in the same category as most of the newer players.

                  Comment

                  • talisman
                    Resident Penguin
                    FFR Simfile Author
                    • May 2003
                    • 4598

                    #159
                    Re: TWG XLIV: RQU Dimensional Disruption!

                    (and analyzing night kills and posting suspicions happen to be the foundation of basic twg play)

                    Comment

                    • FishFishRevolution
                      GotR Creator
                      • Nov 2003
                      • 7251

                      #160
                      Re: TWG XLIV: RQU Dimensional Disruption!

                      I would not have extended the time had the people who would receive phantoms been innactive. However, they have all posted frequently and actively, so I'm giving them until midnight. x3 refered to from here on out as xero, noted.

                      Comment

                      • rioting
                        FFR Player
                        • Dec 2006
                        • 113

                        #161
                        Re: TWG XLIV: RQU Dimensional Disruption!

                        I'd like to correct my 74% figure I stated earlier. I counted "neutral-victory" the same as "win". If you count win as being superior (as you probably should), then 57% of possible roles won't care about a particular dimension.

                        Some more stats you might find interesting on some of the powerful roles:

                        Chance of the existence of at least one of each of the following:

                        Guard/Guard.........6.25%
                        Seer/Seer............6.25%
                        Wolf/Wolf...........48.93%
                        If you're curious as to how I got these, IM me.
                        sigpic Without irony, this signature wouldn't be funny.

                        Comment

                        • talisman
                          Resident Penguin
                          FFR Simfile Author
                          • May 2003
                          • 4598

                          #162
                          Re: TWG XLIV: RQU Dimensional Disruption!

                          double guard at 1/16? it works out the same as for a regular game? I thought for two independent events you multiplied probabilities, so it would be 1/32.

                          edit: good lord I can't believe I just said 1/16 times 1/16 was 1/32.

                          Comment

                          • rioting
                            FFR Player
                            • Dec 2006
                            • 113

                            #163
                            Re: TWG XLIV: RQU Dimensional Disruption!

                            Originally posted by talisman
                            double guard at 1/16? it works out the same as for a regular game? I thought for two independent events you multiplied probabilities, so it would be 1/32.

                            edit: good lord I can't believe I just said 1/16 times 1/16 was 1/32.
                            No, that would be the chance of a particular person having both roles. It is guaranteed that there exists a seer in X1. There is a 1/16 chance that that seer is also a seer in X2.

                            1 * 1/16 = 1/16
                            sigpic Without irony, this signature wouldn't be funny.

                            Comment

                            • Kilgamayan
                              Super Scooter Happy
                              FFR Simfile Author
                              • Feb 2003
                              • 6583

                              #164
                              Re: TWG XLIV: RQU Dimensional Disruption!

                              Originally posted by talisman
                              double guard at 1/16? it works out the same as for a regular game? I thought for two independent events you multiplied probabilities, so it would be 1/32.

                              edit: good lord I can't believe I just said 1/16 times 1/16 was 1/32.
                              Normally, yes, but in this case (as rioting already explained) the recipient is generic ("there exists a guard/guard" as opposed to, say, "talisman is guard/guard"), so you have to do some extra work.

                              The probability any given player being a guard/guard is (1/16)*(1/16), as being an X1 guard is independent from being an X2 guard. However, there are 16 players, so you'd multiply the resulting product by 16 to get the odds (1/16) that there exists a guard/guard player.
                              I watched clouds awobbly from the floor o' that kayak. Souls cross ages like clouds cross skies, an' tho' a cloud's shape nor hue nor size don't stay the same, it's still a cloud an' so is a soul. Who can say where the cloud's blowed from or who the soul'll be 'morrow? Only Sonmi the east an' the west an' the compass an' the atlas, yay, only the atlas o' clouds.

                              Comment

                              • DiscoBobbyPARANOiA
                                FFR Player
                                • Sep 2005
                                • 1206

                                #165
                                Re: TWG XLIV: RQU Dimensional Disruption!

                                Originally posted by rioting
                                No, that would be the chance of a particular person having both roles. It is guaranteed that there exists a seer in X1. There is a 1/16 chance that that seer is also a seer in X2.

                                1 * 1/16 = 1/16
                                That is correct, unless I'm retarded.

                                So, I drive to my mom's house, with ample time to get on and make a vote, etc. I get here and the internet is down. Come to find out, he computer's network card is messing up, so I hook up my computer (which I luckily brought with me.) Bent pins on the monitor cable, won't go in (not sure how it was in in the first place). The craziest cable tangle in computer moving history. I get my stuff set up, and find out THE INTERNET REALLY DOESNT WORK LOLOLOLOLOL.

                                It's up now, and should be for the rest of the time I'm here. (3-4 days)

                                Right now, I'm leaning wolf on Fiction. Wolf for X2, that is. Unless you ******s are going with my plan, there's no reason to be voting him today, he's obviously not X1 wolf.

                                But, if you want to make my life easier, I'd be happy to get rid of him in X1, like my plan was earlier >_>

                                FictionJunction


                                Iggy911Mc (12:55:49 AM): Mudkip is a Koala Bear.

                                Comment

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