@ talisman: Before you want to go lumping me in with xero, I suggest you contribute a little more than your "OMG WHO KILED FOJAR%mil?!x3", analyzing every player based on next to nothing, and proudly saying how you have not been on aim this whole game.
On other notes, I am leaning towards fiction being a wolf. He seems a little outside his normal playing zone, and he has not been a wolf, but I do not think he should die at this current point in time.
Safety talisman for now.
I'll post more later when im not in the middle of something.
Originally posted by Adamaja456
yea, this subscription giveaway is more fun than watching two lesbians engage in foreplay
I watched clouds awobbly from the floor o' that kayak. Souls cross ages like clouds cross skies, an' tho' a cloud's shape nor hue nor size don't stay the same, it's still a cloud an' so is a soul. Who can say where the cloud's blowed from or who the soul'll be 'morrow? Only Sonmi the east an' the west an' the compass an' the atlas, yay, only the atlas o' clouds.
I watched clouds awobbly from the floor o' that kayak. Souls cross ages like clouds cross skies, an' tho' a cloud's shape nor hue nor size don't stay the same, it's still a cloud an' so is a soul. Who can say where the cloud's blowed from or who the soul'll be 'morrow? Only Sonmi the east an' the west an' the compass an' the atlas, yay, only the atlas o' clouds.
no need to get touchy thunder. I just couldn't remember your posts when I was typing up my list but sort of thought they fell in the same category as most of the newer players.
I would not have extended the time had the people who would receive phantoms been innactive. However, they have all posted frequently and actively, so I'm giving them until midnight. x3 refered to from here on out as xero, noted.
I'd like to correct my 74% figure I stated earlier. I counted "neutral-victory" the same as "win". If you count win as being superior (as you probably should), then 57% of possible roles won't care about a particular dimension.
Some more stats you might find interesting on some of the powerful roles:
Chance of the existence of at least one of each of the following:
Guard/Guard.........6.25%
Seer/Seer............6.25%
Wolf/Wolf...........48.93% If you're curious as to how I got these, IM me.
sigpic Without irony, this signature wouldn't be funny.
double guard at 1/16? it works out the same as for a regular game? I thought for two independent events you multiplied probabilities, so it would be 1/32.
edit: good lord I can't believe I just said 1/16 times 1/16 was 1/32.
double guard at 1/16? it works out the same as for a regular game? I thought for two independent events you multiplied probabilities, so it would be 1/32.
edit: good lord I can't believe I just said 1/16 times 1/16 was 1/32.
No, that would be the chance of a particular person having both roles. It is guaranteed that there exists a seer in X1. There is a 1/16 chance that that seer is also a seer in X2.
1 * 1/16 = 1/16
sigpic Without irony, this signature wouldn't be funny.
double guard at 1/16? it works out the same as for a regular game? I thought for two independent events you multiplied probabilities, so it would be 1/32.
edit: good lord I can't believe I just said 1/16 times 1/16 was 1/32.
Normally, yes, but in this case (as rioting already explained) the recipient is generic ("there exists a guard/guard" as opposed to, say, "talisman is guard/guard"), so you have to do some extra work.
The probability any given player being a guard/guard is (1/16)*(1/16), as being an X1 guard is independent from being an X2 guard. However, there are 16 players, so you'd multiply the resulting product by 16 to get the odds (1/16) that there exists a guard/guard player.
I watched clouds awobbly from the floor o' that kayak. Souls cross ages like clouds cross skies, an' tho' a cloud's shape nor hue nor size don't stay the same, it's still a cloud an' so is a soul. Who can say where the cloud's blowed from or who the soul'll be 'morrow? Only Sonmi the east an' the west an' the compass an' the atlas, yay, only the atlas o' clouds.
No, that would be the chance of a particular person having both roles. It is guaranteed that there exists a seer in X1. There is a 1/16 chance that that seer is also a seer in X2.
1 * 1/16 = 1/16
That is correct, unless I'm retarded.
So, I drive to my mom's house, with ample time to get on and make a vote, etc. I get here and the internet is down. Come to find out, he computer's network card is messing up, so I hook up my computer (which I luckily brought with me.) Bent pins on the monitor cable, won't go in (not sure how it was in in the first place). The craziest cable tangle in computer moving history. I get my stuff set up, and find out THE INTERNET REALLY DOESNT WORK LOLOLOLOLOL.
It's up now, and should be for the rest of the time I'm here. (3-4 days)
Right now, I'm leaning wolf on Fiction. Wolf for X2, that is. Unless you ******s are going with my plan, there's no reason to be voting him today, he's obviously not X1 wolf.
But, if you want to make my life easier, I'd be happy to get rid of him in X1, like my plan was earlier >_>
Comment