12-17-2017, 11:36 PM | #1261 |
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Re: TWG CLXXIV - Sounds Like You've got a Problem. - Game Thread
I swear to God if people start asking me shit that's in my big post I will quote it back to them
And I won't edit it down for their convenience I will make you read the whole fucking thing every time |
12-18-2017, 12:00 AM | #1262 | |
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Re: TWG CLXXIV - Sounds Like You've got a Problem. - Game Thread
I'm just getting confrontational. Don't mind me~
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We did. Still makes it sound like you 100% know Ben is town when, according to your post, Ben is in a light-green - not a solid, dark-green - which implies he's not 100% town. Which counters your next post saying we'd have mislynched - ergo he is 100% town. Phrasing~ |
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12-18-2017, 12:04 AM | #1263 | ||
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Re: TWG CLXXIV - Sounds Like You've got a Problem. - Game Thread
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Basically looks like her proposed circle looked something like this: Town: Lar, Wnb Null-ish: rb, sunfan Scum-ish: inD, ben, t-force, with her top being inD From this I think I'd clear inD, at least for now, because she's the only person she tried to make a case for. The other two are more like "I wasn't reading / can't make cases" so they're still up in the air, but I'm not sure she would scum-read her entire team (maybe some meta bois can comment?) sunfan we know now rb she said was "less scary", she kind of argues the opposite of MML and T-Force here I guess since she sees effort while the others see apathy. Maybe suspicious? And then she clears MML and I with not-so-strong reasoning. Take that as you will.
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12-18-2017, 12:07 AM | #1264 | ||
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Re: TWG CLXXIV - Sounds Like You've got a Problem. - Game Thread
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I mean, I feel convinced by you and T-Force now that ben probably isn't a wolf at EOD but the language just didn't seem to match your read imo
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12-18-2017, 12:10 AM | #1265 | |
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Re: TWG CLXXIV - Sounds Like You've got a Problem. - Game Thread
Last post before slep, I'm just gonna post about setup now since my credibility is shot
Roles we know: M(xel), V(star), D(sf) So let's break down scum role potential: 5-7 T are impossible 2T, 4T are possible (no SK) 1T, 3T are possible (SK) 0T is possible but statistically pretty hard to roll. Then again, RNG is RNG. Anyway it's not that important. What is important is that 4T, 2T and 0T all have 3 mafia with a scum roleblocker. In the case for 4T setup is solved, 4T - M - V - D In the case for 2T we have 2T - M - V - D - x - x . Sf wasn't saved last night so DDD is virtually impossible (esp. with scum roleblocker gone), DD is possible where the 1-shot already saved. Otherwise, MM/VV are impossible, MMM/VVV are possible, and any combination of B and C are possible. Not going to bother with 0T because it's a rare pepe. In the case of 3T/1T, SK is in the game. 3T - M - V - D - x, where x = B/C/D, a possibility for sure. 1T - M - V - D - x - x - x is hard to consider right now but that ends up in a lot of blue roles.. It's also on towards the ends statistically. Honestly now that I think about it, as SK not killing is a viable strategy because it can throw town in for a loop if they're trying to solve setup. I guess you're gambling not getting shot/copped, but it's easier to feign town than wolves. Though I'm not too sure about how that fares endgame. I still feel like the setup is 4T though, but I don't want to detract from the possibility of an SK existing
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12-18-2017, 12:11 AM | #1266 |
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Re: TWG CLXXIV - Sounds Like You've got a Problem. - Game Thread
Potential Lar defence/deflection from her à la his defence of her?
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12-18-2017, 12:23 AM | #1267 | |
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Re: TWG CLXXIV - Sounds Like You've got a Problem. - Game Thread
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Because it fucking is. Like I do say that Ben is town because do not believe both where wolves so following the logic I present that would make him a mislynch Not that fucking hard to figure out you know? |
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12-18-2017, 12:27 AM | #1268 |
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Re: TWG CLXXIV - Sounds Like You've got a Problem. - Game Thread
You guys are overthinking this we fucking won.
If I'm the only gray question and you lynch me I'm going to flip town and then it's going to be super obvious that it's Roundbox and WnB so all you'll have to do is lynch them the next two days and town walks away with the win. And then I'm going to go to post, point out I called the set up and the wolves first and fucking peace out. There's literally nothing for me to add for tonight so I'm catching up on Zzzs. If you want to be a flaming shit stain vote me I don't care we literally fucking won this regardless |
12-18-2017, 12:33 AM | #1269 | |
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Re: TWG CLXXIV - Sounds Like You've got a Problem. - Game Thread
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12-18-2017, 01:20 AM | #1270 |
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Re: TWG CLXXIV - Sounds Like You've got a Problem. - Game Thread
you two being so confident on the final lynches is scary
more from me tomorrow when I'm less drunk and have had more sleep |
12-18-2017, 09:34 AM | #1271 |
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Re: TWG CLXXIV - Sounds Like You've got a Problem. - Game Thread
You don't like my logic? Argue those town picks brohan they be rock solid and the passage of time hasn't changed my mind.
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12-18-2017, 11:24 AM | #1272 | |
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Re: TWG CLXXIV - Sounds Like You've got a Problem. - Game Thread
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I'm going to do some reevaluation today and tomorrow and see where I end up. I've failed to make a good read on wnb, tforce, and ben. I feel like I could tune up my indheart read and maybe revisit mml a little bit because there's a bit of self fulfilling prophecy I'm catching myself falling into |
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12-18-2017, 11:50 AM | #1273 |
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Re: TWG CLXXIV - Sounds Like You've got a Problem. - Game Thread
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12-18-2017, 03:12 PM | #1274 | ||||
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Re: TWG CLXXIV - Sounds Like You've got a Problem. - Game Thread
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The first two parts of this post are irrelevant to be posted again. Then your statement for Force is "he was on raeko early." I've seen a rock make better statements. InD's is a lot of speculation on scum team behavior that has no place in this post because it's a general statement that doesn't pertain to InD. Out of norm shit happens and I know you know that. Your process to put ben in town pile is just bad and I know you know it. This post then REEKS of having been completely pre-prepared. Needless to say I am *far* from convinced this post is good. Quote:
OH LOOK GOOD SCUM BEHAVIORAL ASSUMPTIONS. Quote:
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Yeah as far as I'm concerned it's not really a great post. The idea your post was a slip isn't irrational. |
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12-18-2017, 03:48 PM | #1275 | |
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Re: TWG CLXXIV - Sounds Like You've got a Problem. - Game Thread
Sup dude.
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Can't tell if sarcasm or not... Depends on traffic. It takes around 2 hours to get to Seattle, but the last third of my trip was 3 hours because of Friday rush hour. It took 3 to get home. |
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12-18-2017, 06:24 PM | #1276 | |
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Re: TWG CLXXIV - Sounds Like You've got a Problem. - Game Thread
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12-18-2017, 07:36 PM | #1277 |
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Re: TWG CLXXIV - Sounds Like You've got a Problem. - Game Thread
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12-18-2017, 08:44 PM | #1278 |
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Re: TWG CLXXIV - Sounds Like You've got a Problem. - Game Thread
I am stupid and cant read
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12-18-2017, 09:43 PM | #1279 |
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Re: TWG CLXXIV - Sounds Like You've got a Problem. - Game Thread
*cracks knuckles loudly*
nothing personnel, folks |
12-18-2017, 10:30 PM | #1280 | ||||
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Re: TWG CLXXIV - Sounds Like You've got a Problem. - Game Thread
the first thing we're gonna look at tonight is the post of a CONFIRMED WOLF!!!
it's raeko btw let's see if we can extract some INFO (first of all, most of these posts are on dead players like star/sunfan. bleh) Quote:
if they're not partners, then raeko here is providing some cover herself in being diplomatic, at least a little bit. I wouldn't call this pocketing because she leaves this point open to interpretation (never made a scum/town declaration) Quote:
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;_; Quote:
we have a revisiting of lar being town. no additional reasoning for this read, just that he's town. ok. she says WNB is towny after doing an ISO, no specific posts but she points out his general posting style which is something she says I'm less scary than before (last read was on d0 that I was being kinda scary) and that I was doing more work, but then turns around and says I haven't screamed town? this is a rude, flexible read if I've ever seen one ben and tforce are both people that she says she doesn't remember posting, and uses that as a frame to suspect them. hmm ind is the one with the heaviest case against him. pretty bold considering ind wasn't the top of people's priority lists so this would a be a pretty bold lynch to pursue. this is a fair point. if I want to assume that wolves were going for a strategy to preserve numbers, I think raeko would actually keep bonds with her teammates here and distance from town players. I don't think she'd do this in the most obvious black and white fashion, so we can't safely assume that her reads point to lar/wnb as her partners (only town reads) and everyone else is a mislynch case (all scumleaning or at least no mention of towniness). she spent the most time defending lar, so maybe there's something there. wnb was a singular point so this could have been an on the spot read. as for everyone else, the case on ind was pretty specific to not sound like a bus, especially given his current status on peoples' "wanting to vote this phase" lists, of which he was relatively absent. as for the other reads, it's hard to really place anything because both t-force and ben don't have anything other than they're not "memorable" and that's really about it. raeko defending lar back makes their connection deeper, and it's making me skeptical. ind might come off as more towny because of this, but everyone else doesn't seem to move all that too much. |
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