-
-
Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]
A question for Molly if they ever come back:
Your last post was a short reads list on a few people at 00:32. You had over 25 minutes to participate and interact with I daresay at LEAST 10 OTHER PEOPLE but instead chose to do nothing but vote Zucker. Why didn't you talk to other people?Comment
-
Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]
So now I update the table with my new reads:
Apollo [1]
Maple
Dotty [1]
Fauna
Flurry [1]
Cherry
Julian [2]
Agent S, Del
Zucker [9]
[ Flurry, Phil, Tank, Dora ] Rolf, Molly, Julian, Boomer, Chief
Chief [1]
Punchy
Didnt Vote: Zucker, Melba, Dotty, Apollo, Mathilda
=======
So of the people left there are 3 categories:
-The people left on Dels wagon:
Rolf, Molly
-The people who had nothing to do with Dels wagon
Agent S, Fauna, Cherry, Maple
-The people left who didnt vote:
Apollo, Melba, Dotty, Mathilda
========
Unfortunately, getting any info on the people who didnt vote from the wagon is pretty futile as you can probably imagine. I solidly think not voting is purely anti town behavior (sorry apollo) but its not strictly indicative of wolfiness. It just makes it harder when people like me try to put the pieces together.
That being said, I believe they must be judged strictly by their play since their vote says nothing. Melba and Dotty were ghosts d0. Eugene has had a very strong phase this game so I dont feel at all bad about townleaing him despite the slot. Chrissy has kind of been all over the place, im thinking by eod ill have a better feel for that slot.
Apollo has been pretty strange. He has shown himself to be a very outside the box player. Openly admitting to not voting, held on to doubting boomer as the vigi for the longest out of anyone, has voiced very random and occasionally wildly unpopular opinions. He might be a possible candidate for Acquisitioner but I really dont think he's a wolf.
Mathilda has been playing very aggressive in response to early pressure. Initial impression is it isnt towny because a lot of it is centered around deflection. Theres a very fine line between towny anger and wolves getting angry to throw people off them. Without the help of meta i cant really be confident in this read but if theres a wolf in the people who didnt vote this is where it is
Eugene: Town
Dotty: Town lean pending EoD
Apollo: Null
Mathilda: Wolf lean
============
Finding the last wolf on Zuckers wagon is not going to be easy. Both Molly and Rolf didnt really have anything in their iso that is incriminating (though in my opinion Rolf sounded townier leading up to eod) and I dont want to go too deep into speculating without clear cause>effect.
This post doesnt really say very much. The end especially tastes like just word spam. If there is a wolf left on Zuckers wagon, I'd give the edge to Molly. This is probably my lowest confidence read yet, this just might be the mark of a level 2 wolf player that the absence of strong opinions on their play is a mark against them.
In short, after Chief if I had to pick another wolf on the zucker pileup Molly would be it
Rolf: Slight town lean
Molly: Wolf lean
=====
Last but not least, the people who did their own thing and stayed away from zucker and dels wagon, to reiterate that would be:
Agent S, Fauna, Cherry, Maple.
Agent S and Maple were there at EoD. (EoD being defined as T-15 mins from day end).
Another bold prediction, Im going to half clear Cherry and Fauna. I would call this read medium confidence. I just dont think wolves completely whiff being present at EoD. I realize its entirely possible because IRL happens which is why its a half clear. Only if Agent S and Maple were somehow cleared would I look under them at Cherry and Fauna.
Branching off into more traditional reads, Cherry has had limited presence and I dont really like much of what shes done today. Fauna has looked a lot better by comparison. So if you must breach this lower bracket, Cherry should be scrutinized first.
Agent S was present till the very end of the day, attacking his scumleans rather than getting involved with the dogpiling onto zucker. I think this looks good, doesnt clear him by any means but its the inverse to my chief wolf read pretty much.
Maple was last seen around 15 mins till EoD and i think represents the more likely wolf in this small subset. Their last post for the day was this
yeah this isnt weird at all. wait a minute...
Out of the people who abstained from the Zucker/Del wagons maple is my highest confidence wolf lean
Agent S: Town
Maple: Wolf lean
Cherry: Low confidence town lean
Fauna: Town lean
======Comment
-
Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]
You are giving incredibly strong reads, Dora, but it doesn’t excuse the night actions..
Are you writing all this as a wolf? Acq? Are you claiming that boomer got blocked in the night?Comment
-
Re: TWG 193: Animal Crossing [Game Thread]
So the FULLY updated wagon list with all my reads:
Apollo [1]
Maple
Dotty [1]
Fauna
Flurry [1]
Cherry
Julian [2]
Agent S, Del
Zucker [9]
[ Flurry, Phil, Tank, Dora ] Rolf, Molly, Julian, Boomer, Chief
Chief [1]
Punchy
Didnt Vote: Zucker, Melba, Dotty, Apollo, Mathilda
=========
LEGEND:
Green = Town lean or Town
Black = Null
Red = Wolf lean or Wolf
=========
To summarize fully:
I think there are 3 wolves within this group of 4 people:
Molly, Mathilda, Chief, Maple.
A tier below them are people who should be investigated should that world prove false:
Apollo, Chrissy, Cherry, Rolf
And above them are my town reads / leans:
Julian, Rolf, Flurry, Phil, Tank, Punchy, Eugene, Agent S, FaunaComment
Comment