TWG 150: Undertale

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  • TWG Temmie
    FFR Player
    • Mar 2016
    • 0

    #1876
    Re: TWG 150: Undertale

    Originally posted by TWG Tsunderplane
    i feel like the humans would keep trying for the medic over a confirmed green, so i'm having trouble figuring out why you think you're dead tonight
    not killing the confirmed green means tomorrow if it's LyLo there's a better chance (50%, 2/4) of getting it right, if I died tonight the chance would be lower (40%, 2/5)
    hey, 50% isn't much but at least it's a coinflip

    Comment

    • TWG Alphys
      FFR Player
      • Mar 2016
      • 1

      #1877
      Re: TWG 150: Undertale

      Originally posted by TWG Tsunderplane
      anyway it's time to move on from this topic i think
      Nah I don't think so. With the player pool I'm left with i have to look at everything.

      Comment

      • TWG Mad Dummy
        FFR Player
        • Mar 2016
        • 3

        #1878
        Re: TWG 150: Undertale

        I don't think I'm moving my vote unless I have to

        Comment

        • TWG Tsunderplane
          FFR Player
          • Mar 2016
          • 2

          #1879
          Re: TWG 150: Undertale

          Originally posted by TWG Temmie
          not killing the confirmed green means tomorrow if it's LyLo there's a better chance (50%, 2/4) of getting it right, if I died tonight the chance would be lower (40%, 2/5)
          hey, 50% isn't much but at least it's a coinflip
          that's a good point that i hadn't thought of

          ugh i hate this game sometimes

          Comment

          • TWG Mad Dummy
            FFR Player
            • Mar 2016
            • 3

            #1880
            Re: TWG 150: Undertale

            Originally posted by TWG Temmie
            not killing the confirmed green means tomorrow if it's LyLo there's a better chance (50%, 2/4) of getting it right, if I died tonight the chance would be lower (40%, 2/5)
            hey, 50% isn't much but at least it's a coinflip
            lets just hit today to avoid this math from mattering

            Yeah!

            Comment

            • TWG Mad Dummy
              FFR Player
              • Mar 2016
              • 3

              #1881
              Re: TWG 150: Undertale

              Originally posted by TWG Temmie
              not killing the confirmed green means tomorrow if it's LyLo there's a better chance (50%, 2/4) of getting it right, if I died tonight the chance would be lower (40%, 2/5)
              hey, 50% isn't much but at least it's a coinflip
              I understand that we all make mistakes but like

              can you not openly tell the wolves what their optimal play should be?

              Comment

              • TWG Alphys
                FFR Player
                • Mar 2016
                • 1

                #1882
                Re: TWG 150: Undertale

                Originally posted by TWG Tsunderplane
                this is pretty much the strongest callout we got from him before the lynch, which makes me wonder if this was his attempt at bussing napsta
                or both of ya

                Comment

                • TWG Temmie
                  FFR Player
                  • Mar 2016
                  • 0

                  #1883
                  Re: TWG 150: Undertale

                  still, it's only a better option by 10%
                  50% means it could go either way, and I am not comfortable with "either way"
                  also, even if we do get a red lynch with 5 left it would then turn into final 3
                  basically, 2 strikes and we're out
                  the only way I can think of getting an extra screw-up is that if the bomb goes off and the medic (if it exists) makes the save

                  Comment

                  • TWG Papyrus
                    FFR Player
                    • Mar 2016
                    • 3

                    #1884
                    Re: TWG 150: Undertale

                    Originally posted by TWG Temmie
                    have a color visual I guess
                    (4) TWG Muffet - TWG Alphys (1372), TWG Papyrus (1486), TWG Undyne (1785) TWG Napstablook (1786),
                    (4) TWG Temmie - TWG Tsunderplane (1459), TWG Mad Dummy(1552), TWG Flowey (1729), TWG Muffet ()
                    (1) TWG Alphys - TWG Temmie (1457)
                    i think this makes undyne/napsta and plane/dummy unlikely but other than that idk

                    Comment

                    • TWG Tsunderplane
                      FFR Player
                      • Mar 2016
                      • 2

                      #1885
                      Re: TWG 150: Undertale

                      Originally posted by TWG Alphys
                      or both of ya
                      well i can definitely say that's not true since i'm town but hey i can see where this day is headed already

                      Comment

                      • TWG Alphys
                        FFR Player
                        • Mar 2016
                        • 1

                        #1886
                        Re: TWG 150: Undertale

                        Originally posted by TWG Mad Dummy
                        I don't think I'm moving my vote unless I have to
                        As long as you know that if they end up dying this phase and are a human, i'm still not clearing you.

                        Comment

                        • TWG Alphys
                          FFR Player
                          • Mar 2016
                          • 1

                          #1887
                          Re: TWG 150: Undertale

                          Originally posted by TWG Tsunderplane
                          well i can definitely say that's not true since i'm town but hey i can see where this day is headed already
                          Both Sans and So Sorry have posted in the same sort of way about both you and Napsta.

                          Comment

                          • TWG Papyrus
                            FFR Player
                            • Mar 2016
                            • 3

                            #1888
                            Re: TWG 150: Undertale

                            i'm gonna look at d1 again cuz all the non-clears voted differently but oh god the vote links are SO BrOKEN

                            Comment

                            • TWG Mad Dummy
                              FFR Player
                              • Mar 2016
                              • 3

                              #1889
                              Re: TWG 150: Undertale

                              Originally posted by TWG Alphys
                              As long as you know that if they end up dying this phase and are a human, i'm still not clearing you.
                              Ok now this I object to pretty strongly. Again its WIFOM but its kind of obvious WIFOM imo... unless my partner is going down in flames I'd probably never bus here.

                              Comment

                              • TWG Mad Dummy
                                FFR Player
                                • Mar 2016
                                • 3

                                #1890
                                Re: TWG 150: Undertale

                                Originally posted by TWG Tsunderplane
                                well i can definitely say that's not true since i'm town but hey i can see where this day is headed already
                                then DEFEND YOURSELF

                                Comment

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