TWGCXXVIII - The Inferno War

[thesunfan]

Re: TWGCXXVIII - The Inferno War

yes I said we should keep Xiz alive because "he's funny" p much.

I know we're killing Xiz. also, we may or may not have 5 more lynches; it depends on the # of people that die each night, which varies in this setup.

[XelNya]

Re: TWGCXXVIII - The Inferno War

btw if the objective on your ends is to get me to post more

sorry next time I can post is around 6:30PM PST or so, so have fun with it I guess. (Yay work.)

[Red Blaster]

Re: TWGCXXVIII - The Inferno War

Our other blue is basically useless though.
If they are hit they are dead..and the chances they'll ever die making some sort of clutch save is completely random.

[blindreper1179]

Re: TWGCXXVIII - The Inferno War

Our other blue is basically useless though.
If they are hit they are dead..and the chances they'll ever die making some sort of clutch save is completely random.

WHAT!? I'd rather one die instead of even two. It's a great ability.

[blindreper1179]

Re: TWGCXXVIII - The Inferno War

There's eight people who hide tonight, giving a two per one ratio almost. The bodyguard is most likely going to save a life in the next night phase, giving us potentially another mislynch if we need it. That helps a lot by adding another day phase.

[Red Blaster]

Re: TWGCXXVIII - The Inferno War

There's eight people who hide tonight, giving a two per one ratio almost. The bodyguard is most likely going to save a life in the next night phase, giving us potentially another mislynch if we need it. That helps a lot by adding another day phase.

Except the fact of the 1/5 odds of the BG being in the house the scum pick. The odds are lower than 1/5 when you add the 'town being in the same house' factor.
I agree that the BG gets more and more valuable as/if they survive night phases, but early on they are essentially not very usefull as at best they'd prevent 0-2 kills at most.

[Red Blaster]

Re: TWGCXXVIII - The Inferno War

There's eight people who hide tonight, giving a two per one ratio almost. The bodyguard is most likely going to save a life in the next night phase, giving us potentially another mislynch if we need it. That helps a lot by adding another day phase.

Yeah there's a 2:1 ratio but that doesn't imply 2 people are hiding in each house.

[DarkManticoreX2]

Re: TWGCXXVIII - The Inferno War

Funny I saw posts from you that weren't answers to my questions.

:Leers:

[blindreper1179]

Re: TWGCXXVIII - The Inferno War

Yeah there's a 2:1 ratio but that doesn't imply 2 people are hiding in each house.

I know, but I didn't really know how to show that I guess? Either way, personally I want the bodyguard alive as long as possible to save more people. Or die soon if 3/4 people chose the house the bodyguard picked and arsonists picked. I know I know, low odds blah blah blah.

[Funnygurl555]

Re: TWGCXXVIII - The Inferno War

Funny I saw posts from you that weren't answers to my questions.

:Leers:

Oh yeah so I had like 10 minutes to post there and now I'm heading to a night class

[Funnygurl555]

Re: TWGCXXVIII - The Inferno War

Who the hell thought night classes were a good idea they're freaking terrible

[Red Blaster]

Re: TWGCXXVIII - The Inferno War

FG's doing that thing where she only posts when pinged out.

[Xiz]

Re: TWGCXXVIII - The Inferno War

oh shit sorry sunfan i got bored lol

[choof]

Re: TWGCXXVIII - The Inferno War

no one validated my reads so I'm just going to assume everyone agrees, thanks

[Tokzic]

Re: TWGCXXVIII - The Inferno War

long overdue reads list GO~

(listed in descending order of wolf probability)

--

Xiz - our heroic fireman

Red Blaster - The post I quoted back when I voted him with no explanation was extremely forced neutral in tone and put him on my radar enough for me to want to prod at him. All of my prodding did nothing to produce any town-like noises out of him. This particular post during the D1 lynch is EXTREMELY damning - he brings up the possibility of Xiz being blue, straight up says he wouldn't vote Xiz unless it was to save his own hide, and puts a ton of fuel into the DBP wagon.

blindreper1179 - Unhelpful to town? Check. Only made one read in 72 hours and only started making more after tons of strongarming? Check. Super suspicious looking last-second vote movements during D1? Check.

Funnygurl555 - Made a lot of bad moves during the Xiz fiasco. On the whole though, her attitude towards her misplays is giving me huge Smash Bros TWG flashbacks, and that pushes her a lot further down the list.

Cold Kitten - Didn't really participate in the game before vanishing other than some nervous posts without any reads to fit into the big picture. Some of Xiz's interactions with her are a little questionable. Null leaning red.

Guest15937 - Completely null. Likely inactive human.

choof - Done some things that have made me scratch my head but on the whole has earned a lot more green points than red through relaxed, natural posting tone.

XelNya - Doesn't say much of substance but when he does it seems to come from a very townie mindset. Lots of mindmeld going on, he chimes in every time I say something poignant. Don't think he's our guy.

DarkManticorex2 - Was on Xiz's ass the second the game started and never once let up. Extremely unlikely to be red. A few of his posts during the EOD insanity had me trying to picture it all as a big bus, but knowing his calibre, I think he'd realise how costly a D1 bus would be in this gametype.

thesunfan - Huge activity and constantly pro-town content, so confident on Xiz that he wanted to lynch him early, and on the right side of the fence at every turn of the thread. Zero doubt in my mind that he's town.

Tokzic - I need you too Sunfan!!