07-6-2021, 05:34 PM
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#1
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Forever Derbyless
 
Join Date: Aug 2020
Age: 32
Posts: 240
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14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread
Hey all, thought it's tradition to at least have one of these bad boys going for this OT 
For those who aren't aware, I wrote a quick Python script to predict the winners for this OT (why not lmfao). Here are the results under three assumptions:
Assumptions:
• Current OT division placements are finalized (I'm aware that there may be minimal changes)
• Each user is currently at the skill rating level of what their Top 100 scores suggests
• Each user's Top 15 (which defines a player's overall rank) is representative of their current skill rating.
Predictions:
Additional thoughts:
Even though the predictions above contain some alignment to what I truly believe to be the winners of this OT, the assumptions made above are not necessarily true. I know some participants listed in my predictions who recently came back from hiatus and are attempting to derust. I also know some participants not listed in any of the lists above that can provide a strong showing based on their recent scores (recency bias at play here).
Because of this, I think the following players can potentially disprove the results of my Python script (unfortunately, I don't know much about the competition below D6, so I'll refrain from making wild guesses here)
• aperson [D6]
• jh05013 [D6]
• cup [D7]
• Eryyy [D7]
• XtraFestive [D8]
Feel free to share your thoughts and opinions about your own predictions for this OT or comment on how accurate you think the results above are.
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