13th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

[mi40]

Re: 13th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

i hate to be a debbie downer but how are d7 people supposed to compete against this?
if you're around that skill level you know how much of a big jump is required to get this kind of score on that song. just feels like somebody skillboosted insanely in the past few years but didn't play enough new games on FFR to be placed properly, that score is incomprehensible from my point of view like, wow that is an INSANE player who could probably duke it out in d8 (well deserved praise here, don't get me wrong lol)

but yeah walrusizer wins d7 1000% with this kind of sick wanderflux score, probably could top 8 d8 with that too

[klimtkiller]

Re: 13th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

i hate to be a debbie downer but how are d7 people supposed to compete against this?
if you're around that skill level you know how much of a big jump is required to get this kind of score on that song. just feels like somebody skillboosted insanely in the past few years but didn't play enough new games on FFR to be placed properly, that score is incomprehensible from my point of view like, wow that is an INSANE player who could probably duke it out in d8 (well deserved praise here, don't get me wrong lol)

but yeah walrusizer wins d7 1000% with this kind of sick wanderflux score, probably could top 8 d8 with that too

i said walrus belongs in d8 before the tourney started rofl

[mi40]

Re: 13th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

i said walrus belongs in d8 before the tourney started rofl

never paid attention to the other people until yesterday ish and that score just blew my mind, like really hard.

[mi40]

Re: 13th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

for reference, the 8 people above that score are the people that take up #1-#8 on the leaderboards @ lv 103 or higher

and the 10 people below him are all d8 with the exception of maybe deimory who i don't know because they didn't sign up for the tournament

[Walrusizer]

Re: 13th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

i hate to be a debbie downer but how are d7 people supposed to compete against this?
if you're around that skill level you know how much of a big jump is required to get this kind of score on that song. just feels like somebody skillboosted insanely in the past few years but didn't play enough new games on FFR to be placed properly, that score is incomprehensible from my point of view like, wow that is an INSANE player who could probably duke it out in d8 (well deserved praise here, don't get me wrong lol)

but yeah walrusizer wins d7 1000% with this kind of sick wanderflux score, probably could top 8 d8 with that too

To preface this, it would definitely be completely fair to consider me D8 now, and I wouldn't have had any problem being placed D8 at the start of the tourney regardless. If I wasn't so rusty at the beginning I probably would've pushed for it myself. I started at a pretty similar overall skill and rust level as I did last OT, in which IIRC I barely made top 8 despite the difficulty range favoring me better than they are this year.

That said, I'm super imbalanced as a player, so I don't think winning D7 is anywhere near as clear-cut at some people seem to think. If the next two rounds are powerflux 2 and wanderflux 2, sure, but that doesn't seem likely. Multiple people beat me last round on vantablack, which doesn't even have anything that I should be exceptionally bad at. I also wouldn't be surprised at all to mindblock the first half of epsilon to the point of unplayability before improving my score much, if at all, considering I can already barely make it to the first stream with AAA and already feel mindblocks forming. Multiple D7 players still in the tournament have scores on more technical and/or jacky 100+ charts that I can't beat at all, and having charts like that for the last two rounds is nowhere near out of the range of possibility.

Also, I'm 99% sure I wouldn't have made it past round 1 in D8 with gengaozo, and I'm not sure if I could even get a passing score on it now. I actually don't think there's any D8 round where I would've been competitive, even though some of the later charts favor my skillset more.

TLDR: good at straightforward stuff, legendarily bad at jacks, pretty bad at tech, bad at consistency, and really good at forming mindblocks.

[mi40]

Re: 13th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

i figured that might be case since wanderflux is super straightforward and not a super technical file. but that level of physical prowess is still super nutty, but as long as you are giving it your best shot in every round i am completely in understanding of the situation - the only thing i would've hated was somebody not giving it their all

[WirryWoo]

Re: 13th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

I did pretty well with Top 8 predictions a few weeks ago. Going to extend this and say that Top 3 in order for D6 will be Cryolien, .Gazelle. and WSCB. This one is tough because I can see so many permutations of Top 3 happening in D6 lmfao.

Also, my predictions are wrong about myself which was honestly a pleasant surprise. I predict that I will definitely be out this round with the lowest score (:

Well these predictions aged pretty quickly... Here is my last set of predictions for the tournament. With the winners bolded, I believe Round 8 will be:

D1: The Ice Cream Queen vs. Zeldagurlfan1
D2: Bach96 vs. themastergrant
D3: kadef vs. Psycast
D4: Forthelulz vs. sploder12
D5: Dark Saga vs. The~J~MaXx
D6: Cryolien vs Poison- (I believe in you Mr. Dark Horse)
D7: Devilchilly vs. Walrusizer
D8: Brazilian Civil War (Myuka being the victor vs. AnMaO or SillyFanGirl)

[Devilchilly]

Re: 13th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Well these predictions aged pretty quickly... Here is my last set of predictions for the tournament. With the winners bolded, I believe Round 8 will be:

D1: The Ice Cream Queen vs. Zeldagurlfan1
D2: Bach96 vs. themastergrant
D3: kadef vs. Psycast
D4: Forthelulz vs. sploder12
D5: Dark Saga vs. The~J~MaXx
D6: Cryolien vs Poison- (I believe in you Mr. Dark Horse)
D7: Devilchilly vs. Walrusizer
D8: Brazilian Civil War (Myuka being the victor vs. AnMaO or SillyFanGirl)

a part of me wants to go against the odds and prove you wrong, tbh

but I'm intrigued as to what happens next as well so we'll see :thinkies:

[Poison-]

Re: 13th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

D6: Cryolien vs Poison- (I believe in you Mr. Dark Horse)

I will do my best to live up to your expectations!

[sploder12]

Re: 13th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

D1: Sarbin vs SwedishMeatballs
(bias towards Sarbin)

D1 seems to be pretty volatile