Xelnya (4): DaBackpack, Blind, Charu, AragakiAyase
Haku (3): Manti, kirkfan, ShadoWolfe Roundbox (1): the sun fan
Blind (2): Xelnya, TWG Ike Manti (1): Haku
TWG Ike (1): inDheart
Unvote (0)
Not Voting (2): Roundbox, Mello
===
so here's the d0 vote, color coded for convenience
let's look at the voting patterns of all the non-flipped people and their reason for doing so
FIRST: The non-voters
solve me on your own time, I already explained why I couldn't be here
raeko was in a moving vehicle for most of the phase so yeah NAI
SECOND: Everybody else that was actually in the game
DaBackpack's d0 entry was in a short burst initially, and his first burst of voting places an early vote on Xelnya
Originally posted by DaBackpack
xelnya I'm only on page 10 and I'm feeling pretty good about this
DaBackpack is pretty confident in his read on Xel, and he said that this was one of the primary reasons he pursued. Let's find the posts that back that up, and some additional votes.
Originally posted by DaBackpack
faking anger is exactly what Xelnya does as a wolf when he doesn't have anything else to contribute
Originally posted by DaBackpack
I am going to redact my redaction on my Xelnya read
that one post I quoted was really good, but I completely expected followups to that kind of mindset
we have gotten nothing resembling actual "reads" or "synthesis" from him this far
I have a distinct feeling I got from Xel when he was town last game, how he vocalized actual critical thought about other players and seemed invested in the outcome of the day phase
there is almost none of that here
Originally posted by DaBackpack
you did this exactly once, that's not what I'd call a serious attempt
just kidding, it's his only vote this d0
THE VERDICT:
You know how I feel about parked votes. DaBackpack also admitted to making the two of them thunderdome. I also feel like DaBackpack swings his votes around a bit as town.
I think he's town guys
Xel didn't do a great job to defend himself at the end of the phase, and DaBackpack didn't just let it happen, he was trying to force interactions with him and blind rather than just hope the vote landed somewhere good
his responses to xel's responses didn't feel like he was building a wagon and trying to keep it pushing with false reasoning. He is very scatterbrained at EOD especially when votes start flying around and I didn't see it here, perhaps he's just sure of himself?
idc d0 vote makes him look towny
Blind started off with a very hollow suspicion on yeti, and makes his vote here
Originally posted by blindreper1179
You don't know who you're messing with yeti.
The only reason I didn't sweep championships by storm is because I didn't have the time. Watch a real player in action.
Also AA, add me on steam for pubging. Same name.
it looks like a joke vote, but he develops it later here:
Originally posted by blindreper1179
Hello, yes. I am the vanilla town. I would like to contribute that I don't like Ike. They are asking too many questions looking for approval from the thread.
Xel is looking towny, but I hold that feeling with a grain of salt.
It seems like he's confident of his initial vote.
His second vote is nothing more than self-preservation:
Originally posted by blindreper1179
xelyna for the save myself vote.
He should die anyways.
I included the line in his slightly earlier post about "Xel looking towny, but I hold that feeling with a grain of salt" because the second line in this quotation. Hmmmmmmm
VERDICT:
There is something VERY markedly missing from blind's play this game: a lack of self-voting. I'm not sure whether to applaud that he has learned not to do so or to be concerned that something may be afoot. There's a chance that this lack of play could make him anti-town, in addition to his quick flip on Xel when he needed to vote for self-pres. He could have easily just said "self-pres" with a vote on Xel, but this makes it a bit much.
He's probably more town than not, but this does make me slightly skeptical of the matter. Blind seems to have a reason to live this game, and it might not be a town reason. I know I was praising him for following his gut, but on reread, I'm having a slight reset.
I iso'd Charu d0 because he seemed weird this game. Looks like I was right, he's an alien. But the thing we need to determine now if he's actually town side or wolf side. I don't know if Charu has the balls to align with third-party, so let's just assume he picked one of the other for now. If something is extra fucky, maybe he's third-party aligned but I really doubt it.
(I wish Charu didn't have 500+ posts)
Originally posted by Charu
Look at what you did
ionDheart
this vote a joke
Originally posted by Charu
I... I can't.
Haku
this vote is a reaction to Hakulyte comparing sunfan to a "hyperactive haku with 200 posts and no meaningful content"
Charu was utterly confused by this so he voted Haku. I don't know if it was a result of him being weirded out by haku or him townreading/giving credit to sunfan and reacting accordingly. This vote looks fine, regardless.
Originally posted by Charu
Also, I'm gonna go with blind
Here's the last vote. Let's parse this. This is the important step.
Looking for posts... looking for posts...
uhhh
like everything before this is talking about xel townreading shado for the "how to use the forum" post
uhh
hey what the fuck I'm not finding shit
Originally posted by Charu
Because why is asking question bad?
This game is all about questions and solving!
here's one I guess but it's more of a reason against his yeti read (And partially AA because he said AA's questions were useless)
Originally posted by Charu
Ignoring your own sketchy self as I respond to this.
You're not wrong
blind is doing no one any favors by not making a case for his "suspect" and why he would be okay with lynching you.
okay here it is over an hour after his vote
hmmm
VERDICT:
Charu buses, but I don't think he wins this game. If Charu is anti-town, blind is not anti-town. Clearly, we can only check that inversely so if blind is ever flipped/checked.
Charu as anti-town here could make sense, but that would work for anything that could be considered a mislynch and I have a few misgivings about blind, but it's not a sure thing.
Charu as town here has a very weak case, and it's d0 sooooooooooooooooooo fuck it?
If blind is wolf I don't see charu being wolf aligned. The other way around? Not as certain.
Originally posted by the sun fan
I'd be too tiny to be a bouncer
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