TWG XC: Deja Vu

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  • tupacodaman
    FFR Player
    • Sep 2006
    • 635

    #361
    Re: TWG XC: Deja Vu

    well said afro for why u84 is 99% not a wolf. he's a smart player that is good at social engineering (lol, seriously though). there isn't a good reason why a wolf would come out as "seered green" the way he did"..... unless (I don't think anyone mentioned this) was that maybe there are only two wolves left, him and the master. so maybe this is just his way of trying to lull us into a false sense of security of him being green so that the wolves will have a chance of winning.

    Originally posted by clarinet89

    Current vote count:
    u84(0.01)-mak
    jwcgator(0.01)-
    mak-u84, syhto, afro
    afro-vic

    That is all.
    I know that getting phantoms doesn't necessarily mean you're human... but still... the fact that 5 people still have to vote is odd, and I think perhaps we should consider all the people who have voted already as potential wolves... though of course day still hasn't ended, so some people may be a little slow to vote (like I, admittedly, was two phases ago, and am sort of now)

    at this point, I will vote a2p because I find his posts a bit defensive and forced (first post about "what do we do now that manti is dead" and the most current one defending maki). maki and a2p may both be wolves, but maki hasn't really done or said anything, imo, to be considered a wolf (though again, a2p's defense of him is kind of weird)

    will change to maki I guess in case we need insta if more people don't vote

    Comment

    • tupacodaman
      FFR Player
      • Sep 2006
      • 635

      #362
      Re: TWG XC: Deja Vu

      Originally posted by tupacodaman
      well said afro for why u84 is 99% not a wolf
      I meant "99% likely that he is not a wolf", not that he is 1% wolf (I dunno, I reread this a few times and think 99% not a wolf doesn't make as much sense)

      Comment

      • sc979
        FFR Player
        FFR Simfile Author
        • Aug 2006
        • 1644

        #363
        Re: TWG XC: Deja Vu

        Originally posted by u84
        I love the skeptics! Just understand that this way made it so regardless of if I die, the psychic can, if he wishes, to come out to the other two listed greens, thus uniting them with the seer. We need this alliance to form because without someone to tell it to, a psychic's knowledge is ****.
        This won't work unless jwc and fic also know who the seer is, and I sure hope the seer didn't actually do that.

        If the psychic is going to come out to any of the three, it should be u84.
        ...

        Comment

        • Afrobean
          Admiral in the Red Army
          • Dec 2003
          • 13262

          #364
          Re: TWG XC: Deja Vu

          Originally posted by tupacodaman
          well said afro for why u84 is 99% not a wolf. he's a smart player that is good at social engineering (lol, seriously though). there isn't a good reason why a wolf would come out as "seered green" the way he did"..... unless (I don't think anyone mentioned this) was that maybe there are only two wolves left, him and the master. so maybe this is just his way of trying to lull us into a false sense of security of him being green so that the wolves will have a chance of winning.
          You've tipped your hand, dude. A green would have little reason to be OPENLY skeptical after I've explained exactly why it makes sense to trust u84. Minor skepticism is healthy, but to vocally say "this might not be the case because ___________" doesn't help anyone at all, ESPECIALLY when your justification for thinking it could be wrong is COMPLETE hogwash. And obviously since you didn't vote for u84 you yourself must have trust in him, so what the **** was the point of even saying anything? Trying to sow the seeds of doubt, eh? As long as I'm here, I'll do my best to ensure such humbug won't come to sprout.

          Seriously, a wolf would not ****ing fake this ****, not like this. u84's information is legit. He himself could potentially be MW, I suppose, but his information isn't a lie. He is not a red faking here, he is a person who was seer'd green and thrust into the limelight in an attempt to flush out the psychic.

          But yeah, maybe tomorrow's lynch should be tupac instead of A2P. Either way, I'm not too picky.

          I know that getting phantoms doesn't necessarily mean you're human... but still... the fact that 5 people still have to vote is odd, and I think perhaps we should consider all the people who have voted already as potential wolves... though of course day still hasn't ended, so some people may be a little slow to vote (like I, admittedly, was two phases ago, and am sort of now)
          lmfao

          Yeah, me, syhto, u84, viccica, and makilaz are the wolves. wait, if you think Makilaz is a wolf with the other 4 of us, why aren't you voting for him?!?!?!?!?!

          **** it. Later today or tomorrow, I'm going to pick through every post you've made and pull apart every little thing you said. And use it to kill you.

          GG, wolf.

          will change to maki I guess in case we need insta if more people don't vote
          Don't even **** around. Just vote Maki. He is the one who will die. Nothing you do regarding votes matters. Maki will go down no matter who you vote for. Better to just vote for maki and potentially save us some phantoms. We only need 6 on Maki for insta I think, and your vote plus fiction's would put us just 1 vote shy.

          Originally posted by sc979
          This won't work unless jwc and fic also know who the seer is, and I sure hope the seer didn't actually do that.
          Considering how freaking stupid this whole plan is (i.e., syhto's explanation that now the wolves have a large list of players to avoid in blue hunting) and the risk (read: payment) without major benefit...

          Yeah, I'd say the seer is definitely stupid enough to have revealed himself to the other seer'd greens.

          If the psychic is going to come out to any of the three, it should be u84.
          Just in case I'm wrong though, this is probably the best plan of attack. The seer's loose lips probably did have him reveal himself to the other seer'd greens, but even if not, u84 knows for sure, so if the psychic is still alive, u84 should be the primary one.

          Comment

          • tupacodaman
            FFR Player
            • Sep 2006
            • 635

            #365
            Re: TWG XC: Deja Vu

            Originally posted by Afrobean
            Minor skepticism is healthy, but to vocally say "this might not be the case because ___________" doesn't help anyone at all, ESPECIALLY when your justification for thinking it could be wrong is COMPLETE hogwash. And obviously since you didn't vote for u84 you yourself must have trust in him, so what the **** was the point of even saying anything? Trying to sow the seeds of doubt, eh? As long as I'm here, I'll do my best to ensure such humbug won't come to sprout.
            I'm just thinking of all the possibilities. No one had mentioned that idea, so I threw it out there.... just because I mention something as a possibility doesn't mean that it is actually the case... thanks for trying to censor me?

            Originally posted by Afrobean
            But yeah, maybe tomorrow's lynch should be tupac instead of A2P. Either way, I'm not too picky.

            Later today or tomorrow, I'm going to pick through every post you've made and pull apart every little thing you said. And use it to kill you.

            .
            Ok cool, go for it? I don't see why you want to kill me so badly... last game I offered a plan you didn't agree with and you thought that as reason enough to kill me (though I was green... I wouldn't post controversial things if I was red...). Now, I offer one simple possibility that no one mentioned AFTER endorsing u84. A good player takes all possibilities into consideration, though obviously some will slip to the back of your mind if they aren't likely possibilities. Randomly trying to kill me for suggesting something that you don't agree with and that I myself mention is 1% likely is pretty dumb...


            Originally posted by Afrobean

            Don't even **** around. Just vote Maki. He is the one who will die. Nothing you do regarding votes matters. Maki will go down no matter who you vote for. Better to just vote for maki and potentially save us some phantoms. We only need 6 on Maki for insta I think, and your vote plus fiction's would put us just 1 vote shy.

            .
            Again, I very very rarely get phantoms. Even if I sign up for a game and am not as active as I had hope to be, I still at least have the decency to check when phases end... I'm in my lab running subjects so I'm on a computer 24/7 and can post at any time before the phase ends in a few hours... I won't vote for maki since I don't think he's a wolf really... but I will if it will cause an insta.

            and I don't see why you think it's funny that I think there are wolves among the people who have already voted... but ok

            Comment

            • FictionJunction
              FFR Player
              • Nov 2006
              • 3843

              #366
              Re: TWG XC: Deja Vu

              I actually wrote a long segmented post last night after a nice evening out and a bottle of wine. I'll try to go at it again though I'm sure it won't sound as embellished as it did before considering I'm not particularly inspired at the moment.

              I really didn't want to be the one to come out and say it at the moment but it seems arfo and tupac beat me to it, and that's good - for me, anyway.

              There are several problems surrounding u84's ploy, the biggest one, for me, being why would he pick bdn and myself as bait? If he was a wolf or being used by a wolf, of course. This has several implications that have been mentioned before, i.e. the wolves taking a leap of faith, counting on the seer being dead, which, by all means, is a possibility. We don't know. There's also the possibility of the wolves hiding in the open. Before we take a look at this I ask that you all take your cynic hats off and pretend I'm green for once.

              If the wolves are hiding in the open (by stating that these players are indeed green) they seem, from a real green's perspective, like they're helping the wolves (themselves) by narrowing the possible wolf kill pool. This is brilliant because it draws attention away from the three people who've been listed and forces the humans to, some degree, trust them because the wolves would seem to have no interest in these players. So, I urge everyone to consider the circumstances behind me, u84 and bdn being wolves and how that would play off. As u84 stated, it'd be impossible for us all to be MWs, but we could very well be reds in the open. Gutsy? yes. Brilliant? yes. Plausible? maybe.

              Of course, I don't really want to consider this but I think it's important that we all understand that it could be happening or that it would happen if other players were wolves.

              Now, if what u84 claims is true I'm put in an awkward position. The question, why on earth were BDN and I listed comes to mind again because the possibility of them ****ing with us doesn't entirely escape my mind. On top of that, if it wasn't me on that list I wouldn't immediately trust anyone on it - especially if they lobbied for u84 possitively, supported him in one way or another. This would look like the player was fishing for blues and that's the last thing that BDN and I would like to appear as, I'm sure.

              So what have we gained? We've gained some srot of hope. It's not retarded like syhto and others have pointed out. We at least know that either the seer/psychic are alive or that we're being ****ed with, and that's a huge step forward. All we need to do now is wait and see whether or not they contact either one of us - and I'll leave that choice to them, of course. But the thing is (and this is why this is weird) I can't tell them to do it, but the blues must contact someone or these efforts will go to waste - hell, they wouldn't even start. I'm glad arfo is already arguing that u84 should be contacted because it'd be a step forward. However, the more we argue and debate about who out of us three (BDN, U84, myself) should be contacted, the more trouble we will create for ourselves. And we surely don't want to appear segregated right now. Plus, we'd be influencing the wolves and we don't want our pointman to be killled if he were to be contacted.

              So, stop talking about who should be contacted - do it on AIM, and watch out who you're talking to.
              Originally posted by j-rodd123
              wow

              Comment

              • Panda Express
                FFR Player
                • Aug 2009
                • 59

                #367
                Re: TWG XC: Deja Vu

                Not sure I've voted yet, so safetying Viccica until I get a chance to read through everything. Might not be on for a few days. Feeling horrible, possible teh swine.
                Putting the -laugh- back into Manslaughter.

                Comment

                • FictionJunction
                  FFR Player
                  • Nov 2006
                  • 3843

                  #368
                  Re: TWG XC: Deja Vu

                  I also don't agree with arfo stating that the wolves would offer us a "red" to lynch because the arguments given by a real red and a very very pissed off green are going to be different. If everyone's green then what's the big deal?

                  On top of that, they'd need to know whether or not the seer is dead for them to give us someone to lynch. Otherwise, the seer's hand would be forced and he'd have to do something about it. I don't know, contact one of his seered greens and get information rolling around. Chances are that a blue would act more reactively than proactively.

                  Which brings me back to why the reds didn't offer us someone to lynch. It wouldn't make a difference now would it? They're offering us seerings, confirmed seerings. The seer would do something about it regardless.

                  So, the seer is either dead or u84 is actually speaking the truth.
                  Originally posted by j-rodd123
                  wow

                  Comment

                  • FictionJunction
                    FFR Player
                    • Nov 2006
                    • 3843

                    #369
                    Re: TWG XC: Deja Vu

                    and tupac needs to stop bitching about getting killed last game.
                    Originally posted by j-rodd123
                    wow

                    Comment

                    • Viccica
                      FFR Player
                      • Mar 2009
                      • 702

                      #370
                      Re: TWG XC: Deja Vu

                      Going to go with mak for the sake of saving us phantoms... How many more do we need? (Vote update, clari)



                      One more voting phase goes by with votes for the sake of saving phantoms I swear to god.... -.-
                      Dear sirs,
                      One of my checks was returned marked "insufficient funds".

                      In view of current events in the banking market, does that refer to me or to you?

                      Sincerely,

                      Your Client
                      Eco Friendly
                      ~Chu

                      Comment

                      • FictionJunction
                        FFR Player
                        • Nov 2006
                        • 3843

                        #371
                        Re: TWG XC: Deja Vu

                        not good enough. I want people to vote because they have opinions.
                        Originally posted by j-rodd123
                        wow

                        Comment

                        • Viccica
                          FFR Player
                          • Mar 2009
                          • 702

                          #372
                          Re: TWG XC: Deja Vu

                          I don't like this plan, btw. What happens if a wolf counterclaimed and outed a wolf buddy in order to nab the psychic?


                          x,x

                          Sure, it mixes things up but defeats the purpose of.. y'know... Trying to win
                          Dear sirs,
                          One of my checks was returned marked "insufficient funds".

                          In view of current events in the banking market, does that refer to me or to you?

                          Sincerely,

                          Your Client
                          Eco Friendly
                          ~Chu

                          Comment

                          • Viccica
                            FFR Player
                            • Mar 2009
                            • 702

                            #373
                            Re: TWG XC: Deja Vu

                            My opinion is that Afro and Tupac are way mroe likely targets. So I'm in full support of grilling them next phase...

                            For now well... With 5 people that haven't voted my opinion isn't as important as avoiding more phantoms.
                            Dear sirs,
                            One of my checks was returned marked "insufficient funds".

                            In view of current events in the banking market, does that refer to me or to you?

                            Sincerely,

                            Your Client
                            Eco Friendly
                            ~Chu

                            Comment

                            • FictionJunction
                              FFR Player
                              • Nov 2006
                              • 3843

                              #374
                              Re: TWG XC: Deja Vu

                              bull****. even if you are legit, that gives wolves enough justification to pull safety/bandwaggon votes allowing them to hide in the open.

                              in other words, you're killing us. phantoms or not, you're killing us.
                              Originally posted by j-rodd123
                              wow

                              Comment

                              • FictionJunction
                                FFR Player
                                • Nov 2006
                                • 3843

                                #375
                                Re: TWG XC: Deja Vu

                                and why arfo and tupac?

                                did you not see that discussion they had just now? Do you really think they're faking that? their relationship has been clearly established.
                                Originally posted by j-rodd123
                                wow

                                Comment

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