11-19-2007, 08:13 PM
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#2087
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FFR Player
Join Date: Dec 1969
Location: New York City, New York
Posts: 8,340
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Re: Omnipwn Tournament (100,000 Credit Grand Prize)
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tasselfoot
Rubix: you don't even need Bayes theory for the mental 5 probability question...
just realize that with the 1st one being black, you have .5 chance of it being a space. so you have 51 cards left to pick from, and 50% shot at 13 spades and 50% shot at 12 spades... aka, 12.5/51. simple as that. i guess it probably is Bayes theory, just done in my head, but it's fairly straightforward and intuitive.
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I understand that you can also use a symmetry argument -- I just like Bayes rule lol
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