TWG CXLIX: Cedolad Replaces Out GAME THREAD

[DaBackpack]

Originally Posted by Charu

I don't need to look at the rest, but I did anyways.

Killing the SK first when you saw, as the day started, that WOLVES GOT NO KILL should've made it pretty loud and clear that one of two things happened.

A block happened or they hit a vest.

Probability dictates it's highly likely they hit the vest.

Ergo, NEXT NIGHT PHASE, wolves WILL target the SAME PERSON aka THE SUPPOSED SK

We humans don't need to do this. The wolves will do it for us unless they really do go through with the scenario that's bad for both sides.

Wolves hitting the doctor's save and wolves hitting the bulletproof each have equal probability

[DaBackpack]

actually, ONLY if we knew that the doctor actually performed a save tonight

[danceflashrevo]

hey i'm here reading, i told you guys i leave the tab open so i may or may not actually be there

[Makilaz]

hello friends

catching up on thread now, wasn't expecting to get offered a sub spot

[Charu]

Originally Posted by DaBackpack

actually, ONLY if we knew that the doctor actually performed a save tonight

Exactly

[danceflashrevo]

welcome to the game makilaz

skg i understand you're new, i understand that you may not exactly know what you're doing, but we're gonna need you to be a little more helpful than voting someone and not explaining why you did it.

i'm not really sure what to make of the zenith situation, it's really awkward that he's so certain, especially because the odds of it being a medic save are extremely low compared to the odds of an sk vest popping. i don't think a tone read is why you think v's the sk.

[Charu]

Anything else, dfr?

[danceflashrevo]

yeah, gn

jk is there something you want me to address?

[Charu]

Oh I don't know, is there anything more I can go into detail about Zenith? Do you agree that Zenith is most likely a wolf here? Does my almost 20 post per page mean anything to you?

How do you feel?

Are you happy about this?

Are you confused about this?

Are you unsure about this?

Where are you at, dfrrrrrrrrrrrr?

[danceflashrevo]

tbh i'm still not really satisfied w/ haku's answer but oh well we'll see how my feelings develop over that as she puts out more content.

[danceflashrevo]

you coulda just asked me jeez

i implied that i think he's wolf instead of vt. i don't see him just reading v's tone as sk from the start and that's it. i think he would need something else, and i don't see how the absence of a wolf kill would prove it either, because he would still have to somehow deduce that the wolves targetted v

[Charu]

Originally Posted by danceflashrevo

tbh i'm still not really satisfied w/ haku's answer but oh well we'll see how my feelings develop over that as puts out more content.

Heh...

Anyways, what answer did you not like about Haku?

[danceflashrevo]

she was like "why dfr" and then "lazy iso'd for 30 seconds" and was like yep obv wolf

[Charu]

Well, Haku did have a mother's intuition

Hee hee

[Charu]

But I see Haku now, maybe you can prod her with your dissatisfied Haku play.

[botchi246]

Originally Posted by Charu

...Actually, that was the assumption there were three wolves, oops, lmao.

It still would be bad though. I don't think having one wolf dead and sacrificing another JUST to get the SK is good wolf play.

Hey this is weird. This makes me think you were operating under that fact you thought there were three wolves since xel died. Maybe even since the beginning of the game. *warning* *warning*

[danceflashrevo]

i'd like to hear a case from haku and rzr, rzr wants to peer into my mind. rzr my mind is here for u. well... after it's done with calculus and jazz band practice because i have to resume school in 18 minutes.

[botchi246]

Charu, could you possibly know there are three wolves left?!

[danceflashrevo]

can someone explain to me how that specific post would be assuming 3 wolves left? i don't see how

[Charu]

Originally Posted by botchi246

Charu, could you possibly know there are three wolves left?!

No, I wouldn't dummy