Old 07-6-2021, 05:34 PM   #1
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Default 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Hey all, thought it's tradition to at least have one of these bad boys going for this OT

For those who aren't aware, I wrote a quick Python script to predict the winners for this OT (why not lmfao). Here are the results under three assumptions:

Assumptions:
• Current OT division placements are finalized (I'm aware that there may be minimal changes)
• Each user is currently at the skill rating level of what their Top 100 scores suggests
• Each user's Top 15 (which defines a player's overall rank) is representative of their current skill rating.

Predictions:

Top 8 of Division 1:
sff_writer_dan
SwedishMeatballs
Winterprison
The_Popo
Telnaior
Frans813
Fireo
Zeldagurlfan1


Top 8 of Division 2:
kainivy
LightLifeCheetah
TopeDogeWOW
chuckman
popo55
NapalmDaDon
HBar
Ksl33zy24


Top 8 of Division 3:
Viisbyxa
kiba1000
exchro
Psycast
anrai
flashflash master
tmgCryptX
csoup1414


Top 8 of Division 4:
A Cheap Lemon
katanaeyegaming
Brasegali
TheFFRPerson
Jonlovesddr
VisD
Zlyice
ositzxz369


Top 8 of Division 5:
Phynx
IwasAsquidOnce
justin_ator
PrawnSkunk
Jtehanonymous
snooches
Defluxit
Arbliterator


Top 8 of Division 6:
Ultimate Mike7
Hakulyte
LeftyRighty
FFR Pro 21
iironiic
awein999
radioamor
RagedBerserker


Top 8 of Division 7:
_Zenith_
Josemba
CallMeMessyy
Devilchilly
Aquellex
mi40
Godnick
Naheeno


Top 8 of Division 8:
AnMaO
Matthia
Elah
Eliminate294
Zoobin4
Yyorshire
SoFast
xXOpkillerXx



Additional thoughts:

Even though the predictions above contain some alignment to what I truly believe to be the winners of this OT, the assumptions made above are not necessarily true. I know some participants listed in my predictions who recently came back from hiatus and are attempting to derust. I also know some participants not listed in any of the lists above that can provide a strong showing based on their recent scores (recency bias at play here).

Because of this, I think the following players can potentially disprove the results of my Python script (unfortunately, I don't know much about the competition below D6, so I'll refrain from making wild guesses here)

• aperson [D6]
• jh05013 [D6]
• cup [D7]
• Eryyy [D7]
• XtraFestive [D8]



Feel free to share your thoughts and opinions about your own predictions for this OT or comment on how accurate you think the results above are.
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Old 07-6-2021, 05:40 PM   #2
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

I'm going for at least top 16, and want to see if I can hit top 8 as a stretch goal perhaps
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Old 07-6-2021, 05:46 PM   #3
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

I predict everyone who participates in this tournament will get a profile badge
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if cocoa flips town, n2 vig should shoot zenith obv
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Old 07-6-2021, 05:48 PM   #4
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

I predict this thread will contain predictions.
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Old 07-6-2021, 05:48 PM   #5
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Time to show technology who's boss :')

Also Nakadashi is gonna roll the dice for sure, he's easily D8 for his physicality (33MSD without much farm LOL) and acc is nuts, I could see him winning if he adapts more and plays his cards right lol. The fact he's in D7 chills me.
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Old 07-6-2021, 05:50 PM   #6
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

I predict that I'll be out 2nd round again.
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Old 07-6-2021, 06:05 PM   #7
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Quote:
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I predict that I'll be out 2nd round again.
I predict your prediction will not be accurate i always give myself 3rd round at best and you should too
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damnit subaru
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if cocoa flips town, n2 vig should shoot zenith obv
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Okay, I'm 7 pages deep and this is a shitfest.
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wolf gurls exist awooo owo ¿furries? owo awoo


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Old 07-6-2021, 06:06 PM   #8
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

- defluxit wins d5
- jh05013 gets top 5 d6
- i get eliminated from d7 in either round 2 or round 4, but not 3
- cup gets top 8 d7
- lawn wake 69
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Old 07-6-2021, 06:18 PM   #9
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Come on Swedish Meatballs v Devonin finals!
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Old 07-6-2021, 07:17 PM   #10
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

devilchilly wins d7 again
haku actually wins d6
Anmao stays in D8 long enough with subpar accuracy to dominate the higher rank songs

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- lawn wake 69
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Old 07-6-2021, 08:07 PM   #11
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by SubaruPoptart View Post
I predict your prediction will not be accurate i always give myself 3rd round at best and you should too
But have you seen my last few tourney performances? :P
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Pre-10/16/16
Highest AAA: Connect (HOUSE SOUL REMIX) & Case Closed (54)
Highest Blackflag: Survive (60)
Highest FC: Challenge the final mission! (68)
Highest SDG: The Fusion (63)
Otaku Speedvibe [Heavy] unlocked 03/04/15 - On The Origin of Species (Evolution) (50)

Highest AAA:Case Closed (58)
Highest Blackflag: Survive (64)
Highest Booflag: Fill Me Up With Snacky Happiness & Suit Up (55)
Highest FC: Challenge the final mission! (72)
Highest SDG: The Fusion (67)
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Old 07-6-2021, 08:39 PM   #12
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kawaii025 View Post
But have you seen my last few tourney performances? :P
I have not but
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damnit subaru
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if cocoa flips town, n2 vig should shoot zenith obv
Quote:
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Okay, I'm 7 pages deep and this is a shitfest.
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wolf gurls exist awooo owo ¿furries? owo awoo


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My beak is bigger than yours
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Oh God it's Subaru





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Old 07-6-2021, 09:24 PM   #13
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

I will be last in D5
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Old 07-6-2021, 09:27 PM   #14
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

DIVISION ONE
WINNER: Fireo
R/U: Uni385

DIVISION TWO
WINNER: Puzzler64
R/U: TopeDogeWOW

DIVISION THREE
WINNER: Logman6656
R/U: SC_coolguy44

DIVISION FOUR
WINNER: ositzxz369
R/U: psychoangel691

DIVISION FIVE
WINNER: PrawnSkunk
R/U: qrrbrbirbel

DIVISION SIX
WINNER: sploder12
R/U: CammyGoesRawr

DIVISION SEVEN
WINNER: cup
R/U: Pizza69

DIVISION EIGHT
WINNER: Matthia
R/U: AnMaO
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Old 07-6-2021, 09:46 PM   #15
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

bouta be last in D2, watch me
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Old 07-6-2021, 09:58 PM   #16
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

I want to see Haku win D6

and Zenith or Devil win D7

Don't really care about the rest for reasons
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Old 07-6-2021, 10:00 PM   #17
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

HBar can take D2 dark horse style

Edit: Nice R1 AAA HBar
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Old 07-6-2021, 10:21 PM   #18
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

I hope that y all know that im choosing you to win your division <3
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Old 07-6-2021, 11:13 PM   #19
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

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DIVISION ONE
WINNER: Fireo
R/U: Uni385
Aw man, I don't even get a shot at runner up?
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Old 07-7-2021, 12:07 AM   #20
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Default Re: 14th Official Tournament Predictions Thread

I'll will get top 3 again probably
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